Goldman Sachs Investor Research - Discovery Metals Limited
Goldman Sachs Investor Research - Discovery Metals Limited
Goldman Sachs Investor Research - Discovery Metals Limited
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7 October 2010 <strong>Discovery</strong> <strong>Metals</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />
Mine Plan<br />
• The BFS released in late August 2010 outlines a mine plan for BCP, which will see it<br />
commence production as an open pit in late 2011. In conjunction with this, DML also<br />
released a development plan, which incorporates additional mineralised material which is<br />
not of sufficient confidence to be promoted to reserves. We have, where applicable,<br />
assumed some material outlined in the development plan as part of our base case. In<br />
effect, we have modelled both open pit and underground mining in our base estimate.<br />
• Our current base case for DML assumes the construction and operation of Boseto open<br />
pit for the initial 3 years followed by the addition of an underground mine from 2015.<br />
Combined production would remain at 3mtpa, increasing to 3.5mtpa (GS&PA estimates)<br />
as operations are optimised with ore being sourced initially equally from the two<br />
operations, but at the expanded rate 2mtpa (open pit) and 1.5mtpa (underground).<br />
• Our key production assumptions compared to the BFS are shown below:<br />
GS&PA<br />
DML<br />
Production Metrics<br />
Annual Production mtpa 3.0 3.0<br />
Strip Ratio waste:ore 15 15<br />
Cu feed grade % 1.5 1.5<br />
Cu recovery % 84.0 84.0<br />
Cu production kt Cu 36.4 36.4<br />
Ag feed grade g/t 20.2 20.2<br />
Ag recovery % 61.0 61.0<br />
Ag production moz 1.1 1.1<br />
Source: Company data, GS&PA <strong>Research</strong> estimates<br />
Capital Cost<br />
DML's pre-feasibility study capital estimate for a 2mtpa plant was US$185m which was<br />
updated in September 2009 to US$150m. More recently, DML has increased the planned<br />
throughput rate from 2mtpa to 3mtpa and advised that the contracted capital cost for the<br />
plant to be ~US$91m and that the total capital cost of construction of the operation at<br />
Boseto will be in the order of US$175m (including contingencies).<br />
A breakdown of these capital costs is included below.<br />
Capital Items<br />
US$m<br />
Process plant - fixed price EPCM 91.2<br />
First fills and spares 10.3<br />
Tailings storage facility 2.7<br />
Diesel power generators 10.7<br />
Roads, offices, workshope, land compensation 13.1<br />
Process and mine control systems 8.0<br />
Village infrastructure 15.5<br />
Temp. Infrastructure 8.7<br />
Owners Team 3.6<br />
Subtotal 163.8<br />
Contigency & escalation 11.2<br />
Total 175.0<br />
Source: Company data<br />
Operating Cost<br />
DML has provided guidance as to its expected operating cost of BCP during the initial start-up<br />
when the project will still have a debt repayment requirement. We have adjusted these as we<br />
see fit. A summary of the operating costs we have used in our estimates versus the BFS is<br />
included below. The key difference that we have allowed for is a higher unit cost for moving<br />
material.<br />
<strong>Goldman</strong> <strong>Sachs</strong> & Partners Australia<br />
Investment <strong>Research</strong><br />
All figures in A$ unless otherwise advised 8