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HIERARCHAL INDUCTIVE PROCESS MODELING AND ANALYSIS ...

HIERARCHAL INDUCTIVE PROCESS MODELING AND ANALYSIS ...

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Next we turn our attention to P (t) for which we take M(t) to have the following<br />

bounds:<br />

0 ≤ M(t) ≤ 1, (36)<br />

and using the exogenous variables time-series we estimate:<br />

0.0138249 ≤<br />

[<br />

]<br />

(1 − E ice (t)) ∗ a 0 ∗ e (0.06933∗E T H 2 O(t))<br />

≤ 0.8491189 (37)<br />

Then,<br />

[<br />

dP [ ]<br />

dt = (1 − E ice (t))a 0 e (0.06933∗E T H 2 O(t))<br />

M(t)(1 − a 5 ) − a 8 − a 16<br />

]P<br />

(<br />

(a 12 P 2 )<br />

)<br />

−<br />

Z<br />

Z 2 + a 12 a 13 P 2 ]<br />

[(0.8491189)(1)(1 − a 5 ) − a 8 − a 16<br />

≤<br />

We may rewrite as follow,<br />

} {{ }<br />

α u<br />

P<br />

Using proposition 1 we get,<br />

dP<br />

≤ α<br />

dt u P where α u = 0.806566<br />

∴ 0 ≤ P (t) ≤ P 0 e αut (38)<br />

lim P (t) = ∞ (39)<br />

t→+∞<br />

60

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