Research on the Sporting Goods Industry in Japan - Yano Research ...
Research on the Sporting Goods Industry in Japan - Yano Research ...
Research on the Sporting Goods Industry in Japan - Yano Research ...
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<strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute<br />
RESEARCH SUMMARY May 23, 2008<br />
<strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute Ltd.<br />
2-46-2 H<strong>on</strong>cho, Nakano-ku, Tokyo 164-8620, <strong>Japan</strong><br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sport<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Goods</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong><br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Outl<strong>in</strong>e<br />
<strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute has c<strong>on</strong>ducted a study <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> sport<strong>in</strong>g goods <strong>in</strong>dustry accord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong><br />
follow<strong>in</strong>g research outl<strong>in</strong>e.<br />
1. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> objective:<br />
The objective of this research is to reveal <strong>the</strong> factors that c<strong>on</strong>stitute current envir<strong>on</strong>ment of <strong>the</strong><br />
sport<strong>in</strong>g goods market <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong> and to understand <strong>the</strong> background of <strong>the</strong> market trend, as well as to<br />
forecast <strong>the</strong> future trend of <strong>the</strong> market, by obta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g up-to-date <strong>in</strong>formati<strong>on</strong>.<br />
2. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> items: <strong>Sport<strong>in</strong>g</strong> goods (16 categories: Golf, Ski, Fish<strong>in</strong>g, Athletic wear, Outdoor, Sports shoes ,<br />
Tennis, Swimm<strong>in</strong>g, Baseball & Softball, Mar<strong>in</strong>e sports, Snowboard<strong>in</strong>g, Cycle sports,<br />
Badm<strong>in</strong>t<strong>on</strong>, Martial arts, Table tennis and Fitness)<br />
3. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> targets: 450 major <strong>Japan</strong>ese companies deal<strong>in</strong>g with sport<strong>in</strong>g goods, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g manufacturers,<br />
wholesalers and retailers<br />
4. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> period: From November 2007 to February 2008<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> topics:<br />
・ Market trend outlook ・ Analysis <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>sumer behavior ・ Product trend of <strong>the</strong> sport<strong>in</strong>g goods<br />
・ Trend of <strong>the</strong> retail channels ・ Market forecast ・ Rank<strong>in</strong>g of manufacturers by annual<br />
shipment value<br />
*The research topics covered depend <strong>on</strong> product category.<br />
Summary of <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> F<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs<br />
• The market size of <strong>the</strong> sport<strong>in</strong>g goods <strong>in</strong> shipment value <strong>in</strong> 2007 is estimated to be 1,242 billi<strong>on</strong> and<br />
545 milli<strong>on</strong> yen, 102.3 % of <strong>the</strong> previous year. The market has achieved positive growth for three<br />
c<strong>on</strong>secutive years from 2005.<br />
• The rapid growth of <strong>the</strong> “wellness-related market” is support<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> market growth <strong>in</strong> spite of <strong>the</strong><br />
c<strong>on</strong>t<strong>in</strong>uous sluggish sales of <strong>the</strong> recreati<strong>on</strong>al sport<strong>in</strong>g goods typified by w<strong>in</strong>ter sports. Swimm<strong>in</strong>g<br />
goods, cycl<strong>in</strong>g goods, runn<strong>in</strong>g goods, walk<strong>in</strong>g shoes, etc. are all categorized <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> field of<br />
“wellness” that is supposed to be beneficial to <strong>on</strong>e’s health. It is assumed that <strong>the</strong> recent grow<strong>in</strong>g<br />
awareness of metabolic syndrome is a driv<strong>in</strong>g factor for people not participat<strong>in</strong>g to any sports<br />
regularly to do some sorts of exercises. Ano<strong>the</strong>r important factor that greatly c<strong>on</strong>tributed to <strong>the</strong><br />
positive growth of <strong>the</strong> entire sport<strong>in</strong>g goods market is that <strong>the</strong> golf market, with <strong>the</strong> largest share <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> total sport<strong>in</strong>g goods market, had turned to a growth category.<br />
Report format:<br />
Published report: “White Paper <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sport<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Goods</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> 2008 (with CD-ROM)”<br />
Issued <strong>in</strong>: March 2008<br />
Language: <strong>Japan</strong>ese<br />
Format: 667 pages <strong>in</strong> A4 format<br />
Price: 155,000 yen (7,750 yen of c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> tax will be additi<strong>on</strong>ally charged for sales <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong>.)<br />
C<strong>on</strong>tacts:<br />
Public Relati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
<strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute Ltd. (URL: http://www.yanoresearch.com/)<br />
Ph<strong>on</strong>e: +81-3-5371-6912<br />
E-mail: press@yano.co.jp<br />
Copyright © 2008 <strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute Ltd.<br />
Page1/11
Overview of <strong>the</strong> research outcome<br />
The total shipment value of sport<strong>in</strong>g goods <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong>ese market <strong>in</strong> 2007 is projected to be 1,242 billi<strong>on</strong> and<br />
545 milli<strong>on</strong> yen (approx. 11.95 billi<strong>on</strong> US dollars at 104 yen/$), 102.3% of <strong>the</strong> previous year. The<br />
market has achieved positive growth for <strong>the</strong> three c<strong>on</strong>secutive years from 2005 after hitt<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> bottom,<br />
and it is now <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> trend <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> directi<strong>on</strong> of stable growth. There are two important factors that<br />
