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Techniques for flood hazard zonation and vulnerability ... - NDMA

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3/17/2010<br />

5-Day Training Workshop<br />

On<br />

“Flood Mitigation”<br />

Title:<br />

On:<br />

At:<br />

Organized By:<br />

Flood Hazard Vulnerability <strong>and</strong><br />

Mapping <strong>Techniques</strong><br />

February 16, 2010<br />

Islamabad<br />

<strong>NDMA</strong>-UNDP<br />

Sequence of Lecture<br />

• Pakistan - River System;<br />

• Flood Hazard Zonation <strong>and</strong> Vulnerability <strong>Techniques</strong> -<br />

Objectives;<br />

• Tools/<strong>Techniques</strong> used <strong>for</strong> Flood Hazard Zonation <strong>and</strong><br />

Vulnerability Mapping in Pakistan;<br />

• Steps In Flood Risk/Vulnerability Mapping.<br />

1


3/17/2010<br />

INDUS RIVER SYSTEM<br />

Objectives of Flood Hazard Zonation <strong>and</strong> Vulnerability<br />

Mapping <strong>Techniques</strong> Used in Pakistan<br />

This is done <strong>for</strong> achieving the following objectives:<br />

• To identify the severity of <strong>flood</strong> <strong>hazard</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>vulnerability</strong><br />

of certain area <strong>for</strong> necessary <strong>flood</strong> planning ;<br />

• To ensure that measures adopted <strong>for</strong> <strong>flood</strong> <strong>hazard</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>vulnerability</strong> management are sufficient;<br />

• To ensure a balance between <strong>flood</strong> preparedness <strong>and</strong><br />

measures<br />

taken <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>flood</strong> <strong>hazard</strong> & <strong>vulnerability</strong><br />

reduction;<br />

• Assessment of available capacities that may facilitate in<br />

<strong>flood</strong> risk management.<br />

2


3/17/2010<br />

Tools/<strong>Techniques</strong> Used <strong>for</strong> Flood Hazard Zonation<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

Vulnerability Mapping<br />

• Meteorological data;<br />

• Flood Frequency Analysis;<br />

• Hydrological Data;<br />

• Past /Historical Flood Damages Record;<br />

• Flood Plain Maps;<br />

• Bathymetric Surveys;<br />

• Flood Forecasting Computer Model;<br />

• Comprehensive Flood Management Plans;<br />

• Flood Warning Manual;<br />

• Telemetry System;<br />

• St<strong>and</strong>ard Operating Procedures <strong>for</strong> Dams;<br />

• Weather Radars.<br />

Tools/<strong>Techniques</strong> Used <strong>for</strong> Flood Hazard Zonation<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

Vulnerability Mapping<br />

• Meteorological data:<br />

Rainfall data collected <strong>for</strong> the past years (62<br />

years) is used to make an<br />

analysis/estimate<br />

of any<br />

likely<br />

<strong>flood</strong>ing<br />

situation<br />

on any<br />

river<br />

system/river catchment/urban area based on which future planning<br />

towards <strong>flood</strong> control/l<strong>and</strong>-use<br />

etc. can be made. This data is collected<br />

from various rainfall gauges installed in the province <strong>and</strong> is available<br />

on CD, internet etc. (Used at National, Provincial <strong>and</strong> District levels).<br />

• Flood Frequency Analysis:<br />

This tool is used <strong>for</strong> the design of an effective <strong>flood</strong> management<br />

system (dam/bund/dike/spur etc.) based on a<strong>flood</strong><br />

of certain definite<br />

return period (5/10/25/50/100/10001000 years etc.). Certain engineering<br />

techniques (Log Pearson, Log Gumbel etc.) are used <strong>for</strong> this analysis.<br />

(Used at National, Provincial <strong>and</strong> District levels).<br />

3


3/17/2010<br />

Tools/<strong>Techniques</strong> Used <strong>for</strong> Flood Hazard Zonation<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

