Presentation (correction slide 18) - Dexia.com
Presentation (correction slide 18) - Dexia.com
Presentation (correction slide 18) - Dexia.com
You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles
YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.
Disclaimer<br />
This presentation and the information contained herein are provided for information purposes only and may<br />
not be <strong>com</strong>plete. It does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation to buy any securities issued by <strong>Dexia</strong><br />
or any entity of the <strong>Dexia</strong> Group.<br />
This presentation contains a number of forecasts and <strong>com</strong>ments relating to the strategies of the <strong>Dexia</strong><br />
Group and includes unaudited figures.<br />
Furthermore this presentation may include future expectation and/or forward-looking statements and<br />
assumptions related to the possible evolutions of the business environment. By their very nature, the<br />
statements contained in this document herein involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and<br />
specific, and risks exist that predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward-looking statements will not<br />
be achieved. We caution the readers of this presentation not to place undue reliance on these the<br />
statements contained herein when basing their investment decisions on information provided in this<br />
presentation as a number of important factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from the<br />
beliefs, plans, objectives, expectations, anticipations, estimates and intentions expressed in such<br />
statements. Such important factors may include, but are not limited to, general economic conditions, general<br />
<strong>com</strong>petitive factors, changes in the availability or costs of liquidity, general market conditions, changes in<br />
laws and regulations (including accounting principles), changes in the policies of regulatory authorities,<br />
changes in interest rates and/or exchange rates, and other factors not specified herein. In any event, such<br />
forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made, and <strong>Dexia</strong> does not<br />
undertake any obligation to update or revise such statements as a result of new information, future events or<br />
otherwise.<br />
Neither <strong>Dexia</strong> nor its representatives may be held liable for any loss resulting from the use of these forecasts<br />
and/or <strong>com</strong>ments relating to the strategies of the <strong>Dexia</strong> Group to which the presentation may refer.<br />
2
<strong>Dexia</strong> Group<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> 2014: A Retail Group<br />
with 10 million clients<br />
Pierre Mariani<br />
CEO
<strong>Dexia</strong> 2014: A Retail Group with 10 million clients<br />
1<br />
Financial restructuring<br />
Scaled down non-<strong>com</strong>mercial revenue and<br />
development of <strong>com</strong>mercial franchises<br />
2<br />
Rebalancing the Group towards Retail<br />
Significant investments in Retail franchises<br />
3<br />
Capturing Retail upside in a fast growing market<br />
Disciplined and sustainable growth in Turkey<br />
4<br />
Achieving operational excellence<br />
Efficiency measures, intra-group synergies and industrialisation<br />
4
<strong>Dexia</strong> 2014: A Retail Group with 10 million clients<br />
In<strong>com</strong>e evolution (% of total)<br />
Non <strong>com</strong>mercial<br />
revenue<br />
Divestitures<br />
Crediop/Sabadell<br />
20%<br />
17%<br />
8%<br />
28%<br />
PWB<br />
~<strong>18</strong>%<br />
AMS<br />
~21%<br />
RCB<br />
Turkey<br />
~27%<br />
RCB BE<br />
& Lux<br />
~33%<br />
Increased weight of Retail &<br />
Commercial activities, accounting<br />
for around 60% of 2014 revenues:<br />
• ~4 m clients in Belgium & Luxembourg<br />
• ~6 m clients in Turkey<br />
Profitable and efficient AMS<br />
businesses, at par with <strong>com</strong>petitors<br />
PWB refocused on Belgium and<br />
France, with a production adapted<br />
to market funding capacities<br />
Legacy division significantly downsized<br />
and funded long-term<br />
2007<br />
2014E<br />
5<br />
Note: 2007 figures pro-forma estimated; PWB excl. Crediop/Sabadell
Financial restructuring: Scaled down non-<strong>com</strong>mercial<br />
revenue and development of <strong>com</strong>mercial franchises<br />
In<strong>com</strong>e evolution (EUR bn)<br />
October 2008-2011<br />
- Key objectives -<br />
Manage and reduce the Legacy burden<br />
6.9<br />
Non<br />
<strong>com</strong>mercial<br />
revenue<br />
Divestitures<br />
Cred./Sab.<br />
~5.1<br />
~5.5<br />
~6.3<br />
Stabilize, and reinvest in core client<br />
franchises<br />
Adapt our cost base through increased<br />
efficiency and intra-group synergies<br />
2012-2014<br />
- Key objectives -<br />
5.0<br />
~4.7<br />
~5.2<br />
~6.2<br />
Continue downsizing portfolios<br />
Leverage investments in Retail in<br />
Belgium and Turkey<br />
2007<br />
2010E-2011E<br />
Average<br />
2012E<br />
2014E<br />
Continue efficiency measures and move<br />
towards industrialisation<br />
6<br />
Note: 2007 figures pro-forma estimated; PWB excl. Crediop/Sabadell; Assuming sale of Crediop and <strong>Dexia</strong> Sabadell at book value
Financial restructuring: Well on track to reach short-term<br />
funding <strong>com</strong>mitment by 2014<br />
Short-term funding need (EUR bn)<br />
Short-term funding (% of total balance sheet)<br />
7<br />
Bonds & loans sales of EUR 45 bn between October 2008 and September 2010<br />
Medium- and long-term funding issuance of EUR 80 bn between October 08 and June 10<br />
Improvement of short-term funding mix with reduced reliance on Central Bank and<br />
State Guarantee funding
Financial restructuring: Non-<strong>com</strong>mercial revenue already<br />
largely decreased by end 2011<br />
In<strong>com</strong>e evolution (EUR bn)<br />
-<br />
<br />
2007-2011<br />
- Main drivers of in<strong>com</strong>e evolution -<br />
Reduced risk profile on proprietary trading and size<br />
of portfolios:<br />
~EUR -440 m in 2010-2011E Average vs. 2007<br />
1.6<br />
-<br />
<br />
Cost of state guarantee:<br />
~EUR -420 m in 2010-2011E Average vs. 2007<br />
-<br />
<br />
Loss of revenues from divestitures:<br />
~EUR -315 m in 2010-2011E Average vs. 2007<br />
Non<br />
<strong>com</strong>mercial<br />
revenue<br />
-<br />
<br />
Capital losses on deleveraging:<br />
~EUR -200 m in 2010-2011E Average vs. 2007<br />
+<br />
<br />
2012-2014<br />
- Main drivers of in<strong>com</strong>e evolution -<br />
Decreasing cost of state guarantee:<br />
~EUR +150 m in 2014E vs. 2012E<br />
Divest.<br />
2007<br />
2010E-2011E<br />
Average<br />
2012E<br />
2014E<br />
-<br />
Loss of revenues from assets sold/amortized :<br />
~EUR -310 m in 2014E vs. 2012E<br />
8<br />
Note: 2007 figures pro-forma estimated
Rebalancing the Group towards Retail: Significant<br />
investments in Retail franchises<br />
In<strong>com</strong>e evolution (EUR bn)<br />
Rebalance core businesses<br />
• PWB re-focused on core franchises and<br />
normalized funding structure<br />
• Commercial drive maintained in Turkey<br />
throughout the crisis<br />
• E.g. <strong>18</strong>0 new branches opened in<br />
Turkey from 2007 until end 2010<br />
• RCB Belgium/Luxembourg and AMS<br />
businesses protected by maintaining<br />
client focus throughout the crisis<br />
• E.g. Deposit base in Belgium 26%<br />
above pre-crisis level<br />
Invest in Retail Banking for future<br />
growth<br />
• EUR 350 m in Belgium to reinforce<br />
franchise and regain market share<br />
• Decision to invest EUR 250 m in Turkey,<br />
leveraging DenizBank successful branch<br />
formats and scalable operations<br />
9<br />
Note: 2007 figures pro-forma estimated; PWB excl. Crediop/Sabadell
Capturing Retail upside in a fast growing market:<br />
Disciplined and sustainable growth in Turkey<br />
~5.5<br />
~0.9<br />
~1.1<br />
~1.2<br />
~1.9<br />
2012E<br />
In<strong>com</strong>e evolution (EUR bn)<br />
~6.3<br />
PWB<br />
~1.2<br />
AMS<br />
~1.3<br />
RCB<br />
Turkey<br />
~1.7<br />
RCB Be<br />
&Lux<br />
~2.0<br />
2014E<br />
CAGR<br />
2012-14E<br />
~7%<br />
~13%<br />
~8%<br />
~17%<br />
~4%<br />
Manage Retail growth in Turkey<br />
• Gradual increase of branch opening<br />
pace to reach 7% share of doors<br />
• Increased Retail contribution<br />
(representing 63% of local net in<strong>com</strong>e<br />
in 2014E)<br />
• Prudent risk control and reinforced cost<br />
management<br />
Optimize existing client franchises<br />
• PWB: Prioritize margins vs. market<br />
share, while benefiting from improved<br />
long-term funding mix<br />
• RCB Belgium & Luxembourg: Increase<br />
cross-selling and revenue with a focus<br />
on Affluent/Private and SME<br />
• AMS: Remain at par with large<br />
<strong>com</strong>petitive platforms<br />
Divest Crediop and Sabadell<br />
10<br />
Note: PWB excl. Crediop/Sabadell - Assuming sale of Crediop (Mid 2012) and Sabadell (Mid 2013) at book value
Achieving operational excellence: Efficiency measures,<br />
intra-group synergies and industrialisation<br />
Estimated EUR 600 m cost reduction<br />
target achieved by end 2011<br />
Group cost base (EUR m)<br />
-15%<br />
Refocus on core franchises over 2008-2011<br />
• Downsizing of PWB International<br />
• Divestment of Entities (K. Austria, FSA,<br />
Crédit du Nord, <strong>Dexia</strong> Epargne Pension<br />
and ADINFO)<br />
Achieving operational excellence from<br />
2008 to 2011<br />
• Efficiency measures<br />
• Intra-group synergies<br />
• Start of industrialisation<br />
• All restructuring costs booked in 2008,<br />
2009 and 2010<br />
Achieving operational excellence from<br />
2012 to 2014<br />
• Already around EUR 90 m savings<br />
before inflation identified<br />
• Further industrialisation of platforms<br />
11
<strong>Dexia</strong> teams sharing clear strategic ambitions<br />
Retail &<br />
Commercial<br />
Banking<br />
Belgium and Lux.<br />
Retail &<br />
Commercial<br />
Banking Turkey<br />
Public &<br />
Wholesale<br />
Banking<br />
Asset<br />
Management &<br />
Services<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Be a reference bank for customer satisfaction<br />
Be<strong>com</strong>e the best alternative to largest banks<br />
Belgium: Maintain our leadership position<br />
France: Be a profitable and recognized<br />
specialist<br />
Project Finance: Be a preferred provider<br />
Run profitable and efficient businesses,<br />
at par with large <strong>com</strong>peting platforms<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Develop intra-group<br />
synergies<br />
Reach excellence in<br />
operational<br />
management<br />
• Pooling of group<br />
resources<br />
• Industrialisation<br />
of selected<br />
platforms<br />
Strictly manage risk<br />
Legacy Deleverage while managing risks<br />
12
<strong>Dexia</strong> Group Target 2014<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
Ambition 2014<br />
A robust<br />
financial structure<br />
Rebalanced activities<br />
towards Retail<br />
A solid growth<br />
engine in Turkey<br />
A Group driven by<br />
operational excellence<br />
Target 2012<br />
Stable pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e versus 2009:<br />
~EUR 1.4 bn<br />
Solid <strong>com</strong>mercial dynamic:<br />
Commercial in<strong>com</strong>e 1 +4% p.a. (09-12)<br />
ST funding/Total balance sheet at/below 15%<br />
Strong solvency: Core Tier 1 at ~14% 2<br />
C/I ratio: < 65%<br />
Target 2014<br />
Pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e: ~EUR 1.8 bn<br />
Investment or dividend payment capacity<br />
ST funding/Total balance sheet at 11%<br />
Core Tier 1 at ~15% 2 and<br />
Common equity ratio > 9% under Basle III<br />
ROE: > 11% (Normative 3 )<br />
ROE: > 8% (Stated)<br />
13<br />
Note: (1) Excluding non-<strong>com</strong>mercial revenues<br />
(2) Under Basel II, assuming sale of Crediop and Sabadell at book value and dividend pay-out ratio: 30% p.a. from 2012<br />
(3) Normative ROE according to EC capital requirement
Investor Day 2010 - Agenda<br />
11h00 - Finance - P. Rucheton, CFO<br />
• <strong>Dexia</strong> 2014: A robust financial structure<br />
11h40 – Balance sheet & Legacy - P. Rucheton, CFO<br />
• Deleverage balance sheet and manage the Legacy<br />
12h05 - Public and Wholesale Banking - P. Poupelle, Head of PWB<br />
• Renew with sustainable scale and profitability<br />
14h00 - Retail and Commercial Banking Belgium & Luxembourg - S. Decraene,<br />
Head of RCB-AMS<br />
• Enhance franchise, increase cross-selling on our client base<br />
14h50 - Asset Management & Services - S. Decraene, Head of RCB-AMS<br />
• Manage a portfolio of three profitable businesses<br />
15h20 - Retail and Commercial Banking Turkey - H. Ates, CEO of DenizBank<br />
• Pursue sustainable growth story in Turkey<br />
16h10 - Operating model - A. Vanden Camp, COO<br />
• Reach operational excellence<br />
16h25 – Closing remarks and Q&A – P. Mariani, CEO<br />
14
Finance<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> 2014:<br />
A robust financial structure<br />
Philippe Rucheton<br />
CFO
Economic scenario: Slow recovery in Europe while<br />
dynamic growth in Turkey<br />
GDP growth (%) Interest rates (%)<br />
Europe US Turkey<br />
Exchange rates<br />
Inflation rate (%)<br />
Equity indices<br />
2.0<br />
8%<br />
10%<br />
1.5<br />
6<br />
8<br />
1.0<br />
0.5<br />
0.0<br />
EUR vs. USD<br />
EUR vs. TRY<br />
2010<br />
2011<br />
2012<br />
2013<br />
2014<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
Europe US Turkey<br />
2010<br />
2011<br />
2012<br />
2013<br />
2014<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
S&P 500<br />
Average annual indice growth 2010-2014<br />
16<br />
Source: <strong>Dexia</strong> Research, DenizBank
<strong>Dexia</strong> 2014: Resized and rebalanced balance sheet<br />
Reducing Group total balance sheet<br />
Restated balance sheet evolution (Base 100 = 2008, %)<br />
Excluding change in fair value of derivatives, change in posted<br />
cash collaterals and at constant FX rates<br />
Increasing share of stable and<br />
long-term resources<br />
Funding mix evolution (%)<br />
100%<br />
-35%<br />
28%<br />
24%<br />
~11%<br />
Short-term<br />
funding<br />
90%<br />
87%<br />
65%<br />
Of which LT<br />
Government<br />
Guaranteed<br />
Long-term<br />
funding<br />
PWB deposits<br />
RCB deposits<br />
Other liabilities<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
1H10<br />
2014<br />
Target<br />
2009 1H10 2014<br />
Target<br />
17
<strong>Dexia</strong> 2014: Key drivers of balance sheet evolution<br />
between end 2009 and end 2014<br />
Key drivers of assets evolution<br />
Key drivers of liabilities evolution<br />
Deleverage<br />
Active sale of Legacy<br />
and Core assets<br />
Legacy amortization<br />
Residual amortization of Legacy<br />
assets, after deleverage<br />
Reduction of PWB assets<br />
Net decrease in PWB assets, excl.<br />
Crediop and Sabadell sale<br />
~EUR -80 bn<br />
of which -75 for<br />
the Legacy<br />
~EUR -30 bn<br />
~EUR -20 bn<br />
Divestiture of subsidiaries and shareholdings<br />
To be divested: Crediop, Sabadell,<br />
DBS, Deniz Emeklilik<br />
Increase of RCB assets<br />
Net increase in RCB assets<br />
~EUR -55bn 1<br />
~EUR +30 bn<br />
Deposits base<br />
Increase in RCB and PWB<br />
deposit base<br />
Covered bonds<br />
Stable covered bonds outstanding<br />
Unsecured funding<br />
Net decrease in LT senior unsecured<br />
outstanding<br />
Government Guaranteed LT funding<br />
Amortization of LT Guaranteed<br />
funding<br />
~EUR +35 bn<br />
-<br />
~EUR -35 bn<br />
EUR -22 bn 2<br />
Assets and liabilities also impacted by interest rates and FX movements<br />
<strong>18</strong><br />
Note: (1) Erratum: ~EUR 55bn Assets evolution replaces initial ~EUR - 20bn Net assets<br />
(2) Outstanding as of end 2009. Outstanding as of end of June 2010: EUR 49 bn
Balance sheet size impacted by interest rates and FX<br />
movements<br />
Increase in collateral and fair value of<br />
derivatives<br />
Derivatives MTM and Collateral Impact on B/S (EUR bn)<br />
EUR +36 bn<br />
Comments<br />
Derivatives globally hedging Group<br />
structural exposures<br />
• Assets mostly long-term fixed rate while<br />
liabilities are more short-term, leading to a net<br />
long-term fixed rate receiver position<br />
• Position hedged by derivatives (EUR 1,600 bn<br />
of notional amount)<br />
Consolidated MTM all derivatives 1 (EUR bn)<br />
Decrease in interest rates increasing<br />
collateral posted ~11%<br />
• Sensitivity of ~EUR 13 bn for 1% move of LT<br />
interest rate (~EUR +10 bn between end 2009<br />
and June 2010)<br />
FX<br />
Interest rate<br />
Other<br />
Under IFRS, fair value adjustments of<br />
derivatives and hedged items also inflating<br />
Group balance sheet<br />
• Sensitivity of ~EUR 45 bn for 1% move of LT<br />
interest rate (~EUR +26 bn between end 2009<br />
and June 2010)<br />
19<br />
Note: (1) Low impact of Equity, Commodity and Credit
LT wholesale funding program aligned to Group needs<br />
and market appetite<br />
80<br />
Production realigned with LT wholesale<br />
funding program<br />
Annual LT funding program vs. Annual PWB production<br />
(EUR bn)<br />
Comments<br />
Until 2008, <strong>Dexia</strong> heavily reliant on<br />
wholesale long-term funding, but annual<br />
LTF program not covering new long-term<br />
<strong>com</strong>mitments<br />
60<br />
40<br />
35<br />
33<br />
32<br />
28<br />
42<br />
38<br />
In 2009 and 2010, execution of large LTF<br />
program (of which 50% Government<br />
Guaranteed) to rapidly improve Group<br />
liquidity<br />
20<br />
10-15<br />
From 2011, <strong>Dexia</strong> funding program<br />
adjusted to market capacities and Group<br />
needs<br />
0<br />
2005 2006 2007<br />
Covered bonds<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
9M<br />
2010<br />
2011E-2014E<br />
Unsecured unguaranteed debt<br />
• Covered bond program sized to investor<br />
appetite<br />
• Opportunistic use of senior unsecured funding<br />
going forward<br />
Government Guaranteed debt<br />
PWB annual production<br />
20
Placement of Group benchmark issues supported by an<br />
expanded investor base<br />
DMA benchmark issues per period (%)<br />
DMA pre-crisis (2005-08)<br />
Changing investor cartography<br />
DMA post-crisis (2009-10)<br />
Placement of Government Guaranteed benchmarks<br />
per currency (%)<br />
EUR<br />
GBP<br />
USD<br />
Solid appetite for covered bonds, but from<br />
changing geographies<br />
• Investors refocus on their regional issuers<br />
• High level of Central banks purchases, to the<br />
exception of non European Central banks that<br />
began investing just before the crisis<br />
