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SOLUTIONS MANUAL for Stochastic Modeling: Analysis and ...

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57<br />

14. Case 6.3<br />

S n represents the destination of the nth rider<br />

M = {1, 2,...,m} one state <strong>for</strong> each region of the city<br />

p ij ≡ probability a rider picked up in region i has destination in region j<br />

p i ≡ probability driver starts the day in region i<br />

Case 6.4<br />

S n represents the nth key typed<br />

⎧<br />

⎫<br />

⎪⎨<br />

⎪⎬<br />

M = 1, 2,...,26 27, 28,...,36 37, 38,...,42 43,...<br />

} {{ } } {{ } } {{ } } {{ }<br />

⎪⎩<br />

⎪⎭<br />

letters numbers punctuation space <strong>and</strong> others<br />

≡{A,B,...,Z,0, 1,...,9, ; , ·, “, ‘, ?, ′, space,...}<br />

p ij ≡ probability next key typed is j given last one was i<br />

p i ≡ probability first letter typed is i<br />

Case 6.5<br />

S n represents the br<strong>and</strong> of the nth toothpaste purchase<br />

M = {1, 2, 3, 4,...,m} where each state represents a br<strong>and</strong> of toothpaste<br />

p ij ≡ probability a consumer next purchases br<strong>and</strong> j given they currently use i<br />

p i ≡ probability a consumer uses br<strong>and</strong> i at the beginning of the study<br />

Case 6.6<br />

S n represents the high temperature on the nth day<br />

M = {−20, −19, −18,...,109, 110} is temperature in Fahrenheit<br />

p ij ≡ probability high temperature tomorrow is j given today’s high is i<br />

p i ≡ probability temperature is i on the first day of the study<br />

Case 6.7<br />

S n represents the task type of the nth task<br />

M = {1, 2,...,m} where each state represents a task such as “move,” “place,”<br />

“change tool,” etc.<br />

p ij ≡ probability next task is j given current task is i<br />

p i ≡ probability first task is type i

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