Vulnerability Mapping<br />

• Hydrological Data:<br />

The success or failure of any Flood Frequency Analysis technique<br />

depends largely on the authenticity of hydrological data <strong>and</strong> the<br />

correctness of hydrological data is dependent on the measurement<br />

system by virtue of which this data is gathered/recorded. Such data<br />

include: rainfall, runoff, discharge/river flow/stream flow etc. (Used at<br />

both Provincial <strong>and</strong> District levels).<br />

• Past /Historical Flood Damages Record:<br />

Records<br />

of past<br />

<strong>flood</strong><br />

damages due<br />

to <strong>flood</strong>s<br />

in<br />

certain river<br />

system/urban area/hill torrent area help in the planning of future <strong>flood</strong><br />

control works/embankments/bunds/spurs/new<br />

infrastructure in<br />

the<br />

cities etc. (Used at National, both Provincial <strong>and</strong> District levels).<br />

4


3/17/2010<br />

HISTORICAL FLOOD DAMAGES<br />

HISTORICAL FLOOD DAMAGES<br />

5


3/17/2010<br />

Tools/<strong>Techniques</strong> Used <strong>for</strong> Flood Hazard Zonation<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

Vulnerability Mapping<br />

• Flood Plain Maps:<br />

For main<br />

rivers,<br />

Flood Plain<br />

Maps<br />

have<br />

been<br />

prepared based on various categories of <strong>flood</strong>s<br />

(Medium/High/Very<br />

High/Exceptionally High<br />

etc.)<br />

based on which, owing to a particular <strong>flood</strong> category,<br />

inundation levels are assessed <strong>for</strong> the existing <strong>and</strong><br />

the new planned infrastructure activity/<strong>flood</strong> control<br />

facility/cropping activity<br />

etc.<br />

(Used<br />

at<br />

National,<br />

Provincial <strong>and</strong> District levels).<br />

INDUS RIVER SYSTEM – Flood Risk Map<br />

6


3/17/2010<br />

INDUS RIVER SYSTEM - Flood Risk Map<br />

Tools/<strong>Techniques</strong> Used <strong>for</strong> Flood Hazard Zonation<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

Vulnerability Mapping<br />

• Bathymetric Surveys:<br />

Every year during the monsoon season, river discharges increase on<br />

one h<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> at the same time lot of debris, sediment <strong>and</strong> silt is<br />

brought which<br />

results<br />

in accretion/degradation<br />

of<br />

river<br />

profile.<br />

Bathymetric surveys carried out across the flow of river help in<br />

underst<strong>and</strong>ing changed river cross-sectionalsectional profile <strong>and</strong> hence in<br />

better <strong>for</strong>ecasting of flows. (Used at National, Provincial <strong>and</strong> District<br />

levels).<br />

• Flood Forecasting Computer Model:<br />

Anticipated <strong>flood</strong><br />

events<br />

are<br />

assessed through<br />

FEWS<br />

(Flood<br />

Forecasting Early Warning System) Computer Model which helps not<br />

only in instant <strong>flood</strong> <strong>for</strong>ecasting but also in future estimate of <strong>flood</strong>s<br />

both at the provincial as well as at the district level. (Used at National ,<br />

Provincial <strong>and</strong> District levels).<br />

7


3/17/2010<br />

Tools/<strong>Techniques</strong> Used <strong>for</strong> Flood Hazard Zonation<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

Vulnerability Mapping<br />

• Comprehensive Flood Management Plans:<br />

For <strong>flood</strong> <strong>hazard</strong> risk assessment <strong>and</strong> management<br />

at National,<br />

Provincial<br />

<strong>and</strong> District<br />

levels<br />

comprehensive<br />

<strong>flood</strong> management<br />

plans<br />

are<br />

prepared p <strong>for</strong> a period of 10 years. Based on <strong>flood</strong><br />

risk assessment, these plans are implemented in a<br />

phased manner to avert future <strong>flood</strong> threats. (Used at<br />

National, Provincial <strong>and</strong> District levels).<br />

8


3/17/2010<br />

Tools/<strong>Techniques</strong> Used <strong>for</strong> Flood Hazard Zonation<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