c<strong>on</strong>tributed to rais<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> total sport<strong>in</strong>g goods market size. The <strong>on</strong>e should be <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease of demand for<br />
<strong>the</strong> items used for daily exercise to improve <strong>on</strong>es’ health and body shape ma<strong>in</strong>ly by <strong>the</strong> people who have<br />
just begun some exercises. And, <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r should be <strong>the</strong> resurgence of <strong>the</strong> golf <strong>in</strong>dustry that has <strong>the</strong><br />
largest share <strong>in</strong> shipment value <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> entire sport<strong>in</strong>g goods market.<br />
The key word of “health” and “beauty” might have attracted much more attenti<strong>on</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2007 than <strong>the</strong>y did<br />
ever before. For <strong>the</strong> most people who have just started exercises, it is most important to “stay <strong>in</strong> fit”, and<br />
<strong>the</strong>y were attracted to engag<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>, for <strong>in</strong>stance, swimm<strong>in</strong>g, cycl<strong>in</strong>g, runn<strong>in</strong>g, walk<strong>in</strong>g or some o<strong>the</strong>r types<br />
of fitness, which has raised <strong>the</strong> sale of <strong>the</strong>se categories that should be classified <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> “wellness-related<br />
market”. In particular, walk<strong>in</strong>g-related goods and fitness goods became very popular am<strong>on</strong>g <strong>the</strong> people<br />
who are c<strong>on</strong>cerned about metabolic syndrome. And thus, sports are not d<strong>on</strong>e or played <strong>on</strong>ly for athletic<br />
purpose <strong>the</strong>se days but also for improv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>on</strong>es’ “health” and “beauty”. For example, <strong>the</strong> fitness market<br />
exploded, with large-scale participati<strong>on</strong> of women <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> fitness accelerated by <strong>the</strong> key words of “health”<br />
and “beauty”, and this is proved by <strong>the</strong> double digit growth of <strong>the</strong> markets for three c<strong>on</strong>secutive years from<br />
2005. C<strong>on</strong>sequently, <strong>the</strong> total wellness-related market was activated also by <strong>the</strong> rapid <strong>in</strong>crease of<br />
participants <strong>in</strong> some unique categories of fitness such as yoga and Pilates. As for <strong>the</strong> “walk<strong>in</strong>g”-related<br />
market that has also achieved rapid growth due to <strong>the</strong> close relati<strong>on</strong> to “health” has turned to <strong>the</strong> focus<br />
category of both manufactures and retailers backed by <strong>the</strong> great demand for walk<strong>in</strong>g shoes ma<strong>in</strong>ly from<br />
middle-aged and senior pers<strong>on</strong>s. The demand of <strong>the</strong> walk<strong>in</strong>g shoes had been stimulated due to <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>crease of demand for travel<strong>in</strong>g purpose <strong>in</strong> additi<strong>on</strong> to c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al athletic purpose. The<br />
walk<strong>in</strong>g-related market that <strong>in</strong>cludes <strong>the</strong> sales of walk<strong>in</strong>g shoes also made double digit growth for <strong>the</strong> last<br />
few years, which, as well as fitness market, truly played an important role <strong>in</strong> achiev<strong>in</strong>g positive result of<br />
<strong>the</strong> 102.3% shipment year-<strong>on</strong>-year.<br />
With respect to <strong>the</strong> golf<strong>in</strong>g goods market with <strong>the</strong> largest share of <strong>the</strong> 16 categories* of sport<strong>in</strong>g goods<br />
market, it has changed to <strong>the</strong> growth category after suffer<strong>in</strong>g from l<strong>on</strong>g lasted curtailment of bus<strong>in</strong>ess scale<br />
caused by <strong>the</strong> sluggish demand after <strong>the</strong> collapse of <strong>the</strong> bubble ec<strong>on</strong>omy, which greatly c<strong>on</strong>tributes to <strong>the</strong><br />
positive growth of <strong>the</strong> entire sport<strong>in</strong>g goods market without doubt. Activities of exist<strong>in</strong>g players have<br />
been fur<strong>the</strong>r enhanced and new participants have been <strong>in</strong>creased by diversificati<strong>on</strong> of play style promoted<br />
by popularizati<strong>on</strong> of golf which was triggered by soar<strong>in</strong>g popularity of ladies professi<strong>on</strong>al golf players and<br />
by <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease of foreign capital golf courses.<br />
It is highly expected that <strong>the</strong> overall market trend described above c<strong>on</strong>t<strong>in</strong>ue throughout 2008, and <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>Japan</strong>ese domestic market size of <strong>the</strong> sport<strong>in</strong>g goods (shipment basis) <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> same year is forecasted to be<br />
1,278 billi<strong>on</strong> and 38 milli<strong>on</strong> yen (approx. 12.29 US dollars at 104 yen/$), 102.9% year-<strong>on</strong>-year.<br />
In some categories, however, <strong>the</strong> imbalance of supply versus demand has occurred due to great <strong>in</strong>crease of<br />
supply with a surge of open<strong>in</strong>gs of new stores most of which are mass merchandisers of sport<strong>in</strong>g goods,<br />
directly operated stores and outlet stores, and <strong>the</strong>re may be overstocks at forego<strong>in</strong>g stores even for grow<strong>in</strong>g<br />
categories. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong>re are 6 categories out of <strong>the</strong> 16 categories exhibit<strong>in</strong>g trend of sales decl<strong>in</strong>e.<br />
It is c<strong>on</strong>cerned, <strong>the</strong>refore, that <strong>the</strong> total market decl<strong>in</strong>e aga<strong>in</strong> if <strong>the</strong> status described above c<strong>on</strong>t<strong>in</strong>ues.<br />
*16 categories: Golf, Ski, Fish<strong>in</strong>g, Athletic wear, Outdoor, Sports shoes, Tennis, Swimm<strong>in</strong>g, Baseball & Softball, Mar<strong>in</strong>e<br />
sports, Snowboard<strong>in</strong>g, Cycle sports, Badm<strong>in</strong>t<strong>on</strong>, Martial arts, Table tennis and Fitness<br />
Copyright © 2008 <strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute Ltd.<br />
Page2/11
