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HIERARCHAL INDUCTIVE PROCESS MODELING AND ANALYSIS ...

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his research on the Ross Sea Phytoplankton dynamic, Borrett (unpublished data)<br />

worked with real-life measurements for Phytoplankton and Nitrate and inputted this<br />

data into HIPM, for that particular reason I decided to look at experiment number 8<br />

which assumed data for both Nitrate and Phytoplankton (cf. Table 4). The number<br />

of good fit models, under a .5 reMSE, produced by HIPM is 25. When observations<br />

for Zooplankton are added no models under the chosen reMSE cutoff are selected; on<br />

the other hand when Iron or Detritus are added a significant decrease in the number<br />

of good fit models can be observed. The addition of detritus (experiment 19) and<br />

iron (experiment 21) yielded respectively 13 and 15 good fit models. However, out<br />

of all the models selected in experiment 8 only 2 models were part of the set selected<br />

in experiment 19 (addition of detritus data) and 3 models from the set selected<br />

in experiment 21 (addition of iron data). A comparison of the structures of these<br />

models (the models can be found in appendix D and E) that they differ only, by<br />

the type of Zooplankton grazing process used, by the parameter values and, in some<br />

cases, by the Phytoplankton growth limitation (aka M(t)). Otherwise the structures<br />

of these models are comparable, implying perhaps that the grazing processes used<br />

in these models have similar effects on the ecosystem, which is plausible given the<br />

number of grazing processes present in the process library. It is in fact this high<br />

number of grazing options that makes for a very large structural search space.<br />

64

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