cotton - Greenmount Press
cotton - Greenmount Press
cotton - Greenmount Press
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World CoMModity Watch<br />
US<br />
The US crop is close to 75% ginned and harvest is complete. The<br />
overall crop on the High Plains was not as good as many thought,<br />
and will most likely finish closer to five million bales of Texas<br />
<strong>cotton</strong>. Reduced production in Texas will be made up for by the final<br />
numbers in the Mid-South and Southeast as yields were higher than<br />
last year. Most growers continue to talk down <strong>cotton</strong> for new crop as<br />
the price is not at levels where they can make money. We are hearing<br />
talk of 30–40% reduction in Mid-South, Southeast and California as<br />
they have so many alternatives such as corn and soybeans. Texas<br />
is also looking to cut back <strong>cotton</strong> acres, however the margins in<br />
<strong>cotton</strong> for larger scale West Texas growers are still favorable to the<br />
alternatives, so the swing to grains will not be as great in West Texas<br />
compared to other regions. Corn may however be the crop of choice<br />
in South Texas and the area north of Lubbock. Conditions remain dry<br />
in Texas as a whole however, so rain is required before we see a take<br />
up of crops of any kind next summer.<br />
Brazil<br />
Brazil’s CONAB has forecast the nation’s<br />
production in 2012–13 to drop by as<br />
much as 27%. Reasons include expected<br />
higher returns for corn & soybeans which<br />
have also seen a lot of growers adopt<br />
the ‘Safrinha’ or ‘little harvest’ method<br />
of following a soybean crop with <strong>cotton</strong>.<br />
While it yields less than conventionally<br />
grown <strong>cotton</strong> it also requires less inputs<br />
therefore costing less to grow. This<br />
form of double cropping will form the<br />
major portion of Brazil’s acreage in<br />
2012–13. Due to persistent rains delaying<br />
the planting of the soybean crop, the<br />
predicted sowing dates for this form of<br />
<strong>cotton</strong> growing have been pushed back<br />
to December and the New Year. Planting<br />
for conventional style growers is well<br />
under way and its estimated 10% of this<br />
season’s crop is in the ground.<br />
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From the field to t<br />
Queensland Cotto<br />
Queensland Cotton has the longest supply