Market Size of <strong>Sport<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Goods</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong> (Shipment value basis)<br />
Units: Mil. Yen, % (Upper row : Market share, Lower row : Year-<strong>on</strong>-year ratio)<br />
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007(Projecti<strong>on</strong>) 2008(Forecast)<br />
% % % % % %<br />
Golf 247,205 21.4 238,702 20.7 243,730 20.5 246,910 20.3 256,640 20.7 263,900 20.6<br />
- 96.6 102.1 101.3 103.9 102.8<br />
Ski 40,220 3.5 36,180 3.1 35,250 3.0 32,840 2.7 30,140 2.4 29,150 2.3<br />
- 90.0 97.4 93.2 91.8 96.7<br />
Fish<strong>in</strong>g 133,140 11.5 127,530 11.1 123,610 10.4 122,000 10.0 123,840 10.0 126,000 9.9<br />
- 95.8 96.9 98.7 101.5 101.7<br />
Athletic wear 153,960 13.3 174,500 15.1 197,720 16.6 214,130 17.6 221,015 17.8 229,100 17.9<br />
- 113.3 113.3 108.3 103.2 103.7<br />
Outdoor 110,745 9.6 110,555 9.6 113,442 9.5 118,282 9.7 122,230 9.8 125,200 9.8<br />
- 99.8 102.6 104.3 103.3 102.4<br />
Sports shoes 178,980 15.5 170,189 14.8 180,482 15.2 187,800 15.5 193,240 15.6 203,830 15.9<br />
- 95.1 106.0 104.1 102.9 105.5<br />
Tennis 65,580 5.7 68,140 5.9 67,900 5.7 63,105 5.2 61,990 5.0 61,320 4.8<br />
- 103.9 99.6 92.9 98.2 98.9<br />
Swimm<strong>in</strong>g 27,650 2.4 28,700 2.5 28,000 2.4 27,990 2.3 28,790 2.3 30,400 2.4<br />
- 103.8 97.6 100.0 102.9 105.6<br />
Baseball/ Softball 66,735 5.8 68,795 6.0 70,964 6.0 73,181 6.0 74,905 6.0 76,593 6.0<br />
- 103.1 103.2 103.1 102.4 102.3<br />
Mar<strong>in</strong>e sports 11,450 1.0 11,326 1.0 10,873 0.9 10,610 0.9 10,495 0.8 10,475 0.8<br />
- 98.9 96.0 97.6 98.9 99.8<br />
Snowboard<strong>in</strong>g 42,600 3.7 38,100 3.3 36,870 3.1 34,615 2.8 31,510 2.5 30,820 2.4<br />
- 89.4 96.8 93.9 91.0 97.8<br />
Cycle sports 17,160 1.5 16,830 1.5 16,560 1.4 17,250 1.4 19,220 1.5 21,100 1.7<br />
- 98.1 98.4 104.2 111.4 109.8<br />
Badm<strong>in</strong>t<strong>on</strong> 11,810 1.0 12,240 1.1 12,570 1.1 12,830 1.1 13,230 1.1 13,700 1.1<br />
- 103.6 102.7 102.1 103.1 103.6<br />
M artial arts 13,945 1.2 13,850 1.2 13,218 1.1 12,890 1.1 12,695 1.0 12,705 1.0<br />
- 99.3 95.4 97.5 98.5 100.1<br />
Table tennis 10,360 0.9 10,670 0.9 10,983 0.9 10,520 0.9 10,720 0.9 10,725 0.8<br />
- 103.0 102.9 95.8 101.9 100.0<br />
Fitness 12,980 1.1 13,571 1.2 15,049 1.3 16,720 1.4 18,385 1.5 19,320 1.5<br />
- 104.6 110.9 111.1 110.0 105.1<br />
O<strong>the</strong>rs 12,980 1.1 13,100 1.1 13,300 1.1 13,350 1.1 13,500 1.1 13,700 1.1<br />
- 100.9 101.5 100.4 101.1 101.5<br />
Total 1,157,500 100.0 1,152,978 100.0 1,190,521 100.0 1,215,023 100.0 1,242,545 100.0 1,278,038 100.0<br />
- 99.6 103.3 102.1 102.3 102.9<br />
Estimated by <strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute<br />
Note: The above numbers (<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g those for 2006 or before) are based <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> research and <strong>the</strong> calculati<strong>on</strong> newly c<strong>on</strong>ducted dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> researach<br />
period of this report (Nov. 2007 - Feb. 2008).<br />
Copyright © 2008 <strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute Ltd.<br />
Page3/11
Market Size of <strong>Sport<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Goods</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong> by Category (Shipment value basis)<br />
(Unit: Mil. Yen)<br />
1,300,000<br />
1,200,000<br />
1,100,000<br />
1,000,000<br />
12,980 13,100<br />
12,980<br />
10,360<br />
13,571<br />
13,945<br />
10,670<br />
11,810<br />
13,850<br />
12,240<br />
17,160 16,830<br />
42,600 38,100<br />
11,450 11,326<br />
66,735 68,795<br />
19,690 20,912<br />
13,300<br />
15,049<br />
10,983<br />
13,218<br />
12,570<br />
16,560<br />
36,870<br />
10,873<br />
70,964<br />
22,000<br />
67,900<br />
13,350<br />
16,720<br />
10,520<br />
12,890<br />
12,830<br />
17,250<br />
34,615<br />
10,610<br />
73,181<br />
25,150<br />
63,105<br />
13,500<br />
18,385<br />
10,720<br />
12,695<br />
13,230<br />
19,220<br />
31,510<br />
10,495<br />
74,905<br />
26,500<br />
61,990<br />
13,700 O<strong>the</strong>rs<br />
13,700 Fitness<br />
19,320 Table tennis<br />
12,705 Martial arts<br />
13,700 Badm<strong>in</strong>t<strong>on</strong><br />
21,100 Cycle sports<br />
30,820 Snowboard<strong>in</strong>g<br />
10,475 Mar<strong>in</strong>e sports<br />
76,593<br />
Baseball/ Softball<br />
27,690 Swimm<strong>in</strong>g<br />
61,320 Te n n i s<br />
900,000<br />
800,000<br />
65,580 68,140<br />
180,482<br />
187,800<br />
193,240<br />
203,830 Sports shoes<br />
178,980 170,189<br />
700,000<br />
110,745 110,555<br />
113,442<br />
118,282<br />
122,230<br />
125,200 Outdoor<br />
600,000<br />
500,000<br />
153,960<br />
174,500<br />
197,720<br />
214,130<br />
221,015<br />
229,100 Athletic wear<br />
400,000<br />
133,140<br />
127,530 123,610 122,000<br />
123,840<br />
126,000 Fish<strong>in</strong>g<br />
300,000<br />
40,220<br />
36,180 35,250 32,840<br />
30,140<br />
29,150 Ski<br />
200,000<br />
100,000<br />
247,205 238,702 243,730 246,910 256,640<br />
263,900 Golf<br />
0<br />
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007(Projecti<strong>on</strong>) 2008(Forecast) 【Category】<br />
Estimated by <strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute<br />
Copyright © 2008 <strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute Ltd.<br />
Page4/11
Breakdown of <strong>Sport<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Goods</strong> Market <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong> by Category (Shipment value basis) (Unit: %)<br />
100%<br />
90%<br />
1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1<br />
1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5<br />
1.1<br />
0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9<br />
1.5<br />
1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0<br />
1.0<br />
1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1<br />
1.1<br />
1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.5<br />
1.7<br />
3.7 3.3 3.1 2.8 2.5<br />
1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8<br />
5.8 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0<br />
2.4<br />
0.8<br />
6.0<br />
O<strong>the</strong>rs<br />
Fitness<br />
Table tennis<br />
Martial arts<br />
Badm<strong>in</strong>t<strong>on</strong><br />
Cycle sports<br />
Snowboard<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Mar<strong>in</strong>e sports<br />
Baseball/ Softball<br />
80%<br />
2.4 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.3<br />
5.7<br />
5.7<br />
5.2 5.0<br />
5.9<br />
2.4<br />
4.8<br />
Swimm<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Tennis<br />
70%<br />
15.5 14.8<br />
15.2<br />