• French and German investors remaining<br />
faithful to Obligations Foncières and<br />
Pfandbriefe<br />
New doors opened by non-Euro<br />
Government Guaranteed benchmarks<br />
(GGB)<br />
• 144-A USD and GBP issuance allowing to tap<br />
new investors with high investment capacities<br />
• Reach also expanded to Southern Europe and<br />
Middle East based investors<br />
21<br />
Note: DMA: <strong>Dexia</strong> Municipal Agency
Significant improvement of Group short-term liquidity<br />
profile<br />
Reduction of <strong>Dexia</strong> short-term funding need<br />
Rebalancing of short-term funding mix<br />
(EUR bn)<br />
(EUR bn)<br />
300<br />
EUR 260 bn as<br />
of end Oct 2008<br />
300<br />
Bilateral &<br />
Triparty repo<br />
Central bank<br />
funding<br />
Unsecured<br />
unguaranteed<br />
Short-term<br />
guaranteed<br />
200<br />
EUR 121 bn<br />
as of end<br />
Sept 2010<br />
200<br />
23%<br />
100<br />
0<br />
Oct 08 Jan 09 Jun 09 Dec 09 Jun 10 Sept 10<br />
100<br />
0<br />
52%<br />
11%<br />
14%<br />
Dec 08<br />
20%<br />
43%<br />
40%<br />
Dec 09 Mar 10 Jun 10 Sept 2010<br />
83%<br />
vs. 25%<br />
in Dec<br />
2008<br />
Short-term funding need down EUR 139 bn<br />
between end of October 2008 and end of<br />
September 2010<br />
Deleveraging policy, refocused PWB<br />
production and targeted long-term issuance,<br />
also enabling significant reduction of the<br />
non-Euro liquidity gap<br />
Outstanding of remaining short-term<br />
Government guaranteed funding reduced<br />
to nil as of end of September 2010<br />
Shift from Central bank funding to longer<br />
term bilateral and triparty repo<br />
• Central bank funding converging towards EUR<br />
20 bn at end of 2010 (50% of pre-crisis level)<br />
22
Target 2014: Rebuilding Group in<strong>com</strong>e on solid client<br />
franchises<br />
(EUR bn)<br />
Core franchises:<br />
~95% of Group in<strong>com</strong>e in 2014<br />
Comments<br />
Core divisions: +5% in<strong>com</strong>e growth p.a.<br />
• Rebuilding market shares in Belgium to deliver<br />
EUR 250 m additional in<strong>com</strong>e by 2014<br />
• Development plan in Turkey, targeting around<br />
EUR 850 m additional in<strong>com</strong>e by 2014<br />
• AMS businesses to deliver additional growth<br />
post 2009 recovery<br />
• Decrease in PWB in<strong>com</strong>e over 2009-2011<br />
followed by a rebound from 2012 supported by<br />
lower funding costs and higher <strong>com</strong>mercial<br />
margins<br />
• Group center: still elements of volatility (CVA, ...)<br />
Legacy division<br />
• Legacy in<strong>com</strong>e mainly impacted by lower<br />
transformation in<strong>com</strong>e due to reduced Legacy<br />
size, and lower cost of deleverage<br />
Rebound from 2012, after pressure on<br />
in<strong>com</strong>e in 2010 and 2011<br />
23<br />
Note: 2009 Group in<strong>com</strong>e excl. FSA Inc.<br />
PWB excl. Crediop/Sabadell - Assuming sale of Crediop (Mid 2012) and Sabadell (Mid 2013) at book value<br />
RCB Be & Lux incl. DBS in 2009 (EUR 59 m in<strong>com</strong>e in 2009)
Target 2014: Stringent management of Group cost base<br />
EUR 600 m cost reduction target achieved by end 2011<br />
Group cost base (EUR m)<br />
On-going cost control after 2011<br />
Group C/I ratio (%)<br />
-15%<br />
24<br />
Note: ‘Other effects’ including cost base increase in fast growing businesses and restructuring costs
Target 2014: Expected decrease in Cost of Risk on Core<br />
and Legacy divisions<br />
50<br />
25<br />
Cost of Risk on Core divisions<br />
Cost of Risk – RCB Turkey (bps)<br />
Cost of Risk – RCB Belgium and Luxembourg (bps)<br />
Core divisions<br />
Comments<br />
• Slight improvement of CoR in Belgium from<br />
2011 onwards despite conservative<br />
assumptions on the SME segment<br />
• CoR in Turkey improving in all market<br />
segments but potentially in a still volatile<br />
environment<br />
• Slow improvement of PWB CoR after<br />
stabilization in 2011 and 2012, driven by stable<br />
CoR on Public sector and decrease in Project<br />
Finance and Corporate Banking after 2012<br />
0<br />
50<br />
25<br />
0<br />
1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 2012E 2014E<br />
Cost of Risk – PWB (bps)<br />
1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 2012E 2014E<br />
Legacy division<br />
• Under current market conditions, expected<br />
stabilisation of the level of risk of the Financial<br />
Products portfolio. However, further specific<br />
impairments should be expected for the next<br />
quarters, in application of IAS 39<br />
• Quality of the bond portfolio in run-off deemed<br />
to remain stable by 2014<br />
25<br />
Note: Cost of risk expressed on average customer loans
Target 2014: Strong rebound of <strong>Dexia</strong> profitability<br />
(EUR bn)<br />
Pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e: +7% p.a. over 2009-2014<br />
26<br />
Note: 2009 Group pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e excl. FSA Inc.<br />
PWB excl. Crediop/Sabadell - Assuming sale of Crediop (Mid 2012) and Sabadell (Mid 2013) at book value<br />
RCB Be & Lux incl. DBS in 2009
Target 2014: Strong solvency under Basel II framework<br />
Solid solvency ratios under Basel II<br />
Key drivers<br />
Solvency ratios (%)<br />
Strong organic capital generation:<br />
~EUR 3.8 bn organic capital to be<br />
generated via P&L over 2010-2014<br />
EUR 12 bn decrease in RWA by 2014<br />
• Legacy reduction to result in ~EUR 22 bn of<br />
RWA decrease by 2014<br />
• RCB growth in Turkey leading to an increase of<br />
~EUR 23 bn RWA by 2014<br />
• PWB RWA to decrease by ~EUR 5 bn by 2014<br />
• Impact of Crediop and Sabadell divesture:<br />
~EUR 8 bn RWA reduction by 2014<br />
Strong capitalization under Basel II<br />
framework<br />
27<br />
Note: Assuming sale of Crediop (Mid 2012) and <strong>Dexia</strong> Sabadell (Mid 2013) at book value<br />
Assuming dividend pay-out ratio: 30% p.a. from 2012<br />
Under Basel II framework
New capital regulations: Basel III impacts<br />
Basel III impacts<br />
Limited impact of leverage ratio<br />
• <strong>Dexia</strong> expected to be fully <strong>com</strong>pliant before start<br />
of disclosure date (2015)<br />
Progressive impact of AFS reserve on <strong>Dexia</strong><br />
solvency given timing of implementation<br />
Estimated AFS reserve evolution 3 and Basel III impact (EUR bn)<br />
1H10 2012E 2014E 2016E 20<strong>18</strong>E<br />
Capital treatment<br />
• DTA on net loss carry-forwards fully deducted as<br />
from 2013: ~EUR 0.7 bn as of June 2010<br />
• Phased deduction of surplus over threshold for<br />
DTA on temporary differences and equity<br />
invested in insurance business: ~EUR 2.7 bn as<br />
of June 2010, mainly due to AFS reserve 1<br />
• Grandfathering of Hybrid Tier 1: EUR 1.4 bn as<br />
of June 2010<br />
-10.4<br />
-8<br />
-1<br />
-6<br />
-3<br />
-5<br />
-4<br />
-4<br />
AFS reserve not<br />
deducted<br />
AFS reserve deducted<br />
from Common Equity<br />
RWA<br />
• Potential increase of ~EUR 50 bn RWA as of<br />
June 2010, mainly stemming from CVA volatility<br />
and “PD downturn” 2<br />
Limited impact on <strong>Dexia</strong> insurance activity<br />
Progressive deduction of AFS reserve from<br />
Common Equity<br />
• Full deduction as from 20<strong>18</strong><br />
Under new IFRS9, disappearance of AFS<br />
reserve<br />
28<br />
Note: (1) The DTA on temporary differences linked to AFS reserve would also disappear under new IFRS9 and not impact solvency anymore<br />
(2) Still under discussion/calibration within Basel <strong>com</strong>mittee<br />
(3) Key assumptions: under constant credit spread, taking into account impact from bonds sold under deleveraging efforts
Sound capital structure<br />
~<br />
Basel II<br />
Basel III<br />
2009<br />
2012<br />
2014<br />
(EUR bn)<br />
(EUR bn)<br />
(EUR bn)<br />
<br />
With a 30% pay-out ratio from<br />
2011 results onward, excess<br />
capital under Basel II vs. EC<br />
<strong>com</strong>mitment > ~EUR 4 bn<br />
~<strong>18</strong><br />
~15<br />
<br />
Assuming same dividend policy,<br />
as of 2014, excess capital under<br />
Basel III vs. <strong>com</strong>mon equity<br />
target requirement > ~EUR 4 bn<br />
CT<br />
1<br />
Core<br />
shareholders'<br />
equity<br />
Core<br />
Tier 1<br />
2<br />
EC<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
<br />
<br />
Additional Basel III capital<br />
requirements more than offset<br />
by future net results<br />
Significant uncertainties<br />
remaining on the final RWA<br />
calculations, the level of the<br />
countercyclical buffer and the<br />
additional loss absorbing<br />
capacity for systemically<br />
important banks (if relevant for<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong>)<br />
29<br />
Note: Assuming dividend pay-out ratio: 30% p.a. from 2012<br />
(1) Core Tier 1 Basel II, (2) Commitment towards EC, (3) Common Equity Basel III, (4) Basel III Common Equity requirement calculated at<br />
7% of RWA
New liquidity regime: Getting prepared for a tougher<br />
stance from regulators<br />
Reduced liquidity leverage of the Group<br />
Group<br />
achievements to<br />
date<br />
More balanced liquidity profile and diversified funding sources<br />
Improvement of the liquidity profile essentially in line with current<br />
proposals from regulators and aligned with <strong>Dexia</strong> <strong>com</strong>mitments to EC<br />
In line with new<br />
regulatory regime<br />
Phasing planned for introduction of LCR (January 1 st , 2015) and NSFR<br />
(January 1 st , 20<strong>18</strong>) allowing for time to further rebalance liquidity<br />
profile of the Group<br />
Current LCR and NSFR assumptions considering only few public sector<br />
assets as liquid and few of the liabilities as stable: Not in line with trend<br />
observed during the crisis<br />
30<br />
Note: LCR: Liquidity Coverage Ratio<br />
NSFR: Net Stable Funding Ratio
Key messages<br />
Rebound of pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e by 2012 thanks to<br />
good <strong>com</strong>mercial dynamic, reduced weight of the<br />
Legacy and on-going cost control<br />
By 2014, strong organic capital generation,<br />
enabling <strong>Dexia</strong> to support core business growth<br />
and to maintain robust solvency ratios<br />
Target 2012<br />
Organic capital generation<br />
via P&L: ~EUR 2 bn over<br />
2010-2012<br />
Core Tier 1: ~14%<br />
ST funding / Total balance<br />
sheet at or below 15%<br />
Investment or dividend payment capacity from<br />
2012 onwards<br />
Significant improvement of <strong>Dexia</strong> liquidity profile<br />
Under Basel III framework, <strong>Dexia</strong> solvency<br />
requirements met with a <strong>com</strong>mon equity ratio<br />
above 9% from 2014 onwards<br />
Target 2014<br />
Organic capital generation<br />
via P&L: ~EUR 3.8 bn over<br />
2010-2014<br />
Core Tier 1: ~15%<br />
ST funding / Total balance<br />
sheet at 11%<br />
ROE: > 11% (Normative 1 )<br />
31<br />
Note: (1) Normative ROE according to EC capital requirement
Legacy division<br />
Deleverage balance sheet<br />
and manage the Legacy<br />
Philippe Rucheton<br />
CFO
Balance sheet deleveraging primarily focused on the<br />
Legacy, but also including Core assets<br />
Reducing Group total balance sheet<br />
Restated balance sheet evolution (Base 100 = 2008, %)<br />
Excluding change in fair value of derivatives, change in posted<br />
cash collaterals and at constant FX rates<br />
100%<br />
90%<br />
-35%<br />
87%<br />
Deleveraging focused on three portfolios<br />
Legacy assets<br />
Bond portfolio in run-off<br />
EUR 125.2 bn<br />
Legacy assets<br />
65%<br />
Run-off PWB <strong>com</strong>mitments<br />
EUR 15.8 bn<br />
Core assets<br />
Other bond portfolios (mainly ALM)<br />
EUR 19.7 bn<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
1H10<br />
2014E<br />
Data as of June 2010<br />
33
Sustained pace of asset sales in 2009 and 2010<br />
confirming capacity to deleverage<br />
Fast pace of deleverage over 2009-2010<br />
Key facts<br />
Deleveraging achieved to date (EUR bn, cumulated)<br />
Bonds: Deleverage of EUR 16.8 bn in 2009<br />
and EUR 19.5 bn in 2010 YtD (September<br />
27 th , 2010), i.e. EUR 36.3 bn deleverage<br />
• 25% of overall sales rated A or below<br />
• 50% of sales with maturities equal or above 4<br />
years<br />
• Bank and ABS accounting for ~35% of sales<br />
• Capital loss: EUR 200 m, i.e. 0.5% of nominal<br />
Yield<br />
PWB non-core<br />
loans<br />
Liquidity<br />
Funding cost<br />
Currency<br />
Maturity<br />
Bond portfolio<br />
in run-off (Legacy)<br />
Deleveraging criteria<br />
Other bonds<br />
(Core)<br />
Beyond pure financial<br />
arbitrage, operating costs for<br />
keeping an entity and<br />
operational risk when keeping<br />
assets in market with no<br />
<strong>com</strong>mercial coverage taken<br />
into account<br />
PWB loans: Deleverage of EUR 1.7 bn in<br />
2009 and EUR 4.1 bn in 2010 YtD (September<br />
27 th , 2010), i.e. EUR 5.8 bn deleverage<br />
• High quality assets, mainly Japanese loans<br />
• Weighted average life: 7 years<br />
• Capital loss: EUR 69 m, i.e. 1.2% of nominal<br />
34
By 2014: Ability to <strong>com</strong>plete deleveraging plan at<br />
contained losses<br />
Good mix of Core and Legacy bonds<br />
Bond portfolio – View per rating (1H10)<br />
Capacity to deleverage at contained loss<br />
rates<br />
AAA<br />
24,6%<br />
AA<br />
31,1%<br />
Diversified mix of assets<br />
• Mostly liquid bonds<br />
NIG<br />
3,4%<br />
BBB<br />
<strong>18</strong>,1%<br />
A<br />
22,8%<br />
Total:<br />
EUR 145 bn<br />
• Existing appetite for specific long-term assets<br />
• Possibility to deleverage unhedged bond<br />
positions in ALM portfolios, allowing to<br />
<strong>com</strong>pensate credit losses by interest rate gains<br />
Bond portfolio – View per maturity (1H10)<br />
Total:<br />
EUR 145 bn<br />
24-hour execution platform operating in<br />
Europe, North America and Asia<br />
• Facilitating good execution in different<br />
currencies<br />
• Global market data accessible to and shared by<br />
bond portfolio managers<br />
Targeted and opportunistic bond sales<br />
• Small ticket size: EUR 20 m on average<br />
35
Dedicated set up in place to manage the Legacy<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> Management Board<br />
Portfolio Management Group<br />
(PMG)<br />
Portfolio Management Investment<br />
Committee<br />
PWB<br />
Decision Committee (Head of PWB,<br />
CFO, CRO, Head of TFM)<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> Financial Products<br />
Services (DFPS)<br />
Credit and Funding & Liquidity<br />
Committees<br />
<br />
<br />
21 experienced portfolio<br />
managers in Dublin, <strong>com</strong>bined<br />
with a selective local presence<br />
(New-York, Singapore, Tokyo,<br />
Berlin)<br />
Globally centralized<br />
management of Bond portfolio<br />
in run-off (Legacy)<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
3 dedicated FTEs in Paris,<br />
with a selective local presence<br />
in Vienna, Tokyo and Sydney<br />
Globally centralized<br />
management of PWB run-off<br />
<strong>com</strong>mitments<br />
Management of unwinding of<br />
non-core entities<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Bankruptcy remote <strong>com</strong>pany<br />
with 35 dedicated FTEs<br />
Central management of the FP<br />
portfolio<br />
Successful integration of<br />
administrative and operating<br />
processes, now fully achieved<br />
Teams in charge of deleveraging <strong>Dexia</strong> portfolios<br />
Team in charge of managing<br />
FP portfolio<br />
36
<strong>Dexia</strong> Legacy division: Three categories of assets<br />
(as of June 30 th , 2010)<br />
Run-off PWB <strong>com</strong>mitments<br />
(EUR 15.8 bn + USD 29 bn off B/S)<br />
High quality assets booked<br />
in run-off entities, mostly in<br />
Japan<br />
Average life: 5.5 years<br />
In addition, USD 29 bn offbalance<br />
sheet liquidity lines<br />
to US munis<br />
Bond portfolio in run-off<br />
(EUR 125.2 bn)<br />
95% investment grade<br />
Average life: 11.6 years<br />
Financial Products portfolio<br />
(USD 14.6 bn)<br />
USD 10.3 bn of assets<br />
covered by a Government<br />
Guarantee. First loss of USD<br />
4.5 bn covered by <strong>Dexia</strong><br />
USD 4.3 bn of better quality<br />
assets not covered by the<br />
Guarantee<br />
Average life: 9.4 years<br />
Funded by<br />
LT Government<br />
Guaranteed debt<br />
Covered bonds<br />
ST secured and<br />
unsecured funding<br />
GICs (FP)<br />
(EUR 49 bn)<br />
(EUR 24 bn)<br />
(EUR 74 bn)<br />
(USD 7 bn)<br />
37
Bond portfolio in run-off<br />
(EUR bn)<br />
Public sector<br />
Sovereigns<br />
Banks<br />
Covered bonds<br />
ABS<br />
MBS<br />
Other<br />
Total (nominal bef. protection)<br />
(Data as of June 30th, 2010)<br />
Diversified mix of assets<br />
Bond portfolio in run-off p – View per sector and per rating<br />
AAA AA A BBB NIG Total<br />
2.2 14.0 9.1 3.8 1.1 30.2<br />
1.1 6.7 1.3 8.5 0.2 17.7<br />
3.8 4.8 12.8 3.8 1.3 26.5<br />
7.4 4.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 12.2<br />
7.8 2.4 1.2 0.4 1.0 12.9<br />
7.5 2.7 0.6 0.5 0.9 12.2<br />
0.3 0.1 3.8 8.0 1.2 13.5<br />
30.3 35.2 29.0 25.1 5.7 125.2<br />
EUR 22.7 bn bonds wrapped by monolines and EUR 3.5 bn protected by Negative Basis Trade<br />
(o/w more than 2/3 with banks rated A-)<br />
Slight decrease in average rating since end of 2008 due to impact of deleverage and, to a lesser<br />
extent, downgrade of sovereign exposures<br />
Stock of impairments as of June 2010: EUR 938 m<br />
38
Bond portfolio in run-off: Focus on BBB and NIG assets<br />
Focus on BBB rated assets classified as<br />
“Other”<br />
Focus on NIG assets<br />
Transport<br />
21,0%<br />
Total : EUR 8.0 bn<br />
B<br />
9,0%<br />
Total : EUR 5.7 bn<br />
Bonds<br />
hedged by<br />
CDS<br />
40,0%<br />
Other<br />
1,2%<br />
Power<br />
10,8%<br />
PFI<br />
14,4%<br />
Regulated<br />
utilities<br />
12,6%<br />
Out of the<br />
EUR 4.8 bn bonds<br />
not hedged by<br />
CDS, EUR 1.4 bn<br />
wrapped by<br />
investment grade<br />
monolines<br />
BB<br />
65,4%<br />
C and<br />
below<br />
22,2%<br />
NR<br />
3,4%<br />
<br />
Transport equally split between:<br />
<br />
Counterparts in BB range mainly including:<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
• Eurotunnel (strong cash generation capacity, very<br />
long term maturity)<br />
• French highways (increase in traffic since 2009)<br />
• Australian airports (good resilience to economic<br />
crisis)<br />
No <strong>com</strong>mercial risk on PFI, only availability risk<br />
Regulated utilities supported by favourable regulated<br />
framework (e.g. British utilities)<br />
Limited risk on power, given the nature of activity<br />
