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Renewable Energy in Industrial Applications – an ... - Unido

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HEAT PUMPS<br />

OECD countries have <strong>an</strong> import<strong>an</strong>t role to play <strong>in</strong><br />

the potential deployment of heat pumps for<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustrial process heat. This reflects the fact that<br />

most OECD countries already have reliable<br />

electricity grids which deliver electricity at<br />

competitive prices. The high efficiency of electric<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustrial heat pumps makes this technology<br />

competitive with solar thermal technologies<br />

where electricity prices are low <strong>an</strong>d solar<br />

radiation is less th<strong>an</strong> optimum, conditions which<br />

describe m<strong>an</strong>y of the regions where OECD<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustrial production is located.<br />

Two other factors, the capital cost of the<br />

equipment <strong>an</strong>d its perform<strong>an</strong>ce, are also<br />

import<strong>an</strong>t <strong>in</strong> determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the competitiveness of<br />

heat pumps. Perform<strong>an</strong>ce is expressed <strong>in</strong> terms<br />

of the number of units of energy the heat pump<br />

c<strong>an</strong> move from the lower temperature of the<br />

source to the higher temperature needed, us<strong>in</strong>g<br />

one unit of electricity. In most normal operat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

conditions, the amount of electricity required is<br />

considerably less th<strong>an</strong> the amount of heat<br />

provided, particularly <strong>in</strong> applications dem<strong>an</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g<br />

relatively low temperature process heat. The ma<strong>in</strong><br />

thermodynamically limit<strong>in</strong>g factor <strong>in</strong> the use of<br />

heat pumps for high temperature process heat,<br />

however, is that their perform<strong>an</strong>ce decreases the<br />

greater the difference <strong>in</strong> temperature between the<br />

<strong>in</strong>put source <strong>an</strong>d the output dem<strong>an</strong>ded. So heat<br />

pumps are more efficient <strong>in</strong> deliver<strong>in</strong>g low<br />

temperature process heat dem<strong>an</strong>ds. And air heat<br />

pumps are more efficient <strong>in</strong> warmer climates. This<br />

factor has been taken <strong>in</strong>to account <strong>in</strong> <strong>an</strong>alys<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the cost of the process heat <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>dividual<br />

regions.<br />

Supply cost curves have been calculated for 2007<br />

<strong>an</strong>d 2050 for the same temperature r<strong>an</strong>ge<br />

categories as <strong>in</strong> the supply cost curve for solar<br />

thermal, us<strong>in</strong>g the cost per unit of useful energy<br />

based on the cost of electricity, <strong>an</strong> <strong>in</strong>dicative<br />

capital cost of the heat pump <strong>an</strong>d its<br />

perform<strong>an</strong>ce coefficient. The perform<strong>an</strong>ce<br />

coefficient of pumps decreases as the<br />

temperature lift <strong>in</strong>creases. It is much lower for<br />

the 60o - 100oC r<strong>an</strong>ge th<strong>an</strong> for temperature lifts<br />

less th<strong>an</strong> 60oC. Electricity costs are taken from<br />

the IEA <strong>Energy</strong> Prices <strong>an</strong>d Taxes database, us<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the data for the f<strong>in</strong>al price of electricity for the<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustrial sector. For those regions not <strong>in</strong> the<br />

database, the data of a representative country<br />

have been used as a proxy, notwithst<strong>an</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

very signific<strong>an</strong>t differences <strong>in</strong> electricity prices<br />

among different countries <strong>in</strong> the same region. For<br />

those countries for which historical data are<br />

miss<strong>in</strong>g, a 2007 figure has been calculated us<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the OECD price <strong>in</strong> 1996 as base <strong>an</strong>d rescal<strong>in</strong>g as<br />

a proportion of the OECD 2007 figure. The<br />

result<strong>in</strong>g cost curve for the food <strong>an</strong>d tobacco<br />

sector, as <strong>an</strong> example, is shown <strong>in</strong> Figure 15.<br />

The curve for 2050 has been created us<strong>in</strong>g<br />

reduced capital costs, <strong>in</strong>creased perform<strong>an</strong>ces<br />

<strong>an</strong>d more homogeneous electricity prices, r<strong>an</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g<br />

from USD 12 to USD 24/GJ (real terms 2007<br />

prices).<br />

Heat pumps c<strong>an</strong> already provide a competitive<br />

alternative to fossil fuels for low temperature<br />

process heat <strong>in</strong> several regions. One of the<br />

driv<strong>in</strong>g factors, for example <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a, is the<br />

availability of cheap electricity. But where this<br />

electricity is generated by low-efficiency or coalfired<br />

power pl<strong>an</strong>t, this c<strong>an</strong> completely offset the<br />

potential CO2 emission reductions associated<br />

with the use of heat pumps.<br />

The competition for low-temperature renewable<br />

process heat production between heat pumps<br />

<strong>an</strong>d solar thermal will be heavily dependent on<br />

regional <strong>an</strong>d local conditions. This <strong>an</strong>alysis<br />

shows how the relative competitiveness of the<br />

two technologies is likely to be both regionally<br />

<strong>an</strong>d sectorally polarised. Both technologies have<br />

subst<strong>an</strong>tial improvement potentials between<br />

2007 <strong>an</strong>d 2050. But the cost of the electricity<br />

that drives the cost of process heat from heat<br />

39

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