15.5 15.6<br />
15.9<br />
Sports shoes<br />
60%<br />
9.6 9.6 9.5 9.7 9.8<br />
9.8<br />
Outdoor<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
13.3<br />
15.1 16.6 17.6 17.8<br />
17.9<br />
Athletic wear<br />
30%<br />
11.5<br />
11.1<br />
10.4<br />
10.0 10.0<br />
9.9<br />
Fish<strong>in</strong>g<br />
20%<br />
3.5<br />
3.1 3.0 2.7 2.4<br />
2.3<br />
Ski<br />
10%<br />
21.4 20.7 20.5 20.3 20.7<br />
20.6<br />
Golf<br />
0%<br />
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007(Projecti<strong>on</strong>) 2008(Forecast) 【Category】<br />
Estimated by <strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute<br />
Copyright © 2008 <strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute Ltd.<br />
Page5/11
Shipment Value Index of <strong>Sport<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Goods</strong> Market <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong> by Category *Index: Figures for 2003=100%<br />
160<br />
指 数 (%)<br />
Index(%)<br />
150<br />
Athletic wear<br />
Fitness<br />
140<br />
130<br />
Cycle sports<br />
120<br />
110<br />
100<br />
Swimm<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Badm<strong>in</strong>t<strong>on</strong><br />
Baseball/Softball<br />
Sports shoes<br />
Outdoor<br />
Total<br />
Swimm<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Golf<br />
O<strong>the</strong>rs<br />
Table tennis<br />
90<br />
Fish<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Tennis<br />
Mar<strong>in</strong>e sports<br />
Martial arts<br />
80<br />
Ski<br />
70<br />
Snowboard<strong>in</strong>g<br />
60<br />
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007(Projecti<strong>on</strong>) 2008(Forecast)<br />
Estimated by <strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute<br />
Copyright © 2008 <strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute Ltd.<br />
Page6/11
Market overview by category<br />
Growth <strong>in</strong> 2007<br />
Projecti<strong>on</strong> of 2007<br />
Category<br />
Compared 2006<br />
Amount<br />
Upper row Unit: Mil.<br />
Yen<br />
(Lower row Unit: Mil.<br />
US $ at 104yen/$)<br />
Market Trends<br />
◆Although <strong>the</strong> golf supply market has suffered from l<strong>on</strong>g lasted curtailment of bus<strong>in</strong>ess scale<br />
for years after <strong>the</strong> collapse of <strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic bubble, it now shows a sign of market resurgence.<br />
Golf 103.90%<br />
256,640<br />
(2,467)<br />
◆Soar<strong>in</strong>g popularity of young female professi<strong>on</strong>al golf players <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir twenties and <strong>the</strong> change<br />
of play<strong>in</strong>g envir<strong>on</strong>ment driven by <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease of foreign-affiliated golf course operat<strong>in</strong>g<br />
companies should be <strong>the</strong> major footholds of <strong>the</strong> market resurgence. The former c<strong>on</strong>tributed to<br />
attract more attenti<strong>on</strong> of people to golf and <strong>the</strong> latter made more people to participate <strong>in</strong> play<strong>in</strong>g<br />
golf <strong>in</strong> additi<strong>on</strong> that it made exist<strong>in</strong>g players to play more frequently.<br />
◆A new, young star professi<strong>on</strong>al golfer, Ryo Ishikawa, also improved image of golf, which also<br />
c<strong>on</strong>tributed to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> number of golf players, broadened <strong>the</strong> golf player base <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong><br />
and drove <strong>the</strong> resurgence of <strong>the</strong> golf supply market as a c<strong>on</strong>sequence.<br />
◆There had been some positive phenomen<strong>on</strong> s<strong>in</strong>ce a few years ago for <strong>the</strong> ski goods market<br />
such as “<strong>in</strong>crease of family skiers” and “<strong>the</strong> return of <strong>the</strong> skiers who had stayed away from<br />
ski<strong>in</strong>g for some time”, and <strong>the</strong> market had grown for a few years before 2006.<br />
Ski 91.80%<br />
301,400<br />
(2,898)<br />
◆In 2006, however, w<strong>in</strong>ter was warm and <strong>the</strong>re was much less snow than it should be.<br />
C<strong>on</strong>sequently, <strong>the</strong> growth trends ended, and <strong>the</strong>re were too many products for 2006 <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>ventory<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> seas<strong>on</strong> of 2007-2008. The retailers had to clear those old models and <strong>the</strong>y lost a lot of<br />
opportunities to sell new models that could be sold at regular prices, which made <strong>the</strong> revenue<br />
significantly lower.<br />
◆The key factor for success <strong>in</strong> this market is to do appropriate demand forecast<strong>in</strong>g and supply<br />
adjustment <strong>in</strong> order to keep sound <strong>in</strong>ventory level as much as possible although <strong>the</strong> success of<br />
<strong>the</strong> market largely depends <strong>on</strong> wea<strong>the</strong>r, s<strong>in</strong>ce it should be extremely important not to carry old<br />
stock over next seas<strong>on</strong>.<br />
Fish<strong>in</strong>g 101.50%<br />
123,840<br />
(1,190)<br />
◆The market had been <strong>on</strong> a shr<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g trend for several years before 2007 due to <strong>the</strong> decrease<br />
<strong>in</strong> demand ma<strong>in</strong>ly caused by limitati<strong>on</strong>s of activities regard<strong>in</strong>g fish<strong>in</strong>g for alien species enforced<br />
by Invasive Alien Species Act and by <strong>in</strong>crease of forbidden z<strong>on</strong>es associated with <strong>the</strong><br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al C<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong> for <strong>the</strong> Safety of Life at Sea.<br />
◆The market f<strong>in</strong>ally achieved a positive growth <strong>in</strong> 2007 for <strong>the</strong> first time <strong>in</strong> a decade. This<br />
growth, however, was achieved not by <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> actual demand but by <strong>the</strong> markup of<br />
product prices due to material cost <strong>in</strong>crease triggered by <strong>the</strong> rise <strong>in</strong> oil price.<br />
◆The market enjoyed a benefit that was brought by <strong>the</strong> enrichment of women’s l<strong>in</strong>e of products<br />
promoted ma<strong>in</strong>ly by such <strong>in</strong>ternati<strong>on</strong>al brands as “Adidas”, “Nike” and “Puma”.<br />