Vulnerability Mapping<br />

• Flood Warning Manual:<br />

Flood Warning Manual is used primarily in conjunction with <strong>flood</strong> plain<br />

maps. Its usage at present is limited. It helps in assessment of<br />

<strong>vulnerability</strong> of areas which may get inundated in the event of <strong>flood</strong> of<br />

a certain category <strong>and</strong> also helps in future planning purposes.<br />

• Telemetry System:<br />

A good <strong>flood</strong> telemetry system exists at the National <strong>and</strong> Provincial<br />

level which assists in timely collection <strong>and</strong> dissemination of rainfall<br />

<strong>and</strong> river flow data which is used as a planning tool <strong>for</strong> future<br />

designing <strong>and</strong> implementation of <strong>flood</strong> infrastructure (dams/bunds<br />

etc.) besides rural <strong>and</strong> urban planning.<br />

FLOOD FORECASTING DIVISION,(FFD), LAHORE<br />

( H.F.RADIO NETWORK)<br />

TARBELA<br />

MANGLA<br />

Besham, Jaglot<br />

Skardu, Daggar<br />

Phulra, Oghi<br />

Shinkiari, Khairabad<br />

Nowshera<br />

CHASMA<br />

Kallar, G.H.Ullah<br />

Muzaffarabad, Domel<br />

Kotli, Kohala<br />

Pl<strong>and</strong>ri, Azadpatan<br />

W.R.M.D.<br />

SUNNY VIEW LAHORE<br />

FLOOD FORECASTING DIVISION<br />

LAHORE<br />

9


3/17/2010<br />

Tools/<strong>Techniques</strong> Used <strong>for</strong> Flood Hazard Zonation<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

Vulnerability Mapping<br />

• St<strong>and</strong>ard Operating Procedures For Dams:<br />

For Mangla Dam on River Jhelum in order to cater <strong>for</strong> Category-I,<br />

II <strong>and</strong><br />

III <strong>flood</strong>s, St<strong>and</strong>ard Operating Procedures have been devised <strong>for</strong><br />

effective Dam Operation during <strong>flood</strong>s specifically <strong>for</strong> the purpose of<br />

safety of dam <strong>and</strong> downstream areas. (Used at National, Provincial <strong>and</strong><br />

District levels). Similar arrangements exist <strong>for</strong> Tarbela Dam.<br />

• Weather Radars:<br />

The existing weather radars at Lahore, Sialkot, Mangla, Rahim Yar<br />

Khan, D.I.Khan,<br />

Karachi <strong>and</strong> Islamabad are used to assess the weather<br />

condition <strong>and</strong> based on cloud moisture content, anticipated <strong>flood</strong><br />

situation is <strong>for</strong>ecasted which helps in timely pre-emptiveemptive measures.<br />

(Used <strong>for</strong> both Provincial <strong>and</strong> District levels).<br />

Weather Radar Network<br />

10


3/17/2010<br />

Steps In Flood Hazard Zonation<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

Vulnerability Mapping<br />

• Availability of rain/river-flow/runoff i / ff measurement system<br />

<strong>and</strong> relevant data;<br />

• L<strong>and</strong>-use/River surveys;<br />

• Flood Frequency Analysis;<br />

• Flood Hazard/Vulnerability Maps<br />

Departments That Can Assist In Flood Hazard<br />

Zonation <strong>and</strong> Vulnerability Mapping<br />

• Provincial Irrigation Department;<br />

• Federal Flood Commission;<br />

• National Engineering Services of Pakistan;<br />

• SUPARCO<br />

• Flood Management Experts<br />

11


3/17/2010<br />

End of Presentation<br />

Thank You<br />

12

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