<br />
<br />
• Banks (2/3 maturing within 4 years)<br />
• ABS (2/3 maturing within 4 years)<br />
• Specific financings : highways with traffic risk<br />
(wrapped by FSA or revenues guaranteed by state<br />
body), PFI in construction (transfer of construction<br />
risk to constructors), Australian energy assets<br />
C range and below mainly <strong>com</strong>posed of banks<br />
(Lehman, Wamu and Icelandic banks), already<br />
provisioned at a high percentage<br />
Current level of provisions covering expected losses<br />
39
Financial Products portfolio<br />
Financial Products portfolio<br />
Financial Products portfolio (June 30 th , 2010)<br />
Financial<br />
Products<br />
USD 14.6 bn<br />
Guaranteed<br />
assets<br />
USD 10.3 bn<br />
Excluded<br />
assets<br />
USD 4.3 bn<br />
Impairment methodology<br />
According to IAS 39, bonds with cash<br />
shortfalls expected in the short-term must<br />
be impaired<br />
For securities reclassified in L&R (such as<br />
FPs), impairments include both credit and<br />
liquidity <strong>com</strong>ponents, leading to a level of<br />
provision exceeding the future expected<br />
losses<br />
Excluded assets – View by rating (June 30th, 2010)<br />
AA<br />
16,2%<br />
AAA<br />
50,5%<br />
NIG<br />
0,2%<br />
A<br />
11,3%<br />
BBB<br />
21,8%<br />
Total amount of provisions of USD 2.02 bn<br />
as of June 30 th , 2010 exceeding expected<br />
losses by USD 781 m<br />
Even with a stabilized level of risk, further<br />
specific impairments should be expected<br />
for the next quarters, leading to a larger<br />
buffer on expected losses<br />
40
By 2014: Ability to fund the Legacy division in line with EC<br />
<strong>com</strong>mitments<br />
Legacy end 2009<br />
EUR 162 bn<br />
(70% ST funding)<br />
Legacy end 2014<br />
< EUR 80 bn<br />
(11% ST funding)<br />
<br />
<br />
Deleverage more than<br />
offsetting amortization of<br />
Guaranteed Debt<br />
Limited recourse to LT<br />
unsecured funding needed<br />
Deleverage: ~EUR 75 bn<br />
Amortization: ~EUR 30 bn<br />
><br />
More than<br />
<strong>com</strong>pensating<br />
Amortization of<br />
EUR 49 bn Government<br />
Guaranteed debt, issued<br />
in 2009 and 2010 1<br />
<br />
Downsizing and rebalancing<br />
of balance sheet, enabling to<br />
reach short-term funding EC<br />
<strong>com</strong>mitment<br />
Excess LT funding from<br />
Core division: ~EUR 25 bn<br />
11% ST wholesale funding by 2014<br />
41<br />
Note: (1) Outstanding as of end June 2010. Outstanding as of end 2009: EUR 22 bn
After 2014: Ability to hold and manage remaining Legacy<br />
assets until maturity<br />
Estimated bond portfolios by 2014<br />
Comments<br />
Bond portfolio – View per asset class<br />
(Base 100 = 1H10, %)<br />
Bond portfolio in run-off: Remaining<br />
portfolio focused on asset classes where<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> holds a strong credit expertise<br />
• Public sector and sovereigns<br />
• PFI and utility<br />
• Expected average rating of A- in 2014 1<br />
70% of<br />
remaining<br />
portfolio<br />
within area<br />
of expertise<br />
Financial Products: Active risk<br />
management of assets<br />
• Active management in close collaboration with<br />
legal advisers, servicers and originators<br />
Run-off PWB <strong>com</strong>mitments: Limited<br />
concerns<br />
42<br />
Note: (1) Current estimate - Possible changes depending on market conditions
AFS reserve<br />
(EUR bn)<br />
AFS reserve as of June 30 th , 2010<br />
AFS reserve due to<br />
bond portfolio in run-off<br />
EUR -4.1 bn AFS reserve on L&R assets<br />
Reserves (%) Outstanding (EUR bn) Asset class<br />
38% 22.2 MBS/ABS<br />
Focus<br />
on EUR<br />
-4.1 bn<br />
AFS<br />
reserve<br />
32% 28.7 Public sector<br />
24% 10.8 Utilities and PFI<br />
5% 4.3 Banks<br />
1% 3.0 Other<br />
100% 68.9 Total<br />
EUR -3.5 bn AFS reserve on AFS assets<br />
Reserves (%) Outstanding (EUR bn) Asset class<br />
L&R assets<br />
(reclassified from AFS)<br />
AFS (bond) assets<br />
Focus<br />
on EUR<br />
-3.5 bn<br />
AFS<br />
reserve<br />
19% 10.5 Covered bonds<br />
17% 22.7 Banks<br />
62% 16.6 Sovereign & Supra<br />
0% 0.0 Local authorities<br />
1% 6.4 Other<br />
AFS (equity) assets<br />
100% 56.3 Total<br />
43
Financials: Progressive decrease in Legacy revenue<br />
In<strong>com</strong>e (EUR bn)<br />
Main drivers on profitability of the Legacy<br />
Treasury<br />
revenue<br />
<br />
Decrease in treasury revenue allocated to the Legacy<br />
mainly due to:<br />
• Reduction of the portfolios<br />
• Reduction of short-term funding<br />
• Flattening of the short-term yield curve<br />
<br />
Slight decrease in funding costs<br />
• Amortization of Government Guaranteed funding partly offset by<br />
use of longer term liquidity to reach 11% ST funding target<br />
<br />
Cost of deleverage expected to decrease from 2012 onwards<br />
<br />
Decrease in Cost of Risk mainly <strong>com</strong>ing from Financial<br />
Product portfolio<br />
44
Key messages<br />
Target 2012<br />
Achieve deleveraging targets at contained<br />
costs<br />
Legacy division largely reduced by 2012<br />
Ability to align the Legacy with 11% ST<br />
funding target by 2014 with limited recourse to<br />
senior unsecured debt, thanks to Core funding<br />
Ability to manage and hold remaining Legacy<br />
assets until maturity<br />
Legacy assets below<br />
EUR 90 bn<br />
Share of ST wholesale<br />
funding reduced at or<br />
below 20%<br />
Target 2014<br />
Legacy assets below<br />
EUR 80 bn<br />
Share of ST wholesale<br />
funding at or below 11%<br />
45
Public and Wholesale Banking<br />
Renew with sustainable<br />
scale and profitability<br />
Pascal Poupelle<br />
Head of PWB
Since October 2008: Drastic re-focus of PWB Business<br />
In-depth business transformation<br />
Cost base alignment<br />
Annual new LT <strong>com</strong>mitments (EUR bn)<br />
PWB costs 2 (EUR m)<br />
52<br />
Legacy<br />
<strong>18</strong><br />
Run-off countries: Australia,<br />
CEE, Japan, Mexico, Sweden,<br />
Switzerland, US (SBPA)<br />
~-70%<br />
~-24%<br />
Core<br />
Franchise<br />
34<br />
34<br />
Italy 3<br />
Iberia 5<br />
Other core<br />
countries<br />
8<br />
Belgium 8<br />
1<br />
~10<br />
France 10<br />
2008<br />
2008<br />
Core<br />
Franchise<br />
2010E<br />
Core<br />
Franchise<br />
47<br />
Note: (1) Other core countries include North America, UK, Germany and Israel<br />
(2) PWB costs excluding FSA and bonds
PWB 2014: Renew with sustainable scale and profitability<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> Group<br />
in<strong>com</strong>e breakdown<br />
(2014E)<br />
Public Banking<br />
Belgium<br />
Annual new LT<br />
<strong>com</strong>mitments<br />
(EUR bn)<br />
~3.5 (~28%)<br />
LT <strong>com</strong>mitments<br />
(EUR bn)<br />
~35 (~25%)<br />
In<strong>com</strong>e<br />
(EUR m)<br />
~250 (~22%)<br />
Non lending<br />
in<strong>com</strong>e 2 / total<br />
in<strong>com</strong>e (%)<br />
~55%<br />
Public Banking<br />
France<br />
~4.0 (~33%)<br />
~65 (~40%)<br />
~400 (~34%) ~50%<br />
Public Banking<br />
~0.5 (~5%)<br />
~30 (~20%)<br />
~100 (~7%)<br />
~55%<br />
International 1 ~250 (~20%)<br />
Corporate<br />
Banking<br />
Belgium<br />
~2.0 (~16%)<br />
~10 (~5%)<br />
~200 (~17%)<br />
~30%<br />
Project finance<br />
~2.0 (~<strong>18</strong>%)<br />
~15 (~10%)<br />
~30%<br />
Total PWB 2014E<br />
~12.0<br />
~155<br />
~ 1,200<br />
~45%<br />
48<br />
Note: (1) Public Banking international includes North America, UK, Germany and Israel<br />
(2) Non lending in<strong>com</strong>e: in<strong>com</strong>e from fees and <strong>com</strong>missions on all activities + in<strong>com</strong>e from deposits + in<strong>com</strong>e from market related activities
PWB 2014: Improved funding structure<br />
Funding linked to PWB 1 <strong>com</strong>mercial activity<br />
Contribution to LT funding (as % of PWB LT <strong>com</strong>mitments)<br />
72%<br />
Key drivers<br />
Increased PWB deposits base through<br />
offer diversification<br />
48%<br />
PWB deposits<br />
11%<br />
LT secured<br />
36%<br />
2010E<br />
PWB deposits<br />
19%<br />
LT secured<br />
53%<br />
2014E<br />
Consistent ability to originate AAA<br />
covered bonds eligible assets 2<br />
• ~70% of 2014 annual new LT<br />
<strong>com</strong>mitments AAA eligible<br />
• ~EUR 58 bn transferred to the cover<br />
pools from 2010 to 2014, including<br />
~70% of new LT <strong>com</strong>mitments<br />
PWB contributing to reach 2014<br />
Group targets<br />
• 11% of short-term financing<br />
• 58% of stable funding (covered bonds<br />
and deposits)<br />
49<br />
Note: (1)PWB excluding Crediop and <strong>Dexia</strong> Sabadell<br />
(2) <strong>Dexia</strong> Municipal Agency, <strong>Dexia</strong> Kommunalbank Deutschland and <strong>Dexia</strong> Lettres de Gage Banque
Our ambition: Renew with sustainable scale and<br />
profitability<br />
1<br />
Public Banking Belgium:<br />
A confirmed market leader<br />
2<br />
Public Banking France:<br />
A profitable and recognized specialist<br />
3<br />
Corporate Banking Belgium:<br />
A profitable and focused client base<br />
with an edge in public sector related corporates<br />
4<br />
Project Finance:<br />
The preferred provider of major global sponsors<br />
with an edge in PFI/PPP and energy/environment<br />
50
Public Banking Belgium 2014: A confirmed market leader<br />
Client<br />
franchise<br />
Commercial<br />
network<br />
Product<br />
offering<br />
Non lending<br />
in<strong>com</strong>e (%)<br />
Net Promoter<br />
Score (NPS)<br />
Cost of risk 1<br />
~10,000 clients in both local authorities and social profit segments<br />
• ~7,000 local and supra-local authorities clients: e.g. municipalities, “centre public d’action<br />
sociale”, police zones, provinces, regions, <strong>com</strong>munautés, regional and federal entities<br />
• ~3,000 social profit clients: e.g. hospitals, health institutions, social housing institutions,<br />
education, social organizations, funds, federations<br />
Hub & Spoke network with a regional footprint<br />
• ~40 public bankers serving local authorities and social profit clients (“Hub”)<br />
• Specialized Marketing and dedicated research team<br />
• Product specialists: e.g. cash management, leasing, factoring, real estate, asset management<br />
(“Spoke”)<br />
• ~20 E-banking consultants<br />
State of the art banking services for the Public and Social sector<br />
Integrated solutions vs. products<br />
• E.g Real Estate, treasury management, budget optimization, pension<br />
~55% (mainly driven by cash management, insurance and fee-business)<br />
Maintain NPS above main <strong>com</strong>petitors<br />
Key promotion drivers: specialized and dedicated organization from front to back<br />
and recognized expertise<br />
~0-3 bps<br />
51<br />
Note: (1) Cost of risk as percentage of <strong>com</strong>mitments outstandings (bps)
Public Banking Belgium 2010: Quality of revenue through<br />
full-fledged banking relationship<br />
Full-fledged banking relationship<br />
Confirmed leadership and profitability<br />
In<strong>com</strong>e breakdown<br />
Annual new LT<br />
<strong>com</strong>mitments (EUR bn)<br />
Commercial margin on annual<br />
new LT <strong>com</strong>mitments<br />
(Index 100: 2009)<br />
3.9<br />
~+42%<br />
1<br />
1<br />
3.1<br />
2009<br />
2010E<br />
2009 2010E<br />
52<br />
Note: (1) Non lending in<strong>com</strong>e: in<strong>com</strong>e from fees and <strong>com</strong>missions on all activities + in<strong>com</strong>e from deposits + in<strong>com</strong>e from market related activities
Public Banking Belgium 2010: Undisputed client intimacy<br />
Undisputed<br />
client intimacy<br />
Given your experience, on a scale from 0 to 10, how likely would<br />
you re<strong>com</strong>mend <strong>Dexia</strong> to your professional environment?<br />
Detractors<br />
(0 to 6) 9%<br />
Passive<br />
(7-8)<br />
62%<br />
Promoters<br />
(9-10)<br />
29%<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong><br />
Detractors<br />
Passive<br />
Competitors<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> recognized<br />
<strong>com</strong>petitive advantages<br />
Stable relationship due to “portfolio<br />
effect” (strong business resilience)<br />
Specialized and dedicated organization<br />
and staff, allowing tailored value<br />
proposition<br />
Continuous efforts to maintain proximity<br />
• Specialized services and solutions<br />
• Change management support<br />
Debt management expertise<br />
NPS<br />
score:<br />
+20%<br />
-80%<br />
53<br />
Note: NPS score = % of promoters (9-10)- % of detractors (0-6)<br />
Source: NPS Survey October 2009, based on 373 respondents
Public Banking Belgium 2010: Continuous tailoring of value<br />
proposition<br />
Energy line:<br />
Sustainable development<br />
Financing of<br />
cogeneration<br />
Solar panels<br />
Energy<br />
efficiency<br />
solutions<br />
Silver line:<br />
Ageing population<br />
Housing<br />
certificates<br />
Socialdemographic<br />
profiles<br />
Pension<br />
solutions<br />
Social line:<br />
Social Inclusion<br />
Pre-paid cards<br />
creation<br />
Social aid<br />
account<br />
Immo line:<br />
Real Estate<br />
PPP products<br />
Sale & lease<br />
back<br />
IT line:<br />
Electronic Banking<br />
Papyrus<br />
(e-documents)<br />
Green IT<br />
E-banking offer<br />
evolution<br />
54
Public Banking France 2014: A profitable and recognized<br />
specialist<br />
Client<br />
franchise<br />
Commercial<br />
network<br />
~4,500 strategic clients with a resilient long-lasting relationship<br />
• ~2,500 local authorities clients: e.g. municipalities, departments, regions<br />
• ~2,000 social profit clients: e.g. hospitals, health and social housing inst., SEM, “mutuelles”<br />
Hub & Spoke network with a regional footprint<br />
• ~115 relationship managers (“Hub”)<br />
• Product specialists: Commercial banking, Financial Engineering, Debt management, Specialized<br />
Finance, Statutory insurance, Fleet management (“Spoke”)<br />
Dedicated direct platform in Paris and Lyon<br />
55<br />
Product<br />
offering<br />
Non lending<br />
in<strong>com</strong>e (%)<br />
Net Promoter<br />
Score (NPS)<br />
Cost of risk 1<br />
LT/ST lending and debt management<br />
Increased cross sell of existing offer: deposits, insurance and asset management<br />
Upgraded <strong>com</strong>mercial banking services through best-in-class platform provided by<br />
Credit Mutuel enabling access to additional products<br />
• E.g. Mobile banking and services, factoring, leasing, remote security control<br />
Enlarged offer, mainly through partnerships, tailored to client emerging needs<br />
• E.g. GE (Medical Equipment leasing), CDC (Public Real Estate), CESU (Axa assistance)<br />
~50% (mainly driven by <strong>com</strong>mercial banking, deposits, CESU and statutory<br />
insurance)<br />
NPS above main <strong>com</strong>petitors: ~20%<br />
• Key promotion drivers: Recognized expertise and service quality<br />
~0-3 bps<br />
Note: (1) Cost of risk as percentage of <strong>com</strong>mitments outstandings (bps)
Public Banking France 2010: Quality of revenue<br />
prevailing over volumes<br />
Selective approach:<br />
favoring margins vs. volumes<br />
Potential to improve<br />
client advocacy<br />
Annual new LT <strong>com</strong>mitments<br />
(EUR bn)<br />
Commercial margin on annual new LT<br />
<strong>com</strong>mitments (Index 100: 2009)<br />
~+59%<br />
Given your experience, on a scale from 0 to 10,<br />
how likely would you re<strong>com</strong>mend <strong>Dexia</strong> to your<br />
professional environment?<br />
Detractors<br />
(0 to 6)<br />
35%<br />
Detractors<br />
19%<br />
Passive<br />
(7-8)<br />
49%<br />
Passive<br />
59%<br />
NPS<br />
score:<br />
Promoters<br />
(9-10) 16%<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong><br />
- 19%<br />
Promoters<br />
22%<br />
Competitors<br />
+3%<br />
56<br />
Note: NPS score = % of promoters (9-10)- % of detractors (0-6)<br />
Source: Net Promoter Score October 2009 Survey (444 answers)
Public Banking France 2010: A redefined approach to<br />
financial engineering<br />
Redefined approach to financial engineering<br />
Complete re-assessment of structured<br />
loans activity from front to back office<br />
New set of rules for structured loans<br />
marketing, based upon<br />
• 10 <strong>com</strong>mitments to our clients<br />
• “Charte Gissler”<br />
Reinforced governance<br />
• Refined suitability policy<br />
• Revisited validation process of new<br />
products<br />
57
Public Banking France 2010: A recognized specialist of<br />
public sector<br />
Well-recognized sector research<br />
Tailored-made studies<br />
58
Corporate Banking Belgium 2014: A profitable and focused<br />
client base with an edge in public sector related corporates<br />
Client<br />
franchise<br />
Commercial<br />
network<br />
Product<br />
offering<br />
Non lending<br />
in<strong>com</strong>e (%)<br />
Net Promoter<br />
Score (NPS)<br />
Cost of risk 1<br />
~2,700 key clients<br />
• ~2,200 key Mid-Corporate clients with turnover between EUR 10 m and EUR 250 m<br />
• ~600 key Corporate and Large Corporate with turnover higher than EUR 250 m<br />
Strong established franchise with ~50 key public sector related corporates<br />
• E.g. Utilities, environment, energy, water, waste, tele<strong>com</strong>, transport, infrastructure<br />
Hub & Spoke network with a regional footprint<br />
• ~40 relationship managers<br />
• ~8 business centers covering all regions across country: Brussels, Tournai, Kortrijk, Ghent,<br />
Antwerp, Hasselt, Liège, Charleroi<br />
Enlarged offer: e.g. trade finance, cash management, B2G solutions<br />
Recognized expertise in asset finance, corporate and structured finance<br />
Innovative offer for investments and deposits (cash-in/out ratio above market level)<br />
~30% (mainly driven by deposits, asset finance and advisory services)<br />
NPS above <strong>com</strong>petitors on core clients (Public corps and Mid-Corp.): ~10%<br />
• Key promotion drivers: strong client intimacy with mid-sized business owners<br />
50-60 bps<br />
59<br />
Note: (1) Cost of risk as percentage of <strong>com</strong>mitments outstandings (bps)
Corporate Banking Belgium 2010: Reengineering of credit<br />
process<br />
Improved credit processing time 1<br />
Lead-time to decision (Index 100: 2009 situation)<br />
Key levers<br />
Full process-redesign to eliminate<br />
hand-overs and streamline overlapping or<br />
double activities<br />
-65%<br />
100<br />
Reduction of delegation levels<br />
Shared location for Corporate Bankers<br />
and Risk officers to enhance credit risk<br />
assessment<br />
35<br />
Corporate Banker in charge of<br />