Athletic wear 103.20%<br />
221,015<br />
(2,125)<br />
◆Recent popularity of <strong>the</strong> wellness sports or pers<strong>on</strong>al exercise am<strong>on</strong>g women c<strong>on</strong>tributed to<br />
attract<strong>in</strong>g entry-level participants to <strong>the</strong> wellness sports that does not have an established market<br />
of specialized wear, and to activat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> market by enhanc<strong>in</strong>g basic l<strong>in</strong>e of sport<strong>in</strong>g goods (or,<br />
what is called “sports basic”) more oriented to actual sports use. This new l<strong>in</strong>es of apparel<br />
products have started to be displayed or stocked more <strong>in</strong> large sport<strong>in</strong>g goods stores or <strong>in</strong>-shops<br />
<strong>in</strong> department stores or some o<strong>the</strong>r types of stores, which succeeded <strong>in</strong> w<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g new customers.<br />
◆The “sports basic” market is c<strong>on</strong>t<strong>in</strong>uously expand<strong>in</strong>g not <strong>on</strong>ly <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> category of fitness which<br />
should be related to “wellness” that stimulated <strong>the</strong> market growth, but also <strong>in</strong> some o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
categories.<br />
Copyright © 2008 <strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute Ltd.<br />
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Growth <strong>in</strong> 2007<br />
Projecti<strong>on</strong> of 2007<br />
Category<br />
Compared 2006<br />
Amount<br />
Upper row Unit: Mil.<br />
Yen<br />
(Lower row Unit: Mil.<br />
US $ at 104yen/$)<br />
Market Trends<br />
◆For <strong>the</strong> market of this category, <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> use of “apparel”, “shoes” and “backpacks” <strong>in</strong><br />
daily life is <strong>on</strong>e of <strong>the</strong> major factors that pushed up <strong>the</strong> entire market scale.<br />
Outdoor 103.30%<br />
122,230<br />
(1,858)<br />
◆S<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> outdoor goods market has been supported by <strong>the</strong> boom of mounta<strong>in</strong> climb<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
camp<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> additi<strong>on</strong> to <strong>the</strong> demand for <strong>the</strong> clo<strong>the</strong>s for daily use especially when go<strong>in</strong>g out <strong>in</strong> city,<br />
it could be regarded as a market easily <strong>in</strong>fluenced by some sorts of booms. Although <strong>the</strong> market<br />
had experienced c<strong>on</strong>t<strong>in</strong>uous negative growth until 2004 due to <strong>the</strong> downturn of <strong>the</strong> mounta<strong>in</strong><br />
climb<strong>in</strong>g boom and camp<strong>in</strong>g boom, <strong>the</strong> current market is <strong>in</strong> good shape be<strong>in</strong>g supported by <strong>the</strong><br />
broadened customer base triggered by <strong>the</strong> popularity of “low hill climb<strong>in</strong>g”, “nature hikes”,<br />
“nature-based travel”, etc. and by <strong>the</strong> demand for <strong>the</strong> casual clo<strong>the</strong>s such as down jackets, <strong>on</strong>e<br />
of <strong>the</strong> lead<strong>in</strong>g items <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> outdoor goods market, to be worn when go<strong>in</strong>g out <strong>in</strong> city.<br />
◆Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, envir<strong>on</strong>mental issues such as <strong>the</strong> global warm<strong>in</strong>g have ga<strong>the</strong>red more attenti<strong>on</strong><br />
than ever <strong>in</strong> 2007 and “<strong>the</strong> envir<strong>on</strong>mentally-friendly life style” <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g adopti<strong>on</strong> of “cool biz”<br />
and “warm biz” has been becom<strong>in</strong>g more and more popular. This<br />
“social awareness of envir<strong>on</strong>mental issues” and aff<strong>in</strong>ity of <strong>the</strong> l<strong>in</strong>e of outdoor products<br />
are assumed to have positively affected <strong>the</strong> growth of <strong>the</strong> market visibly and <strong>in</strong>visibly.<br />
◆For <strong>the</strong> last several years, <strong>the</strong> market has been c<strong>on</strong>t<strong>in</strong>uously hav<strong>in</strong>g a host of problems such<br />
as too much distributi<strong>on</strong> stock, flood of barga<strong>in</strong> goods, decl<strong>in</strong>e of unit price, etc., although <strong>the</strong><br />
market still shows grow<strong>in</strong>g trends.<br />
◆While <strong>the</strong> sales of runn<strong>in</strong>g shoes and walk<strong>in</strong>g shoes are grow<strong>in</strong>g due partly to “health and<br />
beauty boom”, much more products than actual demand have supplied, result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> excess-supply<br />
of multi-purpose (casual sneakers) shoes and some o<strong>the</strong>r products.<br />
Sports shoes 102.90%<br />
193,240<br />
(1,858)<br />
◆In order to make <strong>the</strong> situati<strong>on</strong> better, some suppliers started to reduce <strong>the</strong>ir supply <strong>in</strong> around<br />
2006 and <strong>the</strong> market commenced full-fledged adjustment of distributi<strong>on</strong> stock <strong>in</strong> 2007, ma<strong>in</strong>ly led<br />
by major manufacturers.<br />
◆The market has been progressively shift<strong>in</strong>g to “market <strong>in</strong>” from “products out”, and<br />
c<strong>on</strong>sequently, <strong>the</strong> distributi<strong>on</strong> stock has just started to be reduced gradually. Even though <strong>the</strong><br />
supply c<strong>on</strong>trol and adjustment of distributi<strong>on</strong> stock may have been undertaken a little too late,<br />
<strong>the</strong>se activities of major manufacturers are highly appraised also by retail <strong>in</strong>dustry as a foothold<br />
for healthy growth of <strong>the</strong> market.<br />
◆The nati<strong>on</strong>al brand manufacturers show <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>tenti<strong>on</strong> to tackle with <strong>the</strong> challenge of<br />
how to nurture <strong>the</strong> depressed nati<strong>on</strong>al brand sports shoes aga<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>to hi-end fashi<strong>on</strong> brand<br />
products <strong>in</strong> order to raise <strong>the</strong> unit price by enhanc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> scarcity value.<br />
