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Belize Flood Risk

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<strong>Belize</strong> Country Report –<br />

Status, Advances, and Needs<br />

Rudolph Williams and Eden Garcia<br />

Hydrology Unit/University of <strong>Belize</strong><br />

2/18/2009


Background<br />

Climate : Subtropical<br />

Seasons<br />

Wet: June – November<br />

Transitional: December –<br />

February<br />

Dry: March - May<br />

Temperature: 70° – 85°F<br />

Rainfall 1500mm – 3800mm<br />

Population estimated 2007<br />

311, 500


<strong>Risk</strong> Situations and Disasters in <strong>Belize</strong><br />

• Lies the Tropical Atlantic Hurricane region<br />

– Hurricane threatens every three years<br />

– Threats more frequent in the northern part of<br />

the country<br />

• <strong>Flood</strong>s oftentimes accompany Tropical<br />

systems<br />

– 39 identifiable river basins<br />

– 18 Major watersheds


Settlements at <strong>Risk</strong> of <strong>Flood</strong>ing in <strong>Belize</strong><br />

• There were some ~263 populated places<br />

• Of these 263 settlements, 163 (62%) lie<br />

within areas at risk of flooding.<br />

• 149 are in floodplains which flood annually<br />

• 11 in areas which have a flood recurrence of<br />

20 years<br />

• 3 areas with a flood recurrence of 1,000<br />

years


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<strong>Belize</strong> <strong>Flood</strong><br />

<strong>Risk</strong> Map<br />

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<strong>Belize</strong> City<br />

San Pedro<br />

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0 10 20 40<br />

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Settlements<br />

District boundaries<br />

International boundaries<br />

Major rivers<br />

<strong>Flood</strong> risk<br />

No flood risk<br />

1: Exceptional flood risk (1,000 yr)<br />

2: Every 20 years<br />

3: Every few years or annually<br />

4: Swamp or marsh forest<br />

5: Savanna plain / saline plain<br />

6: Swamp or mangrove<br />

7: Very poorly drained / herbaceous swamp<br />

8: Permanent water bodies<br />

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miles<br />

Data sources: <strong>Belize</strong> Land Information Centre,


Recent Disasters – TS ARTHUR<br />

Accumulated rainfall (May<br />

29 th – June 4 th 2008) 254<br />

mm (10 in) - 152 mm (6 in)<br />

500 year flood event<br />

5 persons lost their lives<br />

2 Major Bridges destroyed<br />

Kendal Bridge<br />

Mullins River Bridge<br />

Roads damaged<br />

Numerous Homes<br />

destroyed<br />

Crops destroyed


Recent Disasters – TD 16<br />

Accumulated rainfall (May<br />

13 th –20 th October<br />

2008) 547 mm - 105<br />

mm<br />

1000 year flood event<br />

2 persons lost their lives<br />

Bridges <strong>Flood</strong>ed<br />

Roads damaged<br />

Culverts destroyed<br />

Numerous Homes destroyed<br />

Crops destroyed<br />

At least a combined 146 communities 98,594 persons<br />

were affected by TS Arthur & TD16


Settlements in the <strong>Belize</strong> at <strong>Risk</strong> of <strong>Flood</strong>ing<br />

• The Rio Bravo - upper, middle and lower confluence<br />

with Blue Creek & Rio Hondo. Albion Island :San Antonio, San<br />

Roman and Santa Cruz; Douglas; San Victor<br />

•New River - Middle and lower. TowerHill, San<br />

Estevan, Santa Cruz; Caledonia.<br />

• <strong>Belize</strong> River - Middle and lower -Roaring Creek to<br />

Haulover Creek, north side of <strong>Belize</strong> City. Crooked Tree<br />

lagoon/wetland Biscayne, Grace Bank and Davis Bank<br />

Middle and lower Sibun River. All coastal communities in<br />

the lower Sibun River watershed including Gracie Rock,<br />

Cedar Bank and Freetown Sibun.


Settlements in the <strong>Belize</strong> at <strong>Risk</strong> of <strong>Flood</strong>ing -Cont’d<br />

• Manatee River - Gales Point.<br />

• North Stann Creek - Middle and lower Middlesex,<br />

Pomona, Melinda, Hope Creek and Sarawee, and northside<br />

Dangriga Town.<br />

• The Sittee River - Middle and lower – Sittee River<br />

villages


Technologies used to Prevent and Mitigate Disasters<br />

• Modeling GIS<br />

– Land Information<br />

Center &<br />

Hydrology Unit<br />

– CAFFG<br />

• Forecasts<br />

– Historical data<br />

– Expert Judgment<br />

– Hydrologic<br />

Modeling<br />

• Data collection<br />

• Telephone<br />

• Satellite<br />

• Internet<br />

Advisories<br />

•Radio<br />

• Television<br />

• Talk Shows<br />

• Internet


Needs for the development of Information and<br />

Communications Technology<br />

•NEMO<br />

– More Trainer of Trainer Courses in Supplies<br />

Management & Damage Assesments<br />

–Acommunication network down to the Village<br />

level<br />

– A functional and effective early warning<br />

system to alert vulnerable communities<br />

– Computerization-and networking of Plans at<br />

all levels using the recently acquired<br />

'Cassandra' software.


Needs for the development of Information and<br />

Communications Technology - Cont’d<br />

• Data Collection<br />

– rivers levels and rainfall data should be<br />

automatically uploaded electronically to the<br />

database using VHF radio signals, satellite<br />

and computer networking<br />

• Advisories<br />

– In the event of a Dam failure evacuation<br />

routes and safe zones should be identified so<br />

that the public may quickly move toward<br />

safety.


Chalillo Hydropower Project EWS<br />

•EWS Project - component of the <strong>Belize</strong><br />

Electric Company Limited Environmental<br />

Compliance Plan<br />

•Redundant submersible depth transducers<br />

detect reservoir level changes that exceed<br />

the possible maximum decreasing rate<br />

• Such a rate will be considered a dam<br />

failure


Chalillo Hydropower Project EWS<br />

•Datalogger via VHF radios and a repeater system<br />

activate siren alarms in all vulnerable<br />

communities<br />

•Signals will be simultaneously transferred to the<br />

NEMO, NHMS, BECOL, Police, Medical Headquarters<br />

via a similar automated VHF radio communicating<br />

network<br />

• Mandatory system test before every flood season


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