<strong>com</strong>mercial analysis to better capitalize<br />
on client knowledge<br />
2009<br />
2011E<br />
60<br />
Note: (1) On corporates with annual turnover between EUR 10-250M
Project Finance 2014: The preferred provider of major global<br />
sponsors with an edge in PFI/PPP and energy/environment<br />
Client<br />
franchise<br />
Commercial<br />
network<br />
Product<br />
offering<br />
Non lending<br />
in<strong>com</strong>e (%)<br />
Market<br />
reputation<br />
Cost of risk 2<br />
~60 strategic clients mainly active in: infrastructure/PPP and energy/environment<br />
(e.g. Bouygues, Colas, EDF, GDF Suez, Eiffage, Suez Environnement, Veolia,<br />
Invenergy, Bam, Acs Dragados)<br />
Strong presence in Europe and focused international coverage, e.g.<br />
• US & Canada 31% 1<br />
• Benelux 14%<br />
• France 9%<br />
• UK 9%<br />
Dedicated <strong>com</strong>mercial network to maintain proximity with strategic clients<br />
~50 professionals centrally<br />
~50 dedicated originators and structurers in key countries (USA, Canada, UK…)<br />
Confirmed leading-edge expertise on PFI, PPP and energy/environment<br />
Developed “ancillary” business (e.g. financial advisory, account management,<br />
deposits, debt underwriting, agent services, hedging)<br />
~30% (mainly driven by deposits, hedging, agent and advisory services)<br />
Expertise and performance consistently rewarded at business level<br />
~20-25 bps<br />
61<br />
Note: (1) Share of 2009 new LT <strong>com</strong>mitments<br />
(2) Cost of risk as percentage of <strong>com</strong>mitments outstandings (in bps)
Project Finance 2010: A well recognized expertise and<br />
reputation<br />
A long-lasting franchise<br />
Recent achievements<br />
Project Finance annual new LT <strong>com</strong>mitments (EUR bn)<br />
Highly loyal client base<br />
generating recurring<br />
business<br />
85% of new<br />
<strong>com</strong>mitments<br />
75% of transactions<br />
#4 global player in PFI/PPP projects in 1H10<br />
#6 global player in renewable energies<br />
projects in 1H10<br />
62
PWB in<strong>com</strong>e evolution 2009-2014<br />
PWB in<strong>com</strong>e 2009-2014E (EUR m)<br />
2009 - 2010E/2011E Average<br />
in<strong>com</strong>e evolution drivers:<br />
• Higher cost of funding<br />
impacting “refinancing price”<br />
of existing assets (following<br />
early <strong>com</strong>pliance with EC<br />
requirements)<br />
• Commercial margin, fees<br />
and other: Stable business<br />
and sale of assets<br />
2010E/2011E Average-2014E<br />
in<strong>com</strong>e evolution drivers:<br />
• Lower cost of funding,<br />
thanks to improved long-term<br />
funding mix: Deposits up,<br />
long-term senior unsecured<br />
down<br />
• Commercial margin, fees<br />
and other: Increased in<strong>com</strong>e<br />
mainly from new business<br />
initiatives<br />
63<br />
Note: Total PWB excluding Crediop and <strong>Dexia</strong> Sabadell<br />
Other includes margin on Economic Equity + other margin and in<strong>com</strong>e (including insurance)
PWB Target 2014: Renew with sustainable scale and<br />
profitability<br />
In<strong>com</strong>e (EUR bn) C/I ratio (%) Pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e (EUR bn)<br />
64<br />
Note: Total PWB excluding Crediop and <strong>Dexia</strong> Sabadell
PWB Target 2014: Renew with sustainable scale and<br />
profitability<br />
Risk weighted assets (EUR bn) ROEE (%)<br />
40<br />
~36<br />
~35<br />
~21%<br />
13%<br />
~12%<br />
2009<br />
2012E<br />
2014E<br />
2009<br />
2012E<br />
2014E<br />
65<br />
Note: Total PWB excluding Crediop and <strong>Dexia</strong> Sabadell<br />
ROEE calculated based on a normative tax rate at 21%
PWB target 2014<br />
Public Banking Belgium: A confirmed market leader<br />
Public Banking France: A profitable and recognized specialist<br />
Corporate Banking Belgium: A profitable and focused client base with an<br />
edge in public sector related corporates<br />
Project Finance: The preferred provider of major global sponsors with an<br />
edge in PFI/PPP and energy/environment<br />
In<strong>com</strong>e: ~EUR 1.2bn<br />
Non-Lending in<strong>com</strong>e 1 / In<strong>com</strong>e: ~45%<br />
C/I ratio: ~42%<br />
Maintained business mix, with low cost of risk<br />
Pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e: ~EUR 600 m<br />
66<br />
Note: (1) Non lending in<strong>com</strong>e: in<strong>com</strong>e from fees and <strong>com</strong>missions on all activities + in<strong>com</strong>e from deposits + in<strong>com</strong>e from market related activities
Retail & Commercial Banking<br />
Belgium & Luxembourg<br />
Enhance franchise, increase<br />
cross-selling on our client base<br />
Stefaan Decraene<br />
Head of RCB-AMS
Belgium and Luxembourg:<br />
Wealthy and robust retail & <strong>com</strong>mercial markets<br />
Amongst the wealthiest<br />
countries in Europe<br />
High savings rate<br />
Low non performing<br />
loan ratio<br />
GDP per capita (EUR k, 2009 )<br />
Household savings rate<br />
(% of GDP, 2009)<br />
NPL ratio (%, 2009 )<br />
Source: Eurostat<br />
Source: European Commission, Statec<br />
Source: IMF<br />
Note: 2008 data for France and Germany<br />
68
RCB Belgium<br />
Unlock growth potential<br />
and re-build market share
Belgium: A concentrated and mature retail & <strong>com</strong>mercial<br />
banking market<br />
High degree of<br />
population and<br />
banking<br />
concentration<br />
#1 country in Europe in terms of share of urban population (97%)<br />
#2 country in Europe in terms of population density<br />
(341 inhabitants/km²)<br />
High branch concentration, with one branch per 1,280 inhabitants 1<br />
Mature economy with 1.9% real GDP growth expected in 2010<br />
Top 4 banks representing 63% of the market in terms of assets<br />
Competitive<br />
market<br />
Renewed <strong>com</strong>petitive landscape with arrival of BNP Paribas and<br />
increasing share of “Tier 2” challengers<br />
High savings rate, hence high exposure of Belgian banks to savings<br />
account profitability<br />
Increased multi-bancarization of clients<br />
Relatively<br />
lower in<strong>com</strong>e market,<br />
with potential for<br />
upgrade<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Partial substitution of current accounts with savings accounts<br />
Relatively lower banking fees and <strong>com</strong>missions<br />
Relatively lower payment transactions tariffs<br />
70<br />
Note: (1) Including independent agent branches<br />
Source: European Central Bank, European Union, National Bank of Belgium, <strong>Dexia</strong> Research; All data in 2009
<strong>Dexia</strong>: One of the top 3 Belgian retail & <strong>com</strong>mercial banks<br />
Key assets of Belgian franchise<br />
Proximity brand, with nationwide<br />
branch network footprint<br />
Entrepreneurial salesforce,<br />
leveraging independent agents<br />
Strong penetration of direct<br />
channels, with 0.8 m direct banking<br />
active clients<br />
Historically a tradition of simple<br />
savings products (e.g. savings<br />
bonds, Eurobonds)<br />
Synergies with PWB business<br />
(funding, <strong>com</strong>plementary offer)<br />
Retail &<br />
Affluent<br />
EUR 500 k<br />
Top-tier<br />
bank in<br />
Private<br />
Banking<br />
45 k clients<br />
Business<br />
Banking<br />
Strong Retail position with full territory coverage of<br />
branch network<br />
Nationwide branch network …<br />
… also supporting <strong>Dexia</strong> Group businesses<br />
Legend<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> branch<br />
Taxable in<strong>com</strong>e per<br />
household<br />
Lower Higher<br />
859 branches, grouped in 138 clusters<br />
Second largest retail banking<br />
network in Belgium, offering proximity<br />
to customer base<br />
Higher density in high potential areas<br />
Key sales channel for Group businesses<br />
• 34% of <strong>Dexia</strong> AM AuM (retail &<br />
private funds, private mandates)<br />
• 53% of <strong>Dexia</strong> Insurance life<br />
premiums (87% of reserves)<br />
Strong contribution to Group liquidity<br />
• EUR 63 bn funding (on-balance<br />
deposits), of which...<br />
• ... EUR 26 bn long-term liquidity<br />
(more than 1Y)<br />
• 51% loan-to-funding ratio<br />
72<br />
Note: Data as of June 2010
A top-tier position in Private & Business Banking<br />
Top-tier bank in Private Banking<br />
#4 bank in Business Banking<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> Private Banking footprint<br />
Penetration for professional activities (%)<br />
as main & secondary bank in Belgium<br />
Flagship branch<br />
Private Banking centre<br />
Private Advisors in 196 flagship<br />
branches providing account<br />
management services<br />
Specialized Private Bankers in 9<br />
Private Banking centres providing<br />
expertise support (Financial Planning,<br />
Investment Services & Wealth Advice)<br />
Business Banking provided in 348<br />
branches<br />
Regionally supported by<br />
11 decentralized teams<br />
Currently #4 bank, with growth<br />
potential<br />
73<br />
Note: Data as of June 2010<br />
Source: Strategic Monitor
A resilient and solid franchise through the crisis,<br />
with upside for market share re-gains<br />
Highly resilient deposit and customer base<br />
through the crisis<br />
Growth potential after period of stagnating<br />
or eroding market shares<br />
Evolution of RCB deposits in Belgium (EUR bn)<br />
Increasing share of “Tier 2” challengers<br />
Limited investments in branch network<br />
Lower share of voice in <strong>com</strong>munication<br />
RCB market share evolution in Belgium (%)<br />
Evolution of RCB client base in Belgium<br />
Stable<br />
3.8m 3.8m<br />
+6%<br />
173k <strong>18</strong>4k<br />
2005 2009 Δ 05-09<br />
Savings & deposits 15.4% 15.5% +0.1 % pts<br />
Housing loans 15.7% 15.7% Stable<br />
Consumer finance 10.4% 8.9% -1.5 % pts<br />
Insurance - Non Life 4.4% 4.7% +0.3 % pts<br />
Retail<br />
& Affluent<br />
+5%<br />
43k 45k<br />
Private<br />
Business<br />
Insurance - Life 8.9% 6.4% -2.5 % pts<br />
Mutual funds 19.9% 12.4% -7.5 % pts<br />
74
Growth potential evidenced by relatively<br />
low equipment rate and revenue per client<br />
4<br />
Average cross sell rate<br />
<strong>com</strong>pared to European peers<br />
Number of products per client<br />
Lower revenue per client<br />
<strong>com</strong>pared to Belgian peers<br />
Revenue per client (EUR)<br />
3<br />
2<br />
European average<br />
1<br />
0<br />
Lloyds<br />
HBOS<br />
Bankinter<br />
Société Générale<br />
AIB<br />
Bank of Ireland<br />
DnB NOR<br />
Barclays<br />
Swedbank<br />
BPI<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong><br />
BCP<br />
BES<br />
Sabadell<br />
Popular<br />
Commerzbank<br />
BBVA<br />
Alliance & Leicester<br />
Santander<br />
Banesto<br />
Unecredito<br />
Deutsche Postbank<br />
Potential for revenue uplift on existing client base<br />
75<br />
Source: JP Morgan (2005), EFMA Retail Banking Trends 2009
Our ambition: Unlock growth potential and<br />
re-build market share<br />
1<br />
Be<strong>com</strong>e a reference bank for client satisfaction in Belgium<br />
2<br />
Increase cross-selling and revenue from our client base,<br />
leveraging our solid franchise<br />
3<br />
Invest EUR 350 m in a new distribution and marketing model<br />
to support <strong>com</strong>mercial ambition, with a focus on<br />
Affluent / Private and SME segments<br />
4<br />
Improve operating efficiency and Cost / In<strong>com</strong>e ratio<br />
76
Client satisfaction: First signs of recovery after the crisis<br />
Net Promoter Score (NPS)<br />
trending up across client segments<br />
Client satisfaction monitoring<br />
embedded in RCB management<br />
Improvement between Sept 2009 & April 2010<br />
Retail<br />
<br />
+ 4% pts<br />
Client satisfaction scores as key<br />
indicators to measure health of our client<br />
base<br />
Affluent<br />
<br />
+ 10% pts<br />
Continuous tracking of NPS scores per<br />
segment through regular client surveys<br />
since 2009<br />
Business<br />
<br />
+ 6% pts<br />
RCB serving as pilot for other <strong>Dexia</strong><br />
Group businesses<br />
77<br />
NPS Methodology<br />
“On a scale from 0 to 10, how<br />
likely are you to<br />
re<strong>com</strong>mend <strong>Dexia</strong> to family<br />
and friends?”<br />
% Promoters (9-10)<br />
minus<br />
% Detractors (0-6)<br />
= Net Promoter Score (NPS)
Commercial targets in network to grow revenue from our<br />
client base<br />
Annual client KPIs objectives (2010), supported by network productivity targets<br />
Customer net acquisition<br />
Affluent & Private +17,000 clients<br />
Business +5,000 clients<br />
Cross-selling<br />
Equipment<br />
Share of wallet<br />
Affluent & Private<br />
Share of wallet<br />
Business<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
+20,000 Affluent & Private clients<br />
newly equipped with current accounts<br />
70% target share of wallet<br />
60% target share of wallet<br />
Network productivity<br />
Account Management meetings<br />
<br />
15 relationship meetings per week<br />
per Account Manager<br />
78
Commercial targets supporting market share<br />
and revenue gain ambition by 2014<br />
Ambitious market share gains…<br />
… translated into revenue ambition<br />
RCB Belgium dynamic market share (production)<br />
RCB Belgium In<strong>com</strong>e (EUR bn)<br />
EUR +250 m<br />
3.6% CAGR<br />
Savings<br />
& Deposits<br />
Consumer<br />
Finance 1<br />
Business<br />
Credits<br />
On track in 2010: +EUR 32 m<br />
above budget by July 2010<br />
RCB Belgium natural market share on outstanding<br />
79<br />
Note: (1) Market share on bank segment
EUR 350 m Capex investment plan launched in 2009,<br />
to support <strong>com</strong>mercial ambition<br />
Deployment<br />
of new<br />
distribution<br />
model<br />
Open Branch Concept<br />
Direct sales & services<br />
In-branch specialized sales<br />
& service model<br />
Branch re-clustering<br />
(EUR m)<br />
Capex 2009-2012<br />
Brand<br />
repositioning<br />
and new client<br />
segmentation<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> brand repositioning<br />
Enhanced segmentation<br />
and offer for Retail, Affluent,<br />
Private & Business clients<br />
Increased focus on<br />
transparency<br />
Yearly P&L impact:<br />
EUR 20-30 m<br />
80
Roll-out of new branch concept, together<br />
with development of direct sales and services<br />
Open Branch<br />
Concept<br />
Direct sales<br />
& services<br />
In-branch specialised<br />
sales & service<br />
Branch<br />
re-clustering<br />
Refurbishment to<br />
Open Branch Concept<br />
All key branch locations (536) to be refurbished by end 2012<br />
<br />
To date, 40% of refurbishments already done, on track with plan<br />
Improved & Renewed<br />
ATM machines<br />
<br />
<br />
Complete ATM renewing, with on-line recycling cash-in/cash-out<br />
functionalities in all branches<br />
Already 73 % of cash deposit transactions through ATM machines in<br />
Q2 2010, i.e. 5 m annual operations<br />
Enhanced web & call<br />
service offer<br />
<br />
<br />
Migration towards an integrated website - <strong>com</strong>munication,<br />
sales & transactions<br />
Communication & sales managed by dedicated web sales teams<br />
Distribution channels more focused on<br />
sales & client relationship, supported by innovative IT<br />
81
Roll-out of Open Branch Concept on track,<br />
with focus on high potential branches<br />
Number of Open Branch Concept deployed<br />
Average of 12 branch<br />
refurbishments per<br />
month during 1H10<br />
Roll-out on track to reach<br />
2010 year-end target of<br />
310 branches<br />
Positive client feedback,<br />
successful conversion<br />
Target of 536 refurbished<br />
branches by end 2012<br />
82<br />
82
Enhancement of online sales functionalities<br />
on integrated website<br />
Integrated website for our customers<br />
Examples of sales functionalities<br />
enhancements<br />
Payment &<br />
Daily<br />
Banking<br />
<br />
<br />
Integrated account and credit<br />
card simulator<br />
Cross sales flow integration<br />
with credit advice<br />
Consumer<br />
Finance<br />
<br />
<br />
Extended & personalized<br />
credit advice module<br />
Integrated & extended credit<br />
simulator<br />
Integrated websites to improve Internet<br />
interactions and direct sales offer<br />
Investments<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Progressive savings<br />
Portfolio follow-up<br />
Planning for Pension<br />
Currently in test phase for <strong>Dexia</strong><br />
employees<br />
Accessible to customers early 2011<br />
Be<strong>com</strong>ing a<br />
Customer<br />
<br />
Extended product line for<br />
be<strong>com</strong>ing a customer online<br />
83<br />
83
A new in-branch specialized sales & service<br />
model<br />
Open Branch<br />
Concept<br />
Direct sales<br />
& services<br />
In-branch specialised<br />
sales & service<br />
Branch<br />
re-clustering<br />
Investing in client<br />
relationship<br />
management<br />
<br />
<br />
500 additional Account Managers (from 1,400 to 1,900 in 3 years),<br />
of which 192 external recruitments to-date<br />
Creating necessary scale for full local Private and Business Banking<br />
deployment<br />
Investing in<br />
specialisation<br />
<br />
630 Product Specialists (mortgage, consumer finance, insurance)<br />
Boosted training plans (12 to 36 days depending on functions) in 2010<br />
with more than 5,000 people trained in New Distribution Model<br />
Increasing<br />
efficiency<br />
<br />
<br />
Reduction of the number of Generalists per branch<br />
(by decrease of cash handling)<br />
Higher proportion of sales staff<br />
Focus on specialization & client relationship management<br />
84
In particular, synergies initiatives across<br />
Affluent / Private / SME segments<br />
Individual Private<br />
Dual relationship<br />
Affluent/Private - SME<br />
Local Account<br />
Management<br />
<br />
<br />
At least 1 Private Banking<br />
advisor at cluster level (138)<br />
Overall 140 certified Private<br />
Banking advisors<br />
<br />
348 advisors managing<br />
professional & private assets<br />
of independents & liberal<br />
professions<br />
Regional<br />
specialization<br />
<br />
<br />
Supported by regional /central<br />
Private banking expert cells<br />
Overall 53 experts in 9 Private<br />
banking centres<br />
Transversal<br />
cooperation<br />
Supported by 100 regional /<br />
central advisors for small and<br />
mid-corp clients<br />
Service offer<br />
<br />
<br />
Differentiated and specific offer<br />
in areas of Succession<br />
Planning, Wealth Advice<br />
Tailor-made credit solutions<br />
<br />
<br />
Differentiated offer of expert<br />
services for business clients<br />
Faster credit processes<br />