Tennis 98.20%<br />
61,990<br />
(596)<br />
◆Tennis goods market has been shr<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g s<strong>in</strong>ce 1991 of <strong>the</strong> peak year. Although it showed a<br />
positive growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> short-term <strong>in</strong> 2004 as <strong>the</strong> popularity of “Pr<strong>in</strong>ce of Tennis”, a carto<strong>on</strong><br />
featur<strong>in</strong>g a boy tennis player, am<strong>on</strong>g youth helped <strong>the</strong> growth of <strong>the</strong> market for children, it<br />
showed downward trends aga<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2005 and <strong>the</strong>reafter.<br />
◆Some of <strong>the</strong> possible factors that affected <strong>the</strong> tennis goods market <strong>in</strong>clude decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g birthrate<br />
and <strong>the</strong> trend am<strong>on</strong>g young people to stay away from sports.<br />
◆Ano<strong>the</strong>r important factor for <strong>the</strong> shr<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g market is <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>fluence of <strong>the</strong> too much supply that<br />
exceeded <strong>the</strong> demand. In particular, <strong>the</strong> glut of rackets (n<strong>on</strong> soft-ball tennis rackets) <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
market has caused shorter product cycle and flood of barga<strong>in</strong> products.<br />
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Growth <strong>in</strong> 2007<br />
Projecti<strong>on</strong> of 2007<br />
Category<br />
Compared 2006<br />
Amount<br />
Upper row Unit: Mil.<br />
Yen<br />
(Lower row Unit: Mil.<br />
US $ at 104yen/$)<br />
Market Trends<br />
◆The market is expected to mark stable growth <strong>in</strong> terms of manufacturers’ shipment due to <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>crease of masters swimmers* that should form solid demand, and <strong>in</strong>troducti<strong>on</strong> of new brands.<br />
Swimm<strong>in</strong>g 102.90%<br />
28,790<br />
(276)<br />
*Masters swimm<strong>in</strong>g: Programs are open to all adult swimmers (fitness, triathlete, competitive,<br />
n<strong>on</strong>-competitive) who are dedicated to improv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir fitness through swimm<strong>in</strong>g. (Source:<br />
http://www.usms.org/about.php)<br />
◆Some <strong>in</strong>dustry participants po<strong>in</strong>ted out “<strong>the</strong> excess stock of swimm<strong>in</strong>g wear for fitness and<br />
o<strong>the</strong>r items” and “<strong>the</strong> tendency of young women ‘to avoid swimm<strong>in</strong>g’ due to popularity of some<br />
sports club programs such as yoga that compete” and <strong>the</strong>re are some o<strong>the</strong>r c<strong>on</strong>cerns, although<br />
<strong>the</strong> market is expected to make a positive growth.<br />
◆The market has achieved positive growth for <strong>the</strong> fifth c<strong>on</strong>secutive years.<br />
◆There are a lot of hot topics related to baseball <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g number of active<br />
<strong>Japan</strong>ese major league baseball players <strong>in</strong> US, <strong>in</strong>troducti<strong>on</strong> of <strong>in</strong>terleague games of professi<strong>on</strong>al<br />
baseball, playoff games newly <strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>in</strong> 2007 also by Central League, newly established<br />
series of games called Asia Series to decide <strong>the</strong> champi<strong>on</strong> of professi<strong>on</strong>al baseball teams <strong>in</strong><br />
Asia, popularity of high school baseball tournament, etc.<br />
Baseball/<br />
Softball<br />
102.40%<br />
74,905<br />
(720)<br />
◆The shipment of major domestic manufacturers still shows <strong>in</strong>crease trend ow<strong>in</strong>g to new<br />
open<strong>in</strong>gs of large sports stores and expansi<strong>on</strong> of store space for emphasiz<strong>in</strong>g team sports.<br />
◆While <strong>the</strong>re are some positive factors such as forego<strong>in</strong>g favorable topics and improvied retail<br />
envir<strong>on</strong>ment, <strong>in</strong>crease of shipment has been c<strong>on</strong>t<strong>in</strong>uously slim. This is because <strong>the</strong> popularity of<br />
watch<strong>in</strong>g games does not necessarily lead to <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> player number, and <strong>the</strong> rubber baseball<br />
goods for adults that account for large porti<strong>on</strong> of <strong>the</strong> market still exhibits downward trend as a<br />
matter of fact.<br />
◆The market is not completely unrelated to <strong>the</strong> problem of sharp <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> material<br />
price that most manufacturers have and problems of human resource <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a and o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
Asian countries, and each manufacturer is thus struggl<strong>in</strong>g with <strong>the</strong> problem of cost<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease.<br />
Mar<strong>in</strong>e sports 98.90%<br />
10,495<br />
(100)<br />
◆As oversea travel become more and more popular, <strong>the</strong> number of people who obta<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
div<strong>in</strong>g license dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir travel abroad <strong>in</strong>creases. Accord<strong>in</strong>gly, <strong>the</strong> number of people who obta<strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> entry level C card <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong> has decreased and div<strong>in</strong>g goods market has shrunken <strong>in</strong><br />
proporti<strong>on</strong> to <strong>the</strong> decrease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> number of obta<strong>in</strong>ment of <strong>the</strong> license domestically, which should<br />
be <strong>the</strong> biggest factor of <strong>the</strong> flagg<strong>in</strong>g mar<strong>in</strong>e sports market.<br />
◆One of <strong>the</strong> important factors of sluggish replacement demand is <strong>the</strong> slower rate of wear-out<br />
of goods accord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> decreased frequency of div<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
◆Popularizati<strong>on</strong> of rental div<strong>in</strong>g equipment should be ano<strong>the</strong>r important factor of decreased<br />
demand.<br />
