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will start not in June but in May. It could cause a severe water<br />

deficit in some small river basins in catchment area of River Pedja.<br />

• Maximum runoff to be more sensitive than minimum runoff. Spring<br />

floods have decreased, because of the lack of snow in the end of<br />

winter period.<br />

• All these modelled changes can be considered to be inside the<br />

observed natural variation of rivers runoff during the baseline period<br />

in 1961–1990.<br />

• Changes of hydrological conditions should be translated into<br />

changes in ecology of water-bodies also, because a number of<br />

ecological processes dependent from hydrological conditions. It can<br />

be concluded that positive impacts of climate warming on ecological<br />

state of water-bodies are prevailing in study area.<br />

• If minimum runoff will increase then it will act as a positive factor for<br />

water management of rivers, especially for wastewater discharge,<br />

navigation and recreational use.<br />

References<br />

Järvet, A., Jaagus, J., Roosaare, J., Tamm, T. and Vallner, L. 2000. Impact of<br />

Climate Change on Water Balance Elements in Estonia. – Estonia,<br />

Geographical Studies 8 (Eds. Tiia Kaare and Jaan-Mati Punning). Estonian<br />

Academy Publishers, Tallinn, pp. 35–55.<br />

Leavesley, G.H. 1994. Modeling the effects of climate change on water<br />

resources - a review. - Climate Change 28: 159-177.<br />

Yates, D., 1997. Approaches to continental scale runoff for integrated<br />

assessment models. J. Hydrol., 201, 289–310.<br />

Yates, D. & Strzepek, K., 1994. Comparison of models for climate change<br />

assessment of river basin runoff. IIASA WP-94-45.

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