Enhancement of client equipment & profitability<br />
85
Branch re-clustering and optimizing footprint<br />
through clear branch segmentation<br />
Open Branch<br />
Concept<br />
Direct sales<br />
& services<br />
In-branch specialised<br />
sales & service<br />
Branch<br />
re-clustering<br />
Closing of double<br />
presences<br />
<br />
Closing of 80 double branches, located within the same municipality<br />
Network optimization<br />
<br />
<br />
Integration of small branches within bigger branches<br />
Reduced network size but maintained <strong>com</strong>mercial presence<br />
Enlargement of scale<br />
of clusters<br />
<br />
<br />
From 5 to 7-8 branches per cluster/region<br />
Mobility of Account Managers and Specialists within cluster<br />
More efficient distribution network<br />
86
Enhanced marketing model to support our<br />
<strong>com</strong>mercial ambition<br />
Brand re-positioning<br />
campaigns<br />
Boost visibility<br />
Reposition <strong>Dexia</strong> on the<br />
“Essential”<br />
Engage in coaching<br />
relationship with clients<br />
New segmentation<br />
& offer<br />
Industrialised Retail strategy<br />
• Enhanced datamining<br />
• Consumer finance<br />
Affluent strategy<br />
• Account management<br />
• Service plan<br />
Private Strategy<br />
• Financial planning<br />
• Expert services<br />
• VIP services<br />
Business strategy<br />
• Sector-focused<br />
• Improved online offer<br />
• Faster credit process<br />
Enhanced transparency<br />
“New Invest Approach” for<br />
save & invest products:<br />
• Improved client risk portraits<br />
• Product labelling linked to<br />
portraits<br />
87
Launch of innovative offers to support<br />
ambition in Private & Business segments<br />
Financial Planning<br />
in Private Banking<br />
Tailored offer for Medical<br />
Financial Business PlanBanking<br />
Tailor-made wealth and cash flow analysis<br />
Wealth optimization incorporating individual<br />
legal, financial and tax constraints<br />
Integration of both private and<br />
professional environments<br />
Tailored product & service approach for<br />
4 career stages: master, start-up, growth,<br />
pension<br />
1 medical Account Manager specialist in<br />
each cluster<br />
Dedicated support through regional & HQ<br />
experts<br />
88
Innovative <strong>Dexia</strong> “New Invest Approach”,<br />
MiFID applied with client at the centre<br />
Determination of<br />
client overall risk<br />
appetite<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Clear definition of client risk appetite through four<br />
simple “Investor portraits”<br />
Check client goals, horizon, risk appetite at each<br />
transaction<br />
Client made aware of risks associated with product<br />
choices, and warned when investments do not meet<br />
their “Investor portrait”<br />
Product<br />
suitability to<br />
client risk<br />
appetite<br />
<br />
<br />
Labelling of all Save and Invest products<br />
Determination of product suitability given client<br />
“Investor portrait”<br />
Clear view on<br />
client investment<br />
portfolio<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Transparent picture of risks and returns included<br />
within client portfolio<br />
Identification of concentration risks through “not-toexceed”<br />
limits<br />
Broader <strong>com</strong>plementary information provided such<br />
as diversification in sectors, currencies, maturities<br />
89
Operating efficiency under close scrutiny<br />
Main initiatives<br />
Further centralization of Support lines at<br />
DBB and Group level<br />
Example: Reduction of time-to-decision<br />
for SME credit approval<br />
Lead-time to decision (days)<br />
Review of End-to-End processes for<br />
improved efficiency and client service<br />
(e.g. SME & Mortgage credit origination)<br />
Optimization of IT development & project<br />
portfolio (synergies across entities, stricter<br />
demand management)<br />
Complex credit<br />
requests<br />
Simple credit<br />
requests<br />
65% lead-time reduction<br />
of new processes<br />
demonstrated in pilots<br />
run in 2010<br />
Reduction from 4 to 3 central buildings in<br />
Brussels and implementation of<br />
Mobile@Work concept<br />
Targeting continuous improvement of the Cost / In<strong>com</strong>e ratio<br />
90
Our target end-point in 2014<br />
Reinforced <strong>Dexia</strong> position, with attractive brand name built on fairness,<br />
transparency and proximity<br />
A reference bank for customer satisfaction<br />
Re-built market shares and increased cross-selling & revenue per client,<br />
especially in SME & Affluent / Private segments<br />
Enhanced sales & relationship model in network, relying on<br />
entrepreneurial salesforce<br />
Lean operations and central services, increasing internal & external<br />
service quality level<br />
EUR 250 m in<strong>com</strong>e increase targeted over 2009-2014,<br />
supported by a major investment plan (EUR 350 m Capex)<br />
91
RCB Luxembourg<br />
Consolidate local franchise and<br />
reinforce Affluent & Private segments
Main challenges and opportunities in Luxembourg<br />
Changing legal<br />
and regulatory<br />
environment<br />
Banking secrecy under political pressure at international and European<br />
level<br />
EU policies and announcements towards increased fiscal harmonization<br />
Luxembourg remains a <strong>com</strong>petitive Private Banking center, both in terms<br />
of existing <strong>com</strong>petencies and international wealth management solutions<br />
Changing<br />
Luxembourg<br />
international<br />
client base<br />
Increasing demand of higher-end private clients for tailor-made<br />
transparent solutions and services<br />
Some of the traditional client base leaving Luxembourg financial place,<br />
incentivized by modification of tax schemes in their home country<br />
Competitive<br />
local market<br />
<br />
<br />
Very wealthy (highest GDP per capita in Europe, with EUR 76 k per capita<br />
in 2009) and mature market<br />
Strong <strong>com</strong>petition from public / national actors on all segments of the<br />
local market (residents)<br />
93
<strong>Dexia</strong>: A major actor in Luxembourg<br />
Key assets of Luxembourg franchise<br />
Diversified and high-end client<br />
base<br />
• Broad client segment coverage<br />
• Local and international clients<br />
Strong expertise in Private Banking<br />
Full local coverage through a<br />
network of 37 branches servicing<br />
professional and individual clients<br />
Retail (< EUR 100 k) &<br />
Commercial Banking<br />
<strong>18</strong>6 k clients<br />
# 3 bank for<br />
individuals and<br />
professionals<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> as main<br />
banker of 14% of<br />
Luxembourg<br />
individuals 1<br />
Private (> EUR 1 m) &<br />
Affluent Banking<br />
(> EUR 100 k)<br />
42 k clients<br />
Core Private Banking<br />
centers in<br />
Luxembourg and<br />
Switzerland<br />
Wealth structuring by<br />
Experta Luxembourg<br />
EUR 8.9 bn client loans<br />
EUR 30.4 bn client assets,<br />
of which EUR 13.5 bn deposits<br />
#3 bank in Luxembourg, positioned as an upper-segment bank<br />
94<br />
Note: Data as of June 2010<br />
(1) Survey TNS ILReS 2010 performed within a representative population of Luxembourg residents
A dynamic local franchise: Rebuild trust thanks to<br />
efficient <strong>com</strong>mercial focus and campaigns<br />
Evolution of client trust in <strong>Dexia</strong> BIL 1 (%)<br />
72%<br />
79%<br />
52%<br />
Mar 2009<br />
Dec 2009<br />
May 2010<br />
Dynamic client relationship management<br />
• Systematic client contacts post-crisis<br />
Expertise and products adapted to each<br />
client segment, e.g.<br />
• Investment products with guaranteed<br />
in<strong>com</strong>e adapted to Retail clients’ needs<br />
• A dedicated Personal Banker for each<br />
client with AuM > EUR 100 k<br />
Growth of Luxembourg-resident client assets 2 (%)<br />
9%<br />
6%<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
95<br />
Note: (1) SourceTNS ILReS survey, performed within a representative group of resident clients. Data not available before march 2009<br />
(2) Individuals only; does not include professional clients.
A domestic and international Private Banking franchise<br />
renewing with positive inflows<br />
Positive net new cash since 1H10<br />
Supported by core <strong>com</strong>mercial entities:<br />
Luxembourg, including Experta, and<br />
Switzerland<br />
Successful deployment of the Affluent<br />
Banking offering through<br />
semi-standardized offering and dedicated<br />
client advisors<br />
Enhancement of value added offering to<br />
answer to change in Private clients<br />
needs, e.g.<br />
• Intermediated offering (Advisory and<br />
Discretionary Management)<br />
Net new cash 1 (% of AuM)<br />
2%<br />
2008 2009 1H10<br />
-4%<br />
-<strong>18</strong>%<br />
Share of intermediated offering 2 (% of CAL)<br />
19%<br />
17%<br />
13%<br />
• Wealth and financial planning,<br />
tax advisory<br />
• Life insurance<br />
Dec 2008<br />
Dec 2009<br />
Jun 2010<br />
96<br />
Note: (1) Excluding subsidiaries, clients with AuM > EUR 500 k<br />
(2) Discretionary and Advisory Mandates, clients with AuM > EUR 1 m
Our ambition: Consolidate existing franchises and<br />
strengths to foster development<br />
1<br />
Increase market share in Retail and Commercial Banking<br />
2<br />
Reinforce Private Banking expertise and strengthen position<br />
as <strong>Dexia</strong> reference center for International Private Banking<br />
3<br />
Further improve cost efficiency to support profitability and<br />
investment capacity<br />
97
By 2014: Increase market share in Retail and Commercial<br />
Banking<br />
Objectives<br />
Retail Banking<br />
< EUR 100 k<br />
Confirm <strong>Dexia</strong> BIL as a reference<br />
bank for retail clients in<br />
Luxembourg<br />
Commercial Banking<br />
(SME, Corporate, Public)<br />
Diversify and further develop in<br />
Professional banking<br />
Position <strong>Dexia</strong> BIL as an important<br />
player in Luxembourg<br />
Targets<br />
end 2014<br />
Increase our market share as<br />
“main banker” of<br />
Luxembourg individuals<br />
from 14% to 15%<br />
Anchor position for<br />
professionals within top 3 in<br />
Luxembourg<br />
98
By 2014: Increase market share in Retail and Commercial<br />
Banking – Key actions<br />
Retail Banking<br />
< EUR 100 k<br />
Further differentiation of value proposition<br />
• Specialization of sales teams in branches<br />
• Packaged offering per sub-segment<br />
• Adjustment of service model to customer segment<br />
Focus on retail clients with potential (upsell)<br />
Modernization of distribution channels<br />
• Specialized branches (e.g. youth concept)<br />
• Enhanced technologies (web, customer care)<br />
Youth segment :<br />
Targeting young<br />
actives<br />
Commercial<br />
Banking<br />
Selective acquisition strategy (cherry picking) in SME<br />
and self-employed segments<br />
Development of the Corporate segment based on<br />
sector diversification<br />
Development of public and semi-public sector,<br />
leveraging Group expertise (e.g. renewable energies)<br />
Cherry picking strategy<br />
in SME segment<br />
99
By 2014: Reinforce Private Banking expertise and<br />
strengthen position as <strong>Dexia</strong> reference center<br />
Objectives<br />
Affluent Banking<br />
> EUR 100 k<br />
Foster up-sell and increase share<br />
of wallet<br />
Deploy dedicated offering and<br />
service model to clients with<br />
assets from EUR 100 k to 1 m<br />
Private Banking<br />
> EUR 1 m<br />
Grow AuM base and improve<br />
cross selling<br />
Leverage on existing and new<br />
expertise to upgrade service level<br />
Develop client base from higher<br />
growth geographies<br />
Targets<br />
end 2014<br />
Grow AuM per client by 10%<br />
p.a. on identified target<br />
clients, and increase RoA by<br />
10 bps at 100 bps<br />
Reach 3% net new cash p.a.<br />
and 40% of AuM in mandates<br />
100
By 2014: Reinforce Private Banking expertise and<br />
strengthen position as <strong>Dexia</strong> reference center – Key actions<br />
Affluent Banking<br />
> EUR 100 k<br />
Setup a dedicated sales force of ~75 Personal bankers<br />
within branch network, in addition to personal bankers’<br />
team at headquarters<br />
Reinforce Affluent Banking value offering<br />
• Progressive and profile-based packages<br />
• Dedicated life insurance and discretionary management<br />
(e.g. <strong>Dexia</strong> Personal Zen)<br />
• Financial planning services for upper-end clients (upsell)<br />
Discretionary service<br />
for affluent clients<br />
Private Banking<br />
> EUR 1 m<br />
Focus on fiscally-transparent & higher-end clients<br />
Strengthen the level of service and expertise, e.g.:<br />
• Financial offering: focus on Advisory and Discretionary<br />
management; products adapted to specific client needs (e.g.<br />
sharia-<strong>com</strong>pliant products)<br />
• Non-Financial offering: systematic involvement of a Wealth<br />
Planner for HNWI clients and prospects, enhanced Tax and<br />
Financial reporting<br />
• Expertise: recruitments in Luxembourg and Switzerland to<br />
develop selected geographies (Middle East, C&EE, Latin<br />
America)<br />
Implement dual servicing for clients > EUR 1 m in<br />
branches<br />
Financial planning<br />
services<br />
101
By 2014: Further improve cost efficiency to support<br />
profitability and investment capacity<br />
Increased Operations and Support functions<br />
efficiency<br />
Reduction of cost base<br />
Rationalization<br />
of<br />
Luxembourg<br />
cost base<br />
Rationalization<br />
of International<br />
subsidiaries<br />
footprint<br />
Optimization of Real Estate space utilization<br />
and investments<br />
• Exit from 4 buildings<br />
• Optimization of number of square meters per<br />
employee<br />
Revised <strong>com</strong>mercial set-up leading to<br />
improved efficiency and superior client service<br />
-6 to -7%<br />
over 2009-2014<br />
Exit from Montevideo (Sales office) and<br />
Experta international offices already effective<br />
Ongoing or planned exit from Jersey (Private<br />
Bank) and Monaco (Private Bank)<br />
<br />
Strong cost reduction, with limited impact on <strong>com</strong>mercial activity<br />
102
Our target end-point in 2014<br />
Leverage of dynamic local franchise and increased market share as<br />
main banker of Luxembourg individuals at 15%<br />
Better service to our clients thanks to a revised <strong>com</strong>mercial set-up,<br />
tailored by segment, and to reinforced expertise<br />
Strengthened <strong>Dexia</strong> BIL position as <strong>Dexia</strong> international Private Banking<br />
center<br />
Preserved profitability and freed-up investment capacity thanks to<br />
subsidiaries and cost base rationalization<br />
Increased pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e over 2010-2014,<br />
supported by an improved C/I ratio<br />
103
RCB Belgium and Luxembourg<br />
Enhance franchise, increase<br />
cross-selling on our client base
RCB Belgium and Luxembourg Target 2014: Enhance<br />
franchise, increase cross-selling on our client base<br />
In<strong>com</strong>e (EUR bn) C/I ratio (%) Pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e (EUR bn)<br />
105
Asset Management & Services<br />
Manage a portfolio of three<br />
profitable businesses<br />
Stefaan Decraene<br />
Head of RCB-AMS
Asset Management & Services: A portfolio of three<br />
profitable businesses<br />
Asset Management Insurance Investor Services<br />
An efficient and<br />
responsive partner<br />
A key insurance<br />
player in Belgium<br />
and Luxembourg<br />
A well recognized<br />
top 10 global<br />
player<br />
Key activity<br />
indicators<br />
(1H10 vs. 1H09)<br />
AuM<br />
growth<br />
+7% Premium<br />
growth<br />
+64% AuA<br />
growth<br />
+38%<br />
Pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e<br />
(1H10)<br />
EUR 35 m<br />
EUR 65 m<br />
EUR 28 m<br />
Limited capital consumption and no scale issue<br />
Attractive growth prospects based on a diversified client base and<br />
strong collaboration with RCB and PWB<br />
107
Asset Management<br />
An efficient and responsive<br />
client partner
<strong>Dexia</strong> AM: A recognized and well diversified Asset<br />
Manager<br />
Client mix<br />
Total AuM: EUR 83 bn<br />
Diversified client franchise<br />
• Client Relationship Managers covering 15 European<br />
countries & selected regions<br />
• Important international institutional franchise (non-captive)<br />
Product mix<br />
Total AuM: EUR 83 bn<br />
Recognized expertise & customized solutions<br />
• Long experience in tailor-made solutions and asset<br />
allocation<br />
• Global strategies in Fixed In<strong>com</strong>e & Equity<br />
• Leader in promising processes: Sustainable and<br />
Responsible Investments (more than 20% of AuM) and<br />
Alternative<br />
• Over 78% of funds with 3-4-5 stars according to<br />
Morningstar<br />
109<br />
Note: AuM as of June 2010<br />
Committed teams with solid track record<br />
• Senior management working as a team for over 10 years<br />
• 560 staff of which <strong>18</strong>5 Investment & Research<br />
professionals<br />
• High responsiveness of 100 Client Relations &<br />
Solutions experts
Resilience proven through the crisis: <strong>Dexia</strong> AM<br />
well positioned to capture the upside<br />
Resilience in<br />
Investment Management<br />
Worldwide, Investment Strategies<br />
were challenged<br />
Resilience in<br />
Commercial Development<br />
Large retail outflow due to retail clients<br />
refocusing on deposits<br />
Consistent performances delivered<br />
and no major incidents or liquidity<br />
issues in funds and mandates<br />
Further development of institutional<br />
client franchise (from 59% AuM in<br />
2008 to 67% in 2009) thanks to:<br />
Risk Management with proven value<br />
throughout cycles<br />
Performances of Traditional<br />
Management consistently above<br />
average<br />
75% of Alternative Strategies positive<br />
in 2008, 90% positive in 2009<br />
Long-standing international<br />
<strong>com</strong>mercial presence<br />
Solutions adapted to client needs<br />
110
Operating performance <strong>com</strong>paring very favorably to peers<br />
High operating margin<br />
Low cost structure<br />
Gross Operating In<strong>com</strong>e / In<strong>com</strong>e (1H10)<br />
Total costs / Average AuM (1H10)<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> AM <strong>com</strong>paring very favorably to industry<br />
averages on key performance indicators<br />
111 Source: Benchmarking survey
A client-centric business model, adding value for clients<br />
along the entire value chain<br />
Boutique<br />
Small size<br />