Copyright © 2008 <strong>Yano</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Research</str<strong>on</strong>g> Institute Ltd.<br />
Page9/11
Growth <strong>in</strong> 2007<br />
Projecti<strong>on</strong> of 2007<br />
Category<br />
Compared 2006<br />
Amount<br />
Upper row Unit: Mil.<br />
Yen<br />
(Lower row Unit: Mil.<br />
US $ at 104yen/$)<br />
Market Trends<br />
◆Shipment value of snowboard<strong>in</strong>g goods <strong>in</strong> 2007 (2007-2008 Seas<strong>on</strong>) is estimated to be 31.51<br />
billi<strong>on</strong> yen, 91.0% of <strong>the</strong> previous year. The market, which peaked <strong>in</strong> 1993 (with domestic<br />
shipment value of 82.15 billi<strong>on</strong> yen), dropped by 60% by 2007 from its peak.<br />
◆The number of young people who start snowboard<strong>in</strong>g rema<strong>in</strong>s decreas<strong>in</strong>g due to changes <strong>in</strong><br />
and diversificati<strong>on</strong> of opti<strong>on</strong>s for <strong>the</strong>ir leisure time. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> market has not been able to<br />
break out of <strong>the</strong> l<strong>on</strong>g-last<strong>in</strong>g trend of negative growth because of chr<strong>on</strong>ically weak replacement<br />
demand.<br />
Snowboard<strong>in</strong>g 91.00%<br />
31,510<br />
(302)<br />
◆The market suffered a major slump <strong>in</strong> physical store sales due to <strong>the</strong> warm w<strong>in</strong>ter of 2006-<br />
2007 seas<strong>on</strong> and subsequent shortage of snow, which resulted <strong>in</strong> a c<strong>on</strong>siderable amount of old<br />
stock reta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. C<strong>on</strong>sequently, <strong>the</strong> market <strong>in</strong> 2007 (2006-2007 Seas<strong>on</strong>) was forced<br />
to face a serious decl<strong>in</strong>e as <strong>the</strong>re were very few chances for new products to be marketed and<br />
sold.<br />
◆As <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> case of ski<strong>in</strong>g goods market, it is difficult to forecast <strong>the</strong> snowboard<strong>in</strong>g goods<br />
market as it is affected by natural envir<strong>on</strong>ment <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> amount of snow c<strong>on</strong>sider<strong>in</strong>g that <strong>the</strong><br />
snow is essential for snowboard<strong>in</strong>g. For <strong>the</strong> future, it may become more important<br />
to improve quality of bus<strong>in</strong>ess, ra<strong>the</strong>r than just to pursue <strong>the</strong> size of bus<strong>in</strong>ess, by reduc<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>the</strong> reta<strong>in</strong>ed stock through proper supply plann<strong>in</strong>g based <strong>on</strong> real demand.<br />
◆One of <strong>the</strong> major reas<strong>on</strong>s for <strong>the</strong> growth of <strong>the</strong> market may be very close associati<strong>on</strong> of <strong>the</strong><br />
cycle sports as merchandise with <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>cepts of “stay <strong>in</strong> fit” and “envir<strong>on</strong>ment”, some of <strong>the</strong><br />
most popular key words <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong> <strong>the</strong>se days.<br />
Cycle sports 111.40%<br />
19,220<br />
(184)<br />
◆Although it is estimated that <strong>the</strong>re are still few c<strong>on</strong>sumers who are envir<strong>on</strong>ment c<strong>on</strong>scious<br />
str<strong>on</strong>g enough to choose a sports bicycle as a replacement of such transportati<strong>on</strong> as tra<strong>in</strong>s and<br />
automobiles from a view po<strong>in</strong>t of “an envir<strong>on</strong>ment-friendly vehicle”, <strong>the</strong> growth of <strong>the</strong> market<br />
seems to be supported ma<strong>in</strong>ly by <strong>in</strong>creased number of middle-aged and elderly pers<strong>on</strong>s and<br />
women, <strong>the</strong> customer segments that used to be <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> m<strong>in</strong>ority <strong>in</strong> this market, who purchase<br />
sports bicycles for <strong>the</strong> purpose of promot<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir health.<br />
◆With <strong>the</strong> growth of <strong>the</strong> forego<strong>in</strong>g new customer segments, <strong>the</strong> products trend and popular<br />
price ranges <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> cycle sports goods market has been drastically chang<strong>in</strong>g s<strong>in</strong>ce several years<br />
ago. For example, “mounta<strong>in</strong> bikes (MTB)” that used to have a dom<strong>in</strong>ant share <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> sales of<br />
sports bicycles f<strong>in</strong>ally lost <strong>the</strong> top positi<strong>on</strong> and was replaced by <strong>the</strong> category of “o<strong>the</strong>r f<strong>in</strong>ished bic<br />
◆As to <strong>the</strong> “road bike” market, <strong>the</strong> relatively low-priced products (for this market)<br />
that are sold under, for example, 100,000 yen are sell<strong>in</strong>g well due to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease of new<br />
users menti<strong>on</strong>ed earlier, which is <strong>on</strong>e of <strong>the</strong> growth driver of <strong>the</strong> market.<br />
◆The major factors that c<strong>on</strong>tributed to <strong>the</strong> positive growth of <strong>the</strong> market <strong>in</strong>clude <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong><br />
number of players and good, steady replacement demand.<br />
Badm<strong>in</strong>t<strong>on</strong> 103.10%<br />
13,230<br />
(127)<br />
◆Ano<strong>the</strong>r important factor may be <strong>in</strong>fluence of <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased media exposures of Kumi Ogura<br />
and Reiko Shiota to young generati<strong>on</strong> <strong>in</strong> particular, very popular badm<strong>in</strong>t<strong>on</strong> players who are to<br />
participate <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> 2008 Beij<strong>in</strong>g Olympic Games and active as <strong>the</strong> representatives from <strong>Japan</strong>.<br />
◆The demand of rackets and shuttlecocks are also steady without be<strong>in</strong>g effected by <strong>the</strong> price<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease, although <strong>the</strong>re was a c<strong>on</strong>cern that <strong>the</strong> price <strong>in</strong>crease of <strong>the</strong> shuttlecock caused by <strong>the</strong><br />
cost <strong>in</strong>crease stemmed from <strong>the</strong> bird flue could lessen <strong>the</strong> frequency of plays, which could lead<br />
