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Annual Report and Accounts 2011 - Bermuda Stock Exchange

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Capital <strong>and</strong> liquidity<br />

Preserving our strong capital position has long been,<br />

<strong>and</strong> will remain, a key priority for HSBC. We are<br />

well equipped to respond to the capital requirements<br />

imposed by Basel III, which are discussed further<br />

on page 212, <strong>and</strong> to sustain future growth. We utilise<br />

an enterprise-wide approach to testing the<br />

sensitivities of our capital plans against a number<br />

of scenarios; our approach to scenario stress testing<br />

analysis is discussed on page 188.<br />

We continue to maintain a very strong liquidity<br />

position <strong>and</strong> are well positioned for the emerging<br />

new regulatory l<strong>and</strong>scape.<br />

Top <strong>and</strong> emerging risks<br />

(Unaudited)<br />

Details of the top <strong>and</strong> emerging risks identified<br />

through our risk management processes are set out<br />

below:<br />

Macro-economic <strong>and</strong> geopolitical risk<br />

• Eurozone – risk of sovereign default<br />

• Eurozone member departing from the<br />

currency union<br />

• Increased geopolitical risk in certain<br />

regions<br />

Eurozone – risk of sovereign <strong>and</strong><br />

counterparty defaults<br />

Exposures to the eurozone have received increasing<br />

focus given the continued instability in the area <strong>and</strong><br />

the potential for contagion from the peripheral to<br />

core eurozone countries.<br />

There is an increasing risk of sovereign defaults<br />

by the peripheral eurozone countries which would<br />

place further pressure on banks within the core<br />

European countries that are exposed to these<br />

sovereigns. Although our exposure to the peripheral<br />

eurozone countries is relatively limited, we are<br />

exposed to counterparties in the core European<br />

countries which could be affected by any sovereign<br />

crisis. Our eurozone exposures are described in more<br />

detail on pages 113 to 118.<br />

Potential impact on HSBC<br />

• Our exposures to European banks may come<br />

under stress, heightening the potential for credit<br />

<strong>and</strong> market risk losses, if the sovereign debt<br />

crisis in the region increases the need to<br />

recapitalise parts of the sector.<br />

• Trade <strong>and</strong> capital flows may contract as a result<br />

of banks deleveraging, protectionist measures<br />

being introduced in certain markets or the<br />

emergence of geopolitical risks, which in turn<br />

might curtail profitability.<br />

• A prolonged period of low interest rates due to<br />

policy actions taken to address the eurozone<br />

crisis will constrain, through spread<br />

compression <strong>and</strong> low returns on assets, the<br />

interest income we earn from investing our<br />

excess deposits.<br />

• In the event of contagion from stress in the<br />

peripheral eurozone sovereign <strong>and</strong> financial<br />

sectors, our ability to borrow from other<br />

financial institutions or to engage in funding<br />

transactions may be adversely affected by<br />

market dislocation <strong>and</strong> tightening liquidity.<br />

• We have actively managed the risk of sovereign<br />

defaults during <strong>2011</strong> by reducing exposures <strong>and</strong><br />

other measures.<br />

Eurozone member departing from the<br />

currency union<br />

The risk of a eurozone member departing from the<br />

currency union is a plausible scenario. Should it<br />

materialise it would have a significant impact on the<br />

entire financial sector <strong>and</strong> the wider economy. It<br />

would crystallise sovereign risks <strong>and</strong> those to the<br />

bank <strong>and</strong> corporate sectors, <strong>and</strong> the disruption<br />

caused would affect consumer activity.<br />

Potential impact on HSBC<br />

• We could incur significant losses stemming<br />

from the exit of one or more countries from the<br />

eurozone <strong>and</strong> the return to their local<br />

currencies.<br />

• In addition, should such an event happen in a<br />

disorderly manner, it could trigger banking<br />

defaults in companies with which we do<br />

business <strong>and</strong> have a knock-on effect on the<br />

global banking system.<br />

• In seeking to manage <strong>and</strong> mitigate this risk, we<br />

have prepared <strong>and</strong> tested detailed operational<br />

contingency plans to deal with such a scenario.<br />

We are keeping these plans under close review<br />

as events develop.<br />

Shareholder Information Financial Statements<br />

Corporate Governance Operating & Financial Review<br />

Overview<br />

99

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