Specialised strategies<br />
Client-centric organization<br />
Medium size<br />
Customized solutions<br />
Beta factory<br />
Huge size<br />
Standardized beta products<br />
<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> AM is ideally positioned to offer solutions adapted to client needs:<br />
• Stable and efficient organization, and thus a trustworthy partner for clients<br />
• Critical mass for essential <strong>com</strong>petencies to build client solutions<br />
• Still agile & flexible enough to be a responsive partner<br />
Core product range<br />
Tailor Made Solutions<br />
<br />
In-house analysis & proprietary models<br />
for Fixed In<strong>com</strong>e & Equity Strategies<br />
<br />
ALM analysis & LDI solutions for pension<br />
funds and insurers<br />
<br />
<br />
Pioneer with 15 years of <strong>com</strong>mitment &<br />
in-house team of Sustainable &<br />
Responsible Investments analysts<br />
Full UCITS III range of strategies, team of<br />
experts with 15-year experience in<br />
Alternative Investments<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Optimised asset allocation & tailor-made<br />
solutions through mandates<br />
Innovative solutions<br />
Adapted products & approach for<br />
distributors<br />
112<br />
Sustainable partnerships with clients based on transparency,<br />
trust, proximity & responsiveness
Our ambition: Grow client franchise leveraging an efficient<br />
platform and a client-centric expertise<br />
Continue to build solutions for client needs<br />
• Diversified core range generating Alpha<br />
• SRI pioneer & leader in Alternative<br />
• Pension funds solutions & asset allocation<br />
Expand and diversify client base<br />
• On-going focus on international clients<br />
• Growth of non-captive franchise<br />
• Expansion into strong-growth regions (Asia)<br />
Continue to foster efficiency<br />
Client coverage<br />
• Europe<br />
• Australia (Ausbil)<br />
• Canada (DAM sales presence),<br />
Middle East (DAM sales<br />
presence), Latin America<br />
(distribution partnership)<br />
• Expand in strong-growth regions<br />
Production centres<br />
Brussels, Paris, Luxembourg,<br />
Australia (Ausbil)<br />
~EUR 130 bn AuM<br />
~EUR 30 bn Net New Cash (NNC) over 2011-14<br />
70% of NNC from non-captive franchise<br />
o/w 1/3 from international clients (Australia, Canada, Middle East,<br />
Chili, International organizations)<br />
48% operating margin<br />
Target 2014<br />
113
<strong>Dexia</strong> AM Target 2014: Deliver further growth<br />
AuM 1 (EUR bn) C/I ratio (%) Pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e (EUR m)<br />
114<br />
Note: (1) End of period
Insurance<br />
Value creation through<br />
multi-channel distribution
DIS: A key insurance player with a multi-channel<br />
distribution strategy in Belgium and in Luxembourg<br />
Bankinsurance<br />
RCB network<br />
in Belgium<br />
Wholesale<br />
Premiums:<br />
EUR 1,167 m 1<br />
90% Life<br />
10% Non-life<br />
Multi-channel distribution strategy<br />
Belgium<br />
DVV<br />
214 exclusive<br />
agents<br />
355 POS<br />
Premiums:<br />
EUR 242 m 1<br />
43% Life<br />
57% Non-life<br />
Corona<br />
Direct<br />
Internet /<br />
Direct<br />
Affinity deals<br />
Premiums:<br />
EUR 29 m 1<br />
29% Life<br />
71% Non-life<br />
Luxembourg<br />
DLP<br />
External<br />
distribution<br />
partnerships<br />
in and outside<br />
Luxembourg<br />
Premiums:<br />
EUR 485 m 1<br />
100% Life<br />
0% Non-life<br />
Bancassurance: 87% of Life reserves in Belgium<br />
• Life insurance fully integrated with DBB<br />
• Cross-selling of non-life bancassurance products<br />
starting from banking products<br />
• Strategic collaboration with selected DVV agents on<br />
Business clients<br />
DVV: Leading distribution of non-Life products<br />
• Own product range (DVV branded products),<br />
leveraging a network of tied agents<br />
Direct distribution through Corona<br />
• Niche player, focusing on car insurance through<br />
affinity deals, internet and call centre channels<br />
DLP: Distribution of Life products, acting as the<br />
international Life insurance platform of the Group<br />
• Collaboration with <strong>Dexia</strong> BIL to improve cross-selling<br />
ratio and develop insurance solutions<br />
• Relying on external distribution partnerships<br />
#5 position in Belgium and among top 10 in Luxembourg<br />
116<br />
Note: Data as of June 2010, (1) Premiums collected in 1H10<br />
Source: ACA
Strong financial & activity recovery in 2010<br />
Premium evolution 1 1H10 vs. 1H09<br />
Strong recovery in Life insurance, especially<br />
thanks to strong <strong>com</strong>mercial performance of<br />
bank-insurance in Belgium & Luxembourg<br />
Strong performance also in Non-life, more<br />
resilient than the Life business<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> Life<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> Non-life<br />
Overall, important rebound of net in<strong>com</strong>e and<br />
profitability back to pre-crisis level<br />
Combined ratio 2<br />
(2009, %)<br />
Cover ratio (%) Pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e (EUR m)<br />
Stricter Risk management and ALM guidelines<br />
implemented<br />
113<br />
65<br />
• More conservative asset allocation<br />
• Favorable <strong>com</strong>bined ratio vs. peer group<br />
throughout the crisis<br />
Solvency II should not lead to further capital<br />
needs<br />
-32<br />
1H09<br />
2H09<br />
1H10<br />
117<br />
Note: (1) Bancassurance Retail & Wholesale<br />
(2) Peer group includes figures for Axa, Ageas, Ethias, KBC, Allianz, Vivium, Mercator, P&V and Fidea
Going forward, <strong>Dexia</strong> Insurance to drive value creation<br />
opportunities in four areas<br />
Bancassurance<br />
1<br />
Unlock further<br />
potential from<br />
bank clients<br />
Improve set-up for further cross-selling on retail banking clients<br />
Develop SME potential<br />
Further equip public & corporate clients, capitalising on RCB franchise<br />
Capitalize on "New Investment Approach" of RCB for life insurance<br />
DVV<br />
Achieve full<br />
potential from<br />
tied agents’<br />
network<br />
Extend geographical coverage<br />
Improve brand visibility<br />
Free <strong>com</strong>mercial time through better processes and IT equipment<br />
DLP<br />
Develop DLP<br />
as a centre of<br />
excellence for<br />
HNWI<br />
Continue to leverage synergies with <strong>Dexia</strong> BIL, offering solutions that<br />
<strong>com</strong>bine life insurance expertise and asset management know-how<br />
Expand in European countries, especially those driving the Life<br />
insurance business in Luxembourg (Germany, France, Italy and<br />
Switzerland)<br />
Drive operational<br />
excellence<br />
Improve service & quality through optimised processes<br />
Further integrate back-office platforms<br />
Increase straight-through processing via better interfaces with<br />
channels and partners<br />
1<strong>18</strong><br />
Note: (1) Retail & Wholesale
Clear targets stated in each area<br />
Bancassurance<br />
1<br />
Unlock further<br />
potential from<br />
bank clients<br />
Regain 6% market share in Life by 2014,<br />
to reach 15% natural market share<br />
DVV<br />
Achieve full<br />
potential from<br />
tied agents’<br />
network<br />
15% annual premium growth by 2012,<br />
then 10% up to 2014<br />
DLP<br />
Develop DLP<br />
as a centre of<br />
excellence for<br />
HNWI<br />
Reach EUR 1 bn premiums by 2014<br />
Drive operational<br />
excellence<br />
Reach a C/I ratio below 55% by 2014<br />
119<br />
Note: (1) Retail & Wholesale
DVV: Investment plan to develop tied agents’ network<br />
Key challenges<br />
Investment plan<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Development of the DVV brand<br />
and channel<br />
Improvement of the quality<br />
and services of the back offices<br />
Reduction of administrative time<br />
in front office<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
60 new branches<br />
10% additional sales representatives<br />
Acquisition of portfolios<br />
Investment in brand and <strong>com</strong>munication<br />
Optimize <strong>com</strong>mercial results in existing<br />
branches<br />
• Commercial coaching<br />
• Commissions and incentives<br />
• Up-to-date <strong>com</strong>mercial front IT-environment<br />
and CRM<br />
<br />
Increase profitability on existing portfolio<br />
Expected results<br />
15% premium growth by 2012, then 10% up to 2014<br />
• 80,000 new contracts in currently untapped areas by 2012<br />
• 35,000 new clients by 2012<br />
Improved productivity: +35% in 2012 vs. 2009<br />
120
Insurance Target 2014: Deliver further growth<br />
Non life premiums<br />
(EUR m)<br />
Life premiums (EUR m) Pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e (EUR m)<br />
486<br />
~540<br />
~600<br />
2,354<br />
~2,470<br />
~2,770<br />
~170<br />
~220<br />
81<br />
2009<br />
2012E<br />
2014E<br />
2009 2012E<br />
2014E<br />
2009<br />
2012E<br />
2014E<br />
Combined ratio (%) Life reserves (EUR bn) C/I ratio (%)<br />
121
Investor Services<br />
A well recognized<br />
top 10 global player
RBC <strong>Dexia</strong> Investor Services activities: One of the top 10<br />
global custodians<br />
123<br />
Assets under<br />
Administration (AUA)<br />
Ranking 2Q10<br />
No. of funds administered 6,286<br />
NAVs (annualized)<br />
Shareholder accounts<br />
Ratings<br />
Recognized for client<br />
service excellence<br />
Key facts as of June 2010<br />
EUR 1,979 bn<br />
(USD 2,428 bn)<br />
#10 globally<br />
1.9 m<br />
9.4 m<br />
Moody’s: Aa3<br />
S&P: AA-<br />
#1 Global Custodian in 7<br />
key categories (incl. #1 for<br />
EMEA), as well as # 2<br />
Overall for Global Custody 1<br />
#2 Overall Global<br />
Custodian 2<br />
European Transfer Agent of<br />
the Year 3<br />
Note: (1) Global Custodian 2010, (2) R&M Consultants 2010, (3) Funds Europe 2009<br />
Joint-venture with Royal Bank of<br />
Canada since 2006, that leveraged<br />
<strong>com</strong>plementary core<br />
<strong>com</strong>petencies to increase scale<br />
economies and provide access to<br />
larger mandates<br />
Broad geographic footprint<br />
• 16 locations on 4 continents<br />
• Positioned to benefit from<br />
high-growth markets<br />
• Ability to service large<br />
multi-jurisdictional mandates<br />
• Subcustody network extending to<br />
over 90 markets<br />
Diversified client base, supported<br />
by an extensive product and<br />
service offering<br />
Strong rating, with the only positive<br />
outlook from S&P among the top 10<br />
custodians
Recent industry trends creating both challenges and<br />
opportunities<br />
New financial<br />
market dynamics<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Globalization of asset management industry – increased cross- border and<br />
foreign exchange transactions anticipated<br />
Equity markets increasing over the last <strong>18</strong> months but still uncertain<br />
Low interest rate environment<br />
Client landscape<br />
and priorities<br />
have changed<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Flight to quality<br />
Need for safety and soundness of custodians / administrators<br />
Requirements for transparency and risk management<br />
Ability to support product innovation<br />
Need for multi-jurisdictional services - global reach increasingly required<br />
Outsourcing expected to continue to increase given asset managers focus<br />
on core activities<br />
Increased<br />
pressure on<br />
economics<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Acceleration of industry consolidation of both clients and <strong>com</strong>petitors<br />
Continued pressure towards cost efficiency<br />
Large IT investments required<br />
Regulatory changes (e.g. UCITS IV)<br />
124
Key activity indicators: Back to pre-crisis level<br />
Assets AuA 1 (in EUR tn)<br />
Number of funds 1<br />
1.76<br />
1.43<br />
1.98<br />
5,288<br />
5,886<br />
6,286<br />
2Q08<br />
2Q09<br />
2Q10<br />
2Q08<br />
2Q09<br />
2Q10<br />
AuA has returned to pre-crisis levels<br />
Activity volumes continue to increase supported by<br />
• Healthy core asset servicing activities<br />
• Sustained <strong>com</strong>mercial activity (cross-selling, client retention and client acquisition)<br />
Acquisition in Italy (UBI Banca depositary bank activities)<br />
125<br />
Note: (1) End of period
RBC <strong>Dexia</strong> Investor Services is well positioned for<br />
further growth and development<br />
Competitive strengths<br />
Reputation for service excellence<br />
Extensive geographical reach to<br />
support multi-jurisdictional asset<br />
managers<br />
Best-in-class platforms for fund<br />
services and securities lending<br />
Extremely <strong>com</strong>petitive offering to<br />
support asset managers in both<br />
offshore and onshore markets<br />
Strong relative credit rating and<br />
financial soundness<br />
Significant number of new multijurisdictional<br />
clients added since the<br />
creation of the JV (including new<br />
mandates based on an offshore /<br />
onshore value proposition and<br />
supporting distribution into Asia)<br />
Successful up-sell and cross-sell of<br />
new products and services into our<br />
client base<br />
Large investments in systems,<br />
platforms and new capabilities<br />
Consistently high client service<br />
recognition: Maintained top quartile<br />
rankings in surveys<br />
126
Our ambition: Enable our clients to achieve their<br />
ambitions by delivering exceptional service<br />
Maximize client<br />
and revenue<br />
growth<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Advance leadership position in Canada and Luxembourg to maximize<br />
growth opportunities across our geographic footprint<br />
Continue to build scale and market presence in key high-growth markets<br />
(e.g. Dublin, UK, Australia, Italy, Switzerland)<br />
Expand & develop relationships with more of the top global asset managers<br />
Retain and grow our top clients<br />
Enhance &<br />
broaden suite<br />
of products<br />
and services<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Deliver an integrated and <strong>com</strong>petitive product offering to our clients<br />
Enhance and extend current products and capabilities to new geographies and<br />
clients (e.g. transfer agency, investment analytics, enhanced portfolio reporting,<br />
cash management products)<br />
Build new product capabilities (e.g. enhanced distribution support services)<br />
Globally<br />
integrated<br />
client<br />
experience<br />
<br />
<br />
Deliver operational efficiencies and enhance global operating models to<br />
provide a consistent, integrated client experience across multiple geographies<br />
Increase functionality, capacity and efficiency to leverage scale<br />
127
Investor Services Target 2014: Deliver further growth<br />
AuA 1 (EUR tn)<br />
Growth range<br />
(CAGR 2009-2014)<br />
~2.45<br />
~2.70<br />
AuA<br />
8 to 10%<br />
1.71<br />
In<strong>com</strong>e<br />
9 to 12%<br />
2009<br />
2012E<br />
2014E<br />
Costs<br />
4 to 6%<br />
128<br />
Note: AuA growth does not include transformational deals, (1) End of period
Retail & Commercial Banking<br />
Turkey<br />
Pursue sustainable<br />
growth story in Turkey<br />
Hakan Ateş<br />
Head of DenizBank
In a nutshell: DenizBank, a sustainable growth engine for<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong><br />
Turkey, a robust economy with growth<br />
prospects<br />
A sound banking market with strong<br />
potential notably in Retail<br />
DenizBank, an influential profitable<br />
growth story with efficient governance<br />
rules<br />
A successful and scalable model<br />
offering ambitious and sustainable<br />
growth prospects<br />
130
Solid performance of the Turkish economy over past<br />
decade and strong growth prospects going forward<br />
Turkey Real GDP growth (%)<br />
Turkey<br />
EU-27<br />
Real GDP growth (%) - Economic scenario<br />
17 th biggest economy 1 in the world with a large<br />
informal sector, and well diversified<br />
Strong growth performance since 2002<br />
outperforming EU27<br />
• Average GDP growth of ~7% over 2002-2007<br />
• Back to pre-crisis level with 6.5% expected in 2010<br />
Very open and sound economy<br />
• Trade: 46% of GDP in 2008, same in 2010<br />
• Stabilized inflation rate at single digits over 04-10<br />
• Contained public debt: ~43% of GDP in 2010<br />
Good prospects for the Turkish economy<br />
• Strong domestic demand supported by a young<br />
and underleveraged population<br />
• Trade dynamism boosted by development of the<br />
region balancing Europe slowdown<br />
Turkey sovereign credit rating 2 expected to<br />
reach Investment Grade soon<br />
Turkey expected to be<strong>com</strong>e the 9 th biggest<br />
economy in 2050 3<br />
131<br />
Note: (1) 15 th as of GDP PPP (2) BB for Standard & Poor’s & Fitch, Ba2 for Moody’s (3) According to Goldman Sachs 2009 projections<br />
Source: <strong>Dexia</strong> research, Turkish Statistical Institute
Several socio-economic indicators confirming growth<br />
outlook<br />
Young population<br />
Rapidly getting richer<br />
Population by age group (2009)<br />
GDP per capita (USD k, 2009)<br />
Turkey 53%<br />
40% 7%<br />
+20% in 4 years<br />
CIVETS<br />
excl. Turkey<br />
56%<br />
38%<br />
6%<br />
Brazil 53%<br />
40% 7%<br />
China 38%<br />
52% 10%<br />
Feeding private consumption<br />
Russia 39%<br />
48% 13%<br />
+450k homes<br />
per annum<br />
+650k cars per<br />
annum<br />
+2m TV sets<br />
per annum<br />
EU27 35%<br />
48%<br />
17%<br />
100<br />
113<br />
100<br />
112<br />
< 30 years 30 – 59 years > 60 years<br />
2010E 2014E 2010E 2014E<br />
Housing Cars TV sets<br />
132<br />
Note: CIVETS (HSBC label): Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey and South Africa<br />
Source: Euromonitor, World Bank, Ekspres Invest research (DenizBank Brokerage Company)
A sound banking system thanks to an empowered and<br />
prudent regulator<br />
Strong capital base Ample and stable liquidity Low leverage risk<br />
Tier 1 ratio (end 2009) Loan-to-deposit ratio (end 2009)<br />
Leverage ratio (end 2009)<br />
19%<br />
121%<br />
23.3<br />
10%<br />
76%<br />
7.5<br />
Europe<br />
Turkey<br />
Europe<br />
Turkey<br />
Europe<br />
Turkey<br />
133<br />
Source: Deutsche Bank ‘Running the numbers’ report (based on a sample of 45 European banks), BRSA
Current level of banking penetration highlights strong<br />
potential of the market<br />
Loans to households to GDP ratio<br />
Deposits to GDP ratio<br />
72%<br />
57%<br />
52%<br />
48%<br />
37%<br />
29%<br />
25%<br />
23%<br />
<strong>18</strong>%<br />
15%<br />
11%<br />
213%<br />
149%<br />
123%<br />
79%<br />
72%<br />
56% 54%<br />
34%<br />