to decrease <strong>in</strong> c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> of goods.<br />
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Growth <strong>in</strong> 2007<br />
Projecti<strong>on</strong> of 2007<br />
Category<br />
Compare to<br />
2006<br />
Amount<br />
Upper row Unit: Mil.<br />
Yen<br />
(Lower row Unit: Mil.<br />
US $ at 104yen/$)<br />
Market Trends<br />
◆The martial arts here<strong>in</strong> def<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>on</strong>ly <strong>in</strong>clude kendo, judo and karate, which are often<br />
<strong>in</strong>corporated <strong>in</strong> school activities or school curriculums.<br />
◆The entry-level elementary school students and junior high school students tend to avoid<br />
activities that <strong>in</strong>volve danger and pa<strong>in</strong>, and <strong>the</strong> sports with game elements are more popular<br />
am<strong>on</strong>g <strong>the</strong>m. Many of <strong>the</strong>m refra<strong>in</strong> from martial arts as <strong>in</strong>volves <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>cept of “tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g” or<br />
“less<strong>on</strong>s”, and <strong>in</strong> particular, kendo has rapidly become less popular am<strong>on</strong>g children.<br />
Martial arts 98.50%<br />
12,695<br />
(122)<br />
◆While judo and karate have much topicality due to reported activities of famous karate or judo<br />
men and popularity of professi<strong>on</strong>al martial arts, kendo is often avoided due to higher cost for<br />
various protective gears and bamboo swords, and for kendo school. Aga<strong>in</strong>st this backdrop, <strong>the</strong><br />
decrease <strong>in</strong> kendo goods market with <strong>the</strong> largest share <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> total martial art goods market is <strong>the</strong><br />
biggest factor of <strong>the</strong> negative growth of <strong>the</strong> said market.<br />
◆Steady demand from schools for educati<strong>on</strong>al use cannot be fully anticipated any l<strong>on</strong>ger due to<br />
<strong>the</strong> trend of fewer children, which is a problem comm<strong>on</strong> to all categories of <strong>the</strong><br />
martial art market. Each year’s order has decreased to <strong>the</strong> level of 80% of <strong>the</strong> previous<br />
year, which suggests that <strong>the</strong> decrease rate of order is even higher than <strong>the</strong> decrease rate<br />
of <strong>the</strong> number of students.<br />
◆Manufacturers’ distributi<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol d<strong>on</strong>e <strong>in</strong> 2006 by means of reducti<strong>on</strong> of shipment worked<br />
effectively <strong>in</strong> 2007 and lead to <strong>the</strong> adequate supply based <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> real demand, which should be<br />
<strong>the</strong> biggest factor for <strong>the</strong> positive growth.<br />
Table tennis 101.90%<br />
10,720<br />
(103)<br />
◆Table tennis has attracted more attenti<strong>on</strong> through media due to <strong>the</strong> popularity of Ai Fukuhara,<br />
<strong>the</strong> most famous young lady player <strong>in</strong> <strong>Japan</strong>, and image of table tennis has been even more<br />
improved because some o<strong>the</strong>r players <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> similar age group of Ai Fukuhara were picked up<br />
for <strong>the</strong>ir performance <strong>in</strong> 2007, <strong>the</strong> year just before <strong>the</strong> year of <strong>the</strong> Olympic Games. This<br />
enhanced image of <strong>the</strong> table tennis c<strong>on</strong>tributes to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> player numbers and relatively<br />
steady growth of <strong>the</strong> goods market.<br />
◆Due to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased table tennis enthusiasm, <strong>the</strong> players started to show <strong>the</strong> trend of seek<strong>in</strong>g<br />
for better products. Insistence <strong>on</strong> w<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g has turned to <strong>in</strong>sistence <strong>on</strong> quality of goods, and<br />
c<strong>on</strong>sequently, <strong>the</strong> amount of per capita customer spend was raised, which c<strong>on</strong>tributed to <strong>the</strong><br />
growth of <strong>the</strong> total table tennis goods market.<br />
◆The fitness goods market here<strong>in</strong> def<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong>cludes fitness clo<strong>the</strong>s (pure fitness l<strong>in</strong>e of products<br />
provided by specialized manufacturers and all-round sport<strong>in</strong>g goods manufacturers) and fitness<br />
shoes (based <strong>on</strong> manufacturers’ catalogs), and equipment and supplements are not <strong>in</strong>cluded.<br />
◆The number of sports club users has c<strong>on</strong>t<strong>in</strong>ued to grow supported by <strong>the</strong> recent health and<br />
wellness trend, and new sports clubs have been opened <strong>on</strong>e after ano<strong>the</strong>r.<br />
Fitness 110.00%<br />
18,385<br />
(176)<br />
◆While new participants are <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g, fitness clubs are mak<strong>in</strong>g efforts to establish a system to<br />
keep users from be<strong>in</strong>g board by diversify<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir programs. Attached facilities have been<br />
improv<strong>in</strong>g and fitness has been go<strong>in</strong>g to be established as a sort of status ma<strong>in</strong>ly for female<br />
office workers.<br />
◆Nowadays, male users who are c<strong>on</strong>cerned about metabolic syndrome have been rapidly<br />
<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g, and this active status of fitness market is directly reflected <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> positive growth of<br />
<strong>the</strong> fitness goods market centered <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> fitness clo<strong>the</strong>s.<br />
◆The fitness goods market has thus been sharply grow<strong>in</strong>g as fitness is established as a part of<br />
lifestyle aga<strong>in</strong>st <strong>the</strong> backdrop of <strong>the</strong> health and beauty boom. Fitness is now established<br />
as daily exercise that fits <strong>in</strong>to people’s lifestyle. This situati<strong>on</strong> enabled <strong>the</strong> market<br />
c<strong>on</strong>t<strong>in</strong>ually grow at a rapid rate.<br />
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