33%<br />
31%<br />
27%<br />
UK<br />
GER<br />
BEL<br />
FRA<br />
CRO1 LIT POL SLO ROM TUR RUS1<br />
UK<br />
BEL<br />
GER<br />
FRA<br />
CRO<br />
SLO TUR LIT<br />
(Jun 2010)<br />
POL<br />
RUS<br />
ROM<br />
Number of branches per 10,000 inhabitants<br />
Number of ATMs per 100,000 inhabitants<br />
134<br />
Note: 2008 data except ATMs in Russia (2007 ) (1) Mortgage + Consumer loans only<br />
Source: Turkish Statistical Institute, European Banking Federation, ECRI, European Central Bank, Russia/Croatia/Poland Central Banks
Strong local players <strong>com</strong>pete with subsidiaries of<br />
international groups<br />
Turkish banking market as of end 2009 1<br />
Seven well-established banks<br />
<strong>com</strong>pose Tier 1<br />
• Best-in-class banks: Isbank,<br />
Garanti and Akbank<br />
• Other players: three state<br />
banks (Ziraat, Halk and Vakif)<br />
and one 50/50 JV (Yapi Kredi)<br />
Six middle-sized banks make the<br />
2 nd Tier<br />
• Mainly JVs or foreign banks<br />
subsidiaries<br />
• Deniz leading the group in<br />
terms of profitability<br />
• Fierce <strong>com</strong>petition anticipated<br />
Other players already<br />
marginalized<br />
State banks Tier 1 Tier 2<br />
135<br />
Note: (1) Consolidated figures<br />
Source: BRSA, FINTURK
DenizBank, the most influential profitable growth story in<br />
Turkey thanks to its differentiating market approach<br />
1997–2003<br />
(Privately owned bank)<br />
2004–2006<br />
(Publicly listed co.)<br />
2007–2010<br />
# 81 bank 1 # 12 bank 1 # 10 bank 1 # 9 bank 1<br />
DenizBank DNA<br />
Prudent risk<br />
management and<br />
good positioning<br />
Efficient cost<br />
+ +<br />
management<br />
Superior<br />
growth<br />
=<br />
High profitability<br />
Limited weight of<br />
Securities in total<br />
assets<br />
Low NPLs vs.<br />
peers 2<br />
Opex per FTE and<br />
C/I significantly<br />
lower than peers 2<br />
State-of-the-art IT<br />
platform and<br />
processes<br />
Loans and deposits<br />
growth<br />
outperforming<br />
sector and peers 2<br />
ROE above<br />
peers 2<br />
Increasing share<br />
of profit among<br />
Turkish banks<br />
136<br />
Note: (1) In terms of assets<br />
(2) Peer group consists of tier 1 and tier 2 private banks
Corporate Governance rules set up since the very<br />
beginning, and reinforced with <strong>Dexia</strong><br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Deniz<br />
Board of Directors<br />
3 independent<br />
members<br />
4 Deniz Executives<br />
4 <strong>Dexia</strong> members<br />
<br />
Deniz Governance<br />
Committee<br />
Head of RCB, Deniz<br />
Chairman, Deniz<br />
CEO, Group CRO<br />
and Group CFO<br />
Deniz among the first Turkish banks to<br />
implement internationally recognized<br />
Corporate Governance principle<br />
Set up of a monthly ‘Governance Committee’<br />
to reinforce coordination between Deniz and<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> and facilitate decision making<br />
Group Head of Support Line<br />
Risk<br />
Ops & IT<br />
Finance<br />
HR<br />
Audit<br />
Communication<br />
Directive lines in most critical support<br />
functions, where <strong>Dexia</strong> Group respective Heads<br />
are responsible: Risk, Finance, Audit and CLT<br />
Close risk monitoring and assessment through<br />
9 regional centers<br />
Strong functional links in Ops & IT, HR and<br />
Communication to capture synergies and<br />
exchange <strong>com</strong>petences with the Group<br />
CLT<br />
Directive line<br />
Strong Functional line<br />
137
DenizBank growth outperformed the market without<br />
sacrificing profitability<br />
Growth track record<br />
Strong profitability<br />
Loans market share (%) Return on Equity (%)<br />
4.8% CAGR 02-09<br />
Deniz Market<br />
Deniz<br />
Sector<br />
Peers 1<br />
2.6%<br />
48% 36%<br />
2002<br />
2009<br />
High contribution of all segments + Innovative<br />
products in Retail<br />
Deposits market share (%)<br />
ROE constantly above sector average<br />
despite strict investment policy<br />
Deniz share of Turkish banks profitability 2 (%)<br />
2.1%<br />
2.9%<br />
CAGR 02-09<br />
3.0% CAGR 02-09<br />
Deniz Market<br />
Deniz Market<br />
26% 21% 64% 32%<br />
0.7%<br />
2002<br />
2009<br />
2002<br />
2009<br />
Increasing focus on deposit collection as an<br />
alternative to <strong>Dexia</strong> funding<br />
5 th private bank in terms of net profit today<br />
138<br />
Note: (1) Peer group consists of tier 1 and tier 2 private banks<br />
(2) Consolidated figures<br />
Source: BRSA
Cost efficiency, prudent Risk Management and asset<br />
quality at the heart of DenizBank success<br />
OPEX per FTE (TRY k)<br />
Deniz<br />
Sector<br />
Peers 1<br />
Deniz operating expenses per FTE 15% below<br />
sector average in 2009<br />
Cost per employee beating inflation with 5.7%<br />
CAGR over 06-09 vs. 8.3% for inflation<br />
NPL ratio (adjusted 2 , %)<br />
Deniz<br />
Sector<br />
Despite stronger loan growth, NPL beating the<br />
market by 0.7 pts in 2009, thanks to balanced<br />
exposure and prudent risk management<br />
Cost of risk back to 2008 level in 1H10 at 1.8%<br />
Peers 1 Limited securities exposure of DenizBank (13%<br />
Deniz cost<br />
of risk (%)<br />
Share of Securities in total assets (%)<br />
Sector<br />
Deniz<br />
Peers 1<br />
of total assets in 2009 vs. 32% for market<br />
average)<br />
Profitability of DenizBank mainly driven by its<br />
business franchise<br />
139<br />
Note: (1) Peer group consists of tier 1 and tier 2 private banks<br />
(2) NPL adjusted with write-offs and sales<br />
Source: BRSA
Accelerated branch opening over the last 3 years resulting<br />
in a young branch network not at its full potential yet<br />
Deniz branch network evolution over 04-10<br />
<strong>18</strong>0+<br />
500+<br />
Deniz among the most active players in terms<br />
of branch opening<br />
• +150% in 6 years vs. ~50% for the market<br />
199<br />
121<br />
~40 per<br />
year<br />
320<br />
~60+ per<br />
year<br />
Increased branch opening pace thanks to welldefined<br />
formats and processes<br />
Branch network focused on high potential<br />
areas (e.g. Metropolitans, Agri. regions)<br />
2004<br />
05-07<br />
2007<br />
08-10E<br />
2010E<br />
Loans and deposits volume by age of branch (TRY m)<br />
Before<br />
breakeven<br />
zone<br />
Profitability zone<br />
Deniz avg. age<br />
(end 2009)<br />
Year 1 to 6<br />
CAGR<br />
Loans Deposits<br />
48% 54%<br />
Loans<br />
Deposits<br />
Branch performance and profitability strongly<br />
dependent on age<br />
• ~50% CAGR in loans and deposits over the first 5<br />
years<br />
Young network (5 years vs. 22 for the sector)<br />
• 50% of branches in their first year and 100% older<br />
than 3 years are profitable<br />
Room for higher profitability in the <strong>com</strong>ing<br />
years<br />
Branch age (years)<br />
140
Today, DenizBank, a well-established Retail franchise<br />
with ~4 m clients<br />
Market shares (2009, %)<br />
~3 m individual clients (2.9 m Mass and<br />
100 k Affluent clients)<br />
6.5 k+ Private Banking clients 2 served via<br />
wealth management centers<br />
Over 420 k agricultural clients<br />
• #1 Private Bank on this segment<br />
• Innovative products for Agri .clients<br />
1<br />
More than 490 k SME clients 3<br />
Service quality assessment 4<br />
Wide ranging<br />
dist. channels<br />
Innovative<br />
card offers<br />
DenizBank overperforming its peers in terms<br />
of customer satisfaction<br />
Agriculture<br />
Card<br />
Broad range of customized products<br />
targeting specific segments<br />
• Private<br />
55% consumer<br />
loans via SMS<br />
• SMEs<br />
• Agriculture<br />
Contactless Card for<br />
Galatasaray fans<br />
141<br />
Note: Retail including Agri and SMEs (1) General Purpose Loans + Car Loans + Mortgage Loans (2) Clients with AuM > $250K (3)Turnover < TRY 10<br />
m (4) Based on data of DenizBank Brand Tracker Study, done by GfK in 13 major cities
Strong Commercial and Corporate segment benefiting<br />
from solid footholds and feeding other Business Lines<br />
High performing Commercial and Corporate<br />
segment…<br />
…feeding other business lines<br />
Project finance<br />
Commercial banking<br />
(Annual turnover between<br />
TRY 10-100 m)<br />
Corporate banking<br />
(Annual turnover > TRY<br />
100 m)<br />
Retail/ SMEs/<br />
Agri<br />
Total 1.5 m subscribers<br />
Project Finance<br />
Commercial &<br />
Corporate<br />
<strong>18</strong> k clients (of which 2 k in Corporate)<br />
capturing ~90% of Forbes Turkish Top 500<br />
<strong>com</strong>panies<br />
Strong focus on strategic sectors and<br />
cross-selling<br />
Limited cost of risk: 0.7% for Corporate<br />
and 0.3% for Commercial, as of August 2010<br />
555,000 Retail<br />
600,000 SMEs<br />
& Corporate<br />
345,000<br />
Farmers<br />
Cash<br />
Electricity<br />
Distribution<br />
Company<br />
Cash<br />
Project Finance: Club Loan<br />
Acquisition Value: USD 440 m<br />
Total Loan: USD 300 m (financed by<br />
4 banks)<br />
DenizBank Participation: USD 50 m<br />
Tenure: 10 years<br />
USD 1.5 bn annual cash flow<br />
TETAŞ<br />
Public Electricity<br />
Trader<br />
Collection<br />
Account<br />
Major actor in important Project Finance<br />
deals 1<br />
142<br />
Note: (1) Example: DenizBank acted as coordinator and MLA for the water windfarm project awarded by Euromoney in 2009
Portal approach allowing great synergies between<br />
entities, thanks to a state-of-the art IT platform<br />
Full fledged Retail and<br />
Corporate Eurozone bank<br />
with EUR 1.8 bn deposits<br />
CJSC <strong>Dexia</strong> Moscow<br />
Targeting Turkish<br />
Corporates in Russia to<br />
create synergies with Deniz<br />
Top 5 contender in the<br />
sector in trade volume<br />
IPO demand collection<br />
leader since 2005<br />
#3 in receivables with<br />
10% market share<br />
#2 in the sector in<br />
bancassurance profitability<br />
within 2 years of operation<br />
All subsidiaries and networks<br />
connected to one single IT platform<br />
Sector leader in profitability,<br />
#4 in receivables with 7%<br />
market share<br />
143
Deniz 2014: Be the first alternative to largest banks while<br />
maintaining DenizBank profitable growth model<br />
Invest TRY 500+ m and speed up branch opening to reach more than 800<br />
branches by 2014 and more than 7% share of doors<br />
Enhance customer centric approach to deliver state-of-the-art quality,<br />
increase loyalty and cross-selling<br />
Maintain disciplined loan culture and prudent risk management<br />
principles<br />
Continue stress on innovation and deliberately enter new profitable<br />
niches<br />
Maintain prudent cost management culture with highly efficient HR, IT and<br />
public relations<br />
Diversify sources of funding with increased share of deposits and<br />
longer term wholesale financing<br />
144
Support functions: DenizBank model scalability to allow<br />
ambitious expansion<br />
HR<br />
Training support through Deniz Akademi and Deniz TV: Capacity to train 1000<br />
employees simultaneously in addition to e-learning offers<br />
Highly skilled junior and mid-level managers to form future executives: 70%<br />
of managers nominations sourced internally<br />
Operations<br />
Economy of scale through mutualization of branch operations: reduction of<br />
number of Branch Ops FTEs per branch by 15% over 2010-2014<br />
Reduction of manual transactions in total transactions to decrease from 37%<br />
in 2010 to 30% in 2014<br />
IT<br />
Inter-Next: State-of-the-art IT infrastructure capable of handling 103 times 1<br />
current transactions<br />
Ocean: New credit card application platform capable of processing 64 times<br />
current transaction volumes<br />
145<br />
Note: (1) From Microsoft Seattle lab tests
Network: DenizBank to open 300+ new branches focusing<br />
on Metropolitans and rural areas with diversified formats<br />
199<br />
DenizBank branch expansion plan<br />
~40/year<br />
320<br />
~60/year 500+<br />
More than<br />
80/year<br />
800+<br />
Deniz to continue opening more branches than<br />
the market<br />
Leverage of its successful model and<br />
experienced teams<br />
Deniz share of doors to move from 5 to 7%<br />
over 2010-2014 with specific stress on big<br />
cities and rural areas<br />
2004<br />
05-07 2007 08-10E 2010E 11E-14E 2014E<br />
Share of doors (%) 5% 7%<br />
Big branches (Deposit & Loan oriented)<br />
Full fledged branches serving all kind of<br />
customers at the center of urban model<br />
In small cities, branches offering Agri. services<br />
Two well-defined formats to achieve full<br />
coverage of a zone<br />
• Ocean as a wall of money<br />
• ‘Green Drop’ branches in small cities and rural<br />
areas serving agricultural customers<br />
Fully automated branches<br />
‘Green Drops’<br />
146
Individual & Private banking: New active segmentation to<br />
maximize sales effectiveness and grasp market shares<br />
Strategy<br />
Ambition<br />
Mass<br />
(AuM < USD 50 k)<br />
Mass portfolio served by Account Managers<br />
Full range of basic and packaged product offering through<br />
well defined client segmentation<br />
Proactive sales management to increase cross-selling<br />
Push of alternative channels (e.g. Internet, call centers,…)<br />
Number of Mass clients (m)<br />
Affluent<br />
(AuM between<br />
USD 50 k and 250 k)<br />
Dedicated Account Managers as the only point of contact<br />
New incentive scheme rewarding recruitment of middleclass<br />
customers and premiumization of existing ones<br />
Focus on cross-sell leveraging active segmentation<br />
Number of Affluent clients (k)<br />
147<br />
Private<br />
(AuM > USD 250 k)<br />
Dedicated Private Banking Experts and Relationship<br />
Managers serving HNWIs in PB Centers and Retail<br />
branches<br />
Besides HNWIs, targeting key segments such as Business<br />
Owners, cash rich Mid Caps and Corporate Family Wealth<br />
Customized and sophisticated investment solutions<br />
Number of Private banking<br />
clients (k)
SME & Agricultural Banking: DenizBank to grasp market<br />
share through extensive network and innovation<br />
Number of SME clients (k)<br />
490<br />
700 - 750<br />
Further expansion of the SME card by offering of<br />
custom-tailored solutions<br />
Development of cash management and thirdparty<br />
partnerships with Corporate clients having<br />
large distribution network<br />
Institutional cooperation with regional<br />
Chambers of Commerce<br />
June 2010<br />
2014E<br />
Number of Agri. clients (k)<br />
550 - 580<br />
420<br />
June 2010<br />
2014E<br />
Expansion of ‘green drop’ successful format in<br />
small cities and rural areas<br />
Privileged relations with sectoral actors (e.g.<br />
suppliers, cooperatives) enabling alternative<br />
distribution channels development<br />
Close cooperation with Ministry of Agriculture<br />
experts to promote Deniz to farmers<br />
Roll-out of Agri + turnkey solution allowing new<br />
farmers to establish their business<br />
148
Commercial & Corporate: Target of promising mid caps<br />
and leverage of Corporate franchise and Group expertise<br />
Insurance<br />
Leasing<br />
Factoring<br />
Suppliers banking /<br />
Ac<strong>com</strong>pany growth<br />
Cross<br />
selling<br />
Corporate and<br />
Investment<br />
Banking<br />
Commercial<br />
banking<br />
Employees<br />
banking<br />
Business owner<br />
banking<br />
Retail / SME<br />
banking<br />
Deniz to increase the coverage of Turkey key<br />
economic zones with 7 additional business<br />
centers (~+30%)<br />
Number of Portfolio Managers increased<br />
accordingly to reach 330+<br />
Leverage of synergies between business<br />
lines to reinforce Commercial business<br />
Private banking<br />
DenizBank Corporate sector exposure (% of loan book, 2009)<br />
Deniz to increase diversification of its<br />
Corporate loan book<br />
Corporate product offering to be broadened<br />
leaning on <strong>Dexia</strong> expertise<br />
Public Finance as an important growth<br />
reservoir in the <strong>com</strong>ing years<br />
149
Overall: Increased weight of Retail to accelerate deposit<br />
collection<br />
Increased Retail share in loan book<br />
Increased deposit base<br />
DenizBank assets evolution<br />
DenizBank liabilities evolution<br />
Other 4%<br />
Other 4%<br />
Other 6%<br />
Other 6%<br />
Cash & liquid<br />
assets 23%<br />
Cash & liquid<br />
assets 20%<br />
Wholesale<br />
22%<br />
Wholesale<br />
14%<br />
Equity 11%<br />
Equity 14%<br />
Retail<br />
loans 33%<br />
Retail<br />
loans 39%<br />
Comm. &<br />
Corp. loans<br />
39%<br />
Comm. &<br />
Corp. loans<br />
37%<br />
Deposits<br />
57%<br />
Deposits<br />
68%<br />
2009<br />
2014E<br />
2009<br />
2014E<br />
150<br />
Note: Retail including SME and Agri
DenizBank Target 2014: A business not at full potential,<br />
generating TRY 1.2 bn pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e & 14% ROE<br />
In<strong>com</strong>e<br />
(TRY bn)<br />
C/I ratio<br />
(%)<br />
Pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e<br />
(TRY bn)<br />
ROE<br />
(%)<br />
39%<br />
Cost to adjusted in<strong>com</strong>e<br />
excluding capital gains<br />
151
Operating model<br />
Reach operational<br />
excellence<br />
André Vanden Camp<br />
COO
On track to decrease Group cost base by EUR 600 m<br />
by 2011<br />
Group cost base (EUR m)<br />
Savings 2009-2011<br />
-15%<br />
Refocus on core franchises<br />
Divestment of entities 1<br />
Downsizing of PWB international 2<br />
Impact of refocus estimates ~EUR -270 m<br />
Achieving operational excellence<br />
Efficiency measures -230 m<br />
Intra-group synergies -285 m<br />
Start of industrialisation -30 m<br />
Total cost savings estimates ~EUR -545 m<br />
Inflation and wage drift<br />
<br />
Inflation and wage drift<br />
estimates<br />
Other effects<br />
~EUR +300 m<br />
Estimated Deniz net cost growth<br />
Restructuring costs 3<br />
Total other effects estimates ~EUR -100 m<br />
153<br />
Note: (1) Includes realised divestment of entities (FSA, <strong>Dexia</strong> Epargne Pension, <strong>Dexia</strong> K. Austria, Experta and ADINFO) and expected<br />
divestment of entities (DB Slovensko)<br />
(2) Impact before wage drift and inflation; includes ~EUR 5 m savings in 2011 part of the announcement of September 15 th 2010, subject to<br />
Workers Council advice<br />
(3) All restructuring costs booked in 2008-2009-2010; EUR 174 m restructuring costs booked in 2008
Reaching operational excellence facilitated by the new<br />
Group governance rules<br />
Functional mode<br />
Directive mode<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> SA<br />
CEO<br />
SL<br />
Head<br />
CEO<br />
SL Head<br />
Directive mode<br />
• Since June 2009 for<br />
Finance and Risk<br />
Businesses<br />
CEO<br />
SL<br />
Head<br />
CEO<br />
SL<br />
Head<br />
• Since September<br />
2010 for Operations<br />
& IT 1<br />
Reinforcement of Group structure by moving to a directive mode for Support<br />
Lines with clear benefits<br />
• Increased budgetary control enforcing cost consciousness at all levels<br />
• Reinforced discipline within support functions to capture intra-group<br />
synergies<br />
• Better coordination of activities across Group businesses as critical enabler<br />
for mutualisation and industrialisation<br />
154<br />
Note: (1) Initiative part of the announcement of September 15 th 2010, subject to Workers Council advice
A clear roadmap towards operational excellence<br />
Wave 1<br />
2009<br />
Wave 2<br />
2010-2011<br />
Wave 3<br />
2012-2013<br />
Efficiency<br />
measures<br />
Capture quick wins and<br />
develop efficiency<br />
measures<br />
Continuously capture quick<br />
wins and develop efficiency<br />
measures<br />
Intra-group<br />
synergies<br />
Start pooling Group<br />
resources and capabilities<br />
Further pool<br />
Group<br />
resources and<br />
capabilities<br />
Start of<br />
industrialisation<br />
Manage productivity in fast<br />
growing businesses<br />
Start moving to<br />
industrialisation<br />
155
Efficiency measures 2008-2011: Capture quick wins and<br />
develop efficiency measures<br />
Project tracking<br />
Cost efficiency measures on main entities<br />
• DBB (e.g. reduction of buildings, optimisation of payments and securities<br />
operations, right-sizing of front-office support)<br />
• DCL (e.g. right-sizing of sales support management, optimisation of IT hardware<br />
and maintenance, IT projects portfolio review)<br />
• DBL (e.g. right-sizing of RCB front-office support, IT development optimisation)<br />
• DTS (e.g. demand management and cost optimisation on IT infrastructure)<br />
• DIB (e.g. optimisation of <strong>com</strong>mercial support, optimisation of operations, review<br />
of IT portfolio)<br />
Control on staff costs<br />
• Tight control on vacancies and hiring policy<br />
Other local initiatives<br />
• Continuous cost effort policy at entity level<br />
Efficiency measures estimates 1<br />
~EUR 230 m<br />
156<br />
Note: (1) Impact before wage drift and inflation; includes ~EUR 10 m savings in 2011 part of the announcement of September 15 th 2010, subject to<br />
Workers Council advice
Intra-group synergies 2008-2011: Start pooling Group<br />
resources and capabilities<br />
Project tracking<br />
Centralised purchasing<br />
• Budget driven pressure on purchasing categories<br />
• Tight demand management<br />
• Price re-negotiation on specific purchasing categories<br />
• Leverage of Group purchasing power through consolidation of suppliers, Group<br />
contracts and Group policies<br />
TFM adaptation<br />
• Adapt front-office teams to new market conditions (flatten TFM governance, redesign<br />
of bonds origination and distribution activities)<br />
• Streamlining of back-offices<br />
Re-design of the support lines<br />
• Effectiveness and efficiency on support functions (mainly in <strong>com</strong>pliance / legal /<br />
tax, human resources, <strong>com</strong>munication & brand, operations & IT and audit)<br />
Real estate optimisation<br />
• Decrease in number of buildings at local headquarters‘ level and optimisation of<br />
floor space occupation<br />
Start of IT development optimisation<br />
• Leverage cross-entity <strong>com</strong>petences<br />
Intra-group synergies estimates 1<br />
~EUR 285 m<br />
157<br />
Note: (1) Impact before wage drift and inflation; includes ~EUR 50 m savings in 2011 part of the announcement of September 15 th 2010, subject to<br />
Workers Council advice
Industrialisation 2008-2011: Manage productivity in fast<br />
growing businesses and start moving to industrialisation<br />
Project tracking<br />
Deniz staff productivity gains<br />
• Productivity gains in Ops & IT with ~700 FTE hire avoided due to automation<br />
and process optimisation<br />
• Stabilisation of headquarters FTE to total asset ratio<br />
RBC <strong>Dexia</strong> staff productivity gains<br />
• Strengthening of the operating model to reflect a global business with<br />
development of a <strong>com</strong>mon set of functions, standardised processes and<br />
measurement models<br />
First impact of credit operations improvement<br />
• Reduction of credit decision lead times for SME and Mid-Corp credits to support<br />
growth ambition<br />
• Alignment of decision processes with European best practices<br />
First impact of industrialisation estimates 1<br />
~EUR 30 m<br />
158<br />
Note: (1) Impact before wage drift and inflation; includes ~EUR 5 m savings in 2011 part of the announcement of September 15 th 2010, subject<br />
to Workers Council advice
Third wave of initiatives to capture ~EUR 90 m additional<br />
savings in 2012-2013<br />
Refocus on core<br />
franchises<br />
Efficiency<br />
measures<br />
Intra-group<br />
synergies<br />
Start of<br />
industrialisation<br />
Total<br />
Further refocus of PWB international<br />
Impact of refocus<br />
Additional local efficiency initiatives<br />
Salary cost technical optimisation<br />
Further IT infrastructure efficiency<br />
Efficiency measures<br />
Continuation of IT development optimization<br />
Continuation of centralised purchasing effects<br />
Continuation of TFM adaptation<br />
Further support lines initiatives<br />
Intra-group synergies<br />
Continuation of credit operations improvements<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> CLF Banque<br />
First impact of industrialisation<br />
Total additional savings in 2012-2013 1<br />
~EUR 25 m<br />
~EUR 20 m<br />
~EUR 40 m<br />
~EUR 5 m<br />
~EUR 90 m<br />
159<br />
Note: (1) Impact before wage drift and inflation; ~EUR 90 m savings in 2012-2013 part of the announcement of September 15 th 2010, subject to<br />
Workers Council advice; Other ~EUR 70 m announced on September 15 th 2010 scheduled to have an impact in 2011
Examples of intra-group efficiency initiatives leveraging<br />
the new Group governance rules<br />
IT-Development<br />
TFM<br />
<br />
Fragmented IT development activities across<br />
entities<br />
<br />
Multiplicity of TFM processes and IT<br />
systems across <strong>Dexia</strong> entities<br />
Context<br />
<br />
Project delivery weaknesses regarding timeto-market<br />
& budget<br />
<br />
Constrained IT investment budget, imposing<br />
trade-offs<br />
<br />
Misalignment of IT costs with revenue,<br />
following new Group profile<br />
Ambition<br />
<br />
<br />
Leverage cross-entity <strong>com</strong>petences to<br />
improve quality of project delivery, reduce<br />
operational risk and realise productivity gains<br />
Steer IT development by Group CIO with a<br />
directive link towards local CIOs<br />
<br />
<br />
Increase convergence of processes<br />
supported by one single system<br />
Re-focus and increase efficiency of IT<br />
investments<br />
<br />
Right-size IT investments and align with<br />
actual revenue level<br />
Key levers<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Competence centres serving all entities<br />
Harmonized project challenging<br />
methodologies<br />
Standardized project management<br />
methodology<br />
Common testing tools across entities<br />
<br />
<br />
Alignment of processes and harmonised IT<br />
systems covering front-office, back-office, risk<br />
and accounting with one reference platform<br />
Limitation of the local specificities of the<br />
other entities on the reference platform (high<br />
level of standardisation across entities)<br />
<br />
Strict demand management<br />
160<br />
Note: IT-Development project part of the announcement of September 15 th 2010, subject to Workers Council advice
Examples of industrialisation projects preparing <strong>Dexia</strong> for<br />
the future<br />
Credit operations<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> CLF Banque<br />
Context<br />
<br />
<br />
Substantial investment in <strong>com</strong>mercial<br />
franchises, with growth expectations on<br />
business credits<br />
Current credit processes (and service level)<br />
not <strong>com</strong>petitive to meet <strong>com</strong>mercial ambition<br />
<br />
End of partnership of DCL / DCLF Banque<br />
with Crédit du Nord on December 31 st , 2012<br />
on <strong>com</strong>mercial banking platform<br />
Ambition<br />
<br />
<br />
Reduction of credit decision lead times for<br />
SME and Mid-Corp credits to support growth<br />
ambition<br />
Alignment of governance and decision<br />
processes with European best practices<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Replace <strong>com</strong>mercial banking platform and<br />
increase <strong>com</strong>mercial productivity<br />
Integrate <strong>com</strong>mercial banking activity of<br />
DCLF Banque into DCL value chain<br />
Investigate opportunities not only to save costs<br />
but also to improve processes and develop<br />
revenues<br />
Key levers<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Lean origination processes<br />
Increased delegation to Front-Office<br />
Introduction of a business / risk ‘binôme’<br />
decision-making<br />
Elimination of overlapping activities<br />
<br />
Leverage industrial partnership with Crédit<br />
Mutuel-CIC to:<br />
• Improve the quality of processes<br />
• Extend products offering through access<br />
to a robust industrial platform<br />
<br />
Creation of integrated servicing factory<br />
161<br />
Note: Credit operations project part of the announcement of September 15 th 2010, subject to Workers Council advice
Close monitoring system in place<br />
Strong management team<br />
Tailored governance and tools<br />
<br />
Sponsorship of each initiative at top<br />
management level (i.e. CODIR<br />
members)<br />
<br />
Delivery pace and impact monitored<br />
through recurring performance<br />
reviews at CODIR level<br />
Realistic plans<br />
Successful track record<br />
<br />
Bottom-up assessment of<br />
feasibility and ambitions of initiatives<br />
(rigorous reality check)<br />
<br />
Over the past two years, track<br />
record of consistent delivery<br />
versus ambition<br />
High level of confidence to deliver additional initiatives<br />
162
Key messages<br />
Group cost base decreased by EUR 600 m by<br />
end 2011, to <strong>com</strong>pensate for scaled down non<br />
<strong>com</strong>mercial revenues and divestures<br />
Operational efficiency projects achieving EUR<br />
545 m savings 1 by end 2011 before wage drift<br />
and inflation<br />
Target 2012<br />
Group C/I ratio: ~68%<br />
Development of a continuous cost effort<br />
culture delivering additional savings of EUR 90 m<br />
in 2012-2013 1 before wage drift and inflation<br />
Target 2014<br />
Start of the industrialisation phase, as most<br />
players in the financial services industry, to<br />
improve costs, processes and quality of services<br />
(e.g. Crédit Mutuel-CIC partnership on CLFB)<br />
Group C/I ratio: < 65%<br />
163<br />
Note: (1) Impact before wage drift and inflation; Including savings part of the announcement of September 15 th 2010, subject to<br />
Workers Council advice; Other EUR 70 m announced on September 15 th 2010 scheduled to have an impact in 2011
<strong>Dexia</strong> Group<br />
<strong>Dexia</strong> 2014: A Retail Group<br />
with 10 million clients<br />
Closing remarks and Q&A<br />
Pierre Mariani<br />
CEO
<strong>Dexia</strong> Group Target 2014<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
Ambition 2014<br />
A robust<br />
financial structure<br />
Rebalanced activities<br />
towards Retail<br />
A solid growth<br />
engine in Turkey<br />
A Group driven by<br />
operational excellence<br />
Target 2012<br />
Stable pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e versus 2009:<br />
~EUR 1.4 bn<br />
Solid <strong>com</strong>mercial dynamic:<br />
Commercial in<strong>com</strong>e 1 +4% p.a. (09-12)<br />
ST funding/Total balance sheet at/below 15%<br />
Strong solvency: Core Tier 1 at ~14% 2<br />
C/I ratio: < 65%<br />
Target 2014<br />
Pre-tax in<strong>com</strong>e: ~EUR 1.8 bn<br />
Investment or dividend payment capacity<br />
ST funding/Total balance sheet at 11%<br />
Core Tier 1 at ~15% 2 and<br />
Common equity ratio > 9% under Basle III<br />
ROE: > 11% (Normative 3 )<br />
ROE: > 8% (Stated)<br />
165<br />
Note: (1) Excluding non-<strong>com</strong>mercial revenues<br />
(2) Under Basel II, assuming sale of Crediop and Sabadell at book value and dividend pay-out ratio: 30% p.a. from 2012<br />
(3) Normative ROE according to EC capital requirement
166
Pierre Mariani<br />
Between 1982 and 1992 he occupied various<br />
functions in the Ministry of Economy and Finance. In<br />
1993 he was appointed Director of the Cabinet of the<br />
Budget, Government spokesman and Minister of<br />
Communication. In 1995 he was appointed Managing<br />
Director of the Société française d’investissements<br />
immobiliers et de gestion, a real estate <strong>com</strong>pany in<br />
the Fimalac Group. In 1996, he was appointed<br />
Managing Director and member of the Management<br />
Board of Banque pour l’expansion industrielle<br />
(Banexi), the investment bank of BNP, of which he<br />
became Chairman of the Management Board in 1997.<br />
In 1999, he was appointed Head of International<br />
Retail Banking and, from 2003, Head of Financial<br />
Services and International Retail Banking of the BNP<br />
Paribas Group. He was appointed Deputy Managing<br />
Director in 2008 jointly responsible for Retail Banking<br />
activities and for the International Retail Services of<br />
BNP Paribas.<br />
167<br />
Pierre Mariani is a graduate in law, graduate of the<br />
Hautes études <strong>com</strong>merciales and the École nationale<br />
d’administration (ENA). He is CEO of <strong>Dexia</strong> since<br />
October 2008.
Philippe Rucheton<br />
Philippe Rucheton worked 20 years for the Groupe<br />
Sociéte Générale (SG) and held various senior<br />
management position such as CFO of Newedge<br />
(2008), Vice Chairman of Komercni Banka (2002-<br />
2008) based in Prague, Head of ALM for Sociéte<br />
Générale from 1995-2002 and Deputy Managing<br />
Director of Europe Computer Systems (1988-1995).<br />
Philippe Rucheton is a graduate from Ecole<br />
Polytechnique, Institut Supérieur des Affaires (Jouy en<br />
Josas), Master of Business Law (Panthéon<br />
Sorbonne).<br />
He is Chief Financial Officer and Member of the<br />
Management Board of <strong>Dexia</strong> SA since December<br />
2008.<br />
168
Pascal Poupelle<br />
After ten years with the French Ministry of Defense<br />
and the Ministry of Transportation, Pascal Poupelle<br />
begins his banking career at Credit Lyonnais in 1988.<br />
In 1991, he be<strong>com</strong>es Global Head of Aviation Finance<br />
until 1994, when he moves to New York as Head of<br />
Capital Markets. In 1997, he be<strong>com</strong>es CEO of CL<br />
Securities (USA), Inc and assumes responsibility for<br />
all Corporate and Investment banking activities of<br />
Credit Lyonnais in the US.<br />
Back in Paris in 2001, he be<strong>com</strong>es Global Head of<br />
Institutional and Corporate clients and a member of<br />
Credit Lyonnais’ Management Committee. In 2004, he<br />
contributes to the creation of Calyon (Credit Agricole)<br />
and be<strong>com</strong>es Deputy General Manager in 2007.<br />
Born in Paris, Mr. Poupelle holds an engineering<br />
degree from Ecole Polytechnique in Paris (1976) and<br />
a diploma in aerospace engineering from Ecole<br />
Nationale de l'Aviation Civile in Toulouse (1978).<br />
He is Chief Executive Officer of <strong>Dexia</strong> Crédit Local<br />
and a member of the Management Board of <strong>Dexia</strong><br />
SA.<br />
169
Stefaan Decraene<br />
The first part of his career revolved around corporate<br />
banking and investment banking in Belgium. In 2001<br />
he was appointed chairman of the Management<br />
Board of Banque Artesia Nederland, and became a<br />
member of the Management Board of <strong>Dexia</strong> Bank<br />
Nederland in 2002.<br />
In 2003 he became member of the Management<br />
Board of <strong>Dexia</strong> Bank Belgium, in charge of Insurance<br />
and Development of International Retail activities, and<br />
from 2004 in charge of Public and Wholesale<br />
Banking.<br />
Stefaan Decraene is a graduate in applied economics<br />
from K.U. Leuven, specialising in international<br />
relations.<br />
Since January 2006, he is Chairman of the<br />
Management Board of <strong>Dexia</strong> Bank Belgium. In 2008<br />
he was appointed member of the Management Board<br />
of <strong>Dexia</strong> SA.<br />
170
Hakan Ates<br />
Born in 1959 in Ankara, Mr. Ateş graduated from<br />
Middle East Technical University, Faculty of Business<br />
Administration. He started his banking career in 1981<br />
as Internal Auditor at İşbank. Following various<br />
positions at different Interbank departments from 1985<br />
to 1994 he worked as Branch Manager at Elmadağ,<br />
Şişli, Bakırköy, İzmir and Main Branches. He<br />
established Interbank’s cash management system<br />
and was promoted in 1993 to Executive Vice<br />
President responsible for Central Operations.<br />
Mr. Ateş worked as Executive Vice President for<br />
Financial Affairs and Operations at Bank Ekspres<br />
between December 1994 and July 1996. He led the<br />
bank’s restructuring project with Bank of America.<br />
He established Garanti Bank Moscow in Russia and<br />
worked as CEO for one year starting from June 1996.<br />
He continues his duties as President & CEO at<br />
DenizBank, where he started in June 1997 as the<br />
Founder President.<br />
171
André Vanden Camp<br />
André Vanden Camp has occupied various positions<br />
in ministries before he became IT Director of the<br />
“Beurs van Brussel” (Nyse Euronext). In 1991 he<br />
joined CIK (later Euroclear Bank) as Organization and<br />
IT Director before being appointed General Director in<br />
1995.<br />
He started to work for BBL (ING) in 1999 as Director<br />
of the “Global Securities Services” programme. Later<br />
on he was appointed Director of the Organization and<br />
IT department. He became CIO (Chief Information<br />
Officer) of ING South West Europe in 2001 and COO<br />
(Chief Operating Officer) Wholesale Banking of ING<br />
Group in 2005. From January 1st 2005 until May 31st<br />
2008, he was Managing Director of ING Belgium.<br />
From the summer 2008 till November 2009, André<br />
Vanden Camp worked as an independent<br />
management, strategy and IT consultant.<br />
André Vanden Camp was appointed Chief Operating<br />
Officer (COO) and Member of the Executive<br />
Committee of <strong>Dexia</strong> Group on December 1st 2009.<br />
172