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Addressing the Challenge of Global Ageing—Funding Issues

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<strong>Addressing</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Challenge</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Ageing—Funding <strong>Issues</strong> and Insurance Solutions<br />

and insurance solutions as well as working beyond formal retirement ages, will need to<br />

be strenghtened markedly. And this is precisely where insurers have a much bigger role<br />

to play going forward. They are in a unique position to enhance Pillar III savings by a<br />

transfer <strong>of</strong> longevity risk, <strong>the</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> pensioners outliving <strong>the</strong>ir savings, as well as <strong>the</strong><br />

assumption <strong>of</strong> a sizeable part <strong>of</strong> associated asset risks. Insurers also have <strong>the</strong> skills and<br />

experience to design (innovative) products specifically catering to those who opt to work<br />

beyond <strong>the</strong> formal retirement age.<br />

The current environment makes this crucial contribution from <strong>the</strong> insurance industry both<br />

socially more desirable and economically more challenging: in <strong>the</strong> wake <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> financial<br />

crisis, <strong>the</strong> fiscal positions <strong>of</strong> rich-world governments have deteriorated dramatically<br />

within just a few years, leaving even less room for coping with <strong>the</strong> inevitable long-term<br />

challenges <strong>of</strong> spiralling public pension and healthcare expenditures. At <strong>the</strong> same time,<br />

employers are confronted with <strong>the</strong> prospect <strong>of</strong> protracted subdued economic growth in<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir core markets. As a consequence, <strong>the</strong>y face an uninspiring outlook for revenue and<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>itability while <strong>the</strong> pension obligations to <strong>the</strong>ir (former) employees continue to grow.<br />

These developments are set to accelerate governments’ and employers’ gradual withdrawal<br />

from <strong>the</strong>ir traditional role as major and predictable sources <strong>of</strong> retirement income. Helping<br />

to fill this gap is not simply a business opportunity for <strong>the</strong> insurance industry. It arguably<br />

is also its most relevant long-term contribution to economic and social stability. A simple<br />

example: a key social benefit <strong>of</strong> annuities is that those who have bought <strong>the</strong>m are much<br />

less likely to fall back on state benefits or suffer <strong>the</strong> fate <strong>of</strong> old age poverty.<br />

Having said this, insurers face unprecedented challenges in <strong>the</strong>ir quest to capture <strong>the</strong>se<br />

business opportunities and to meet <strong>the</strong> accompanying social obligations: returns on<br />

investments, a core pillar <strong>of</strong> life insurers’ business model, have reached record-lows.<br />

Government efforts to boost ailing economies and prop up struggling banks have left<br />

interest rates at rock-bottom levels, making it challenging for insurers to help streng<strong>the</strong>n<br />

<strong>the</strong> third pillar <strong>of</strong> retirement.<br />

Against this multi-faceted and intriguing backdrop, The Geneva Association has initiated<br />

a comprehensive research effort focusing on <strong>the</strong> future <strong>of</strong> retirement systems and<br />

insurers’ contribution to <strong>the</strong>ir long-term sustainability. This effort builds on The Geneva<br />

Association’s multi-decade record <strong>of</strong> researching into and publishing on <strong>the</strong> subject<br />

matter.<br />

With <strong>the</strong> following collection <strong>of</strong> 14 articles from leading industry pr<strong>of</strong>essionals and<br />

Geneva Association researchers, we intend to make a meaningful contribution to a debate<br />

which has assumed heightened urgency and significance in <strong>the</strong> wake <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> financial crisis,<br />

and sharply reduced fiscal latitude. This volume’s collection <strong>of</strong> articles provides a concise<br />

yet authoritative overview <strong>of</strong> all aspects relevant to <strong>the</strong> phenomenon <strong>of</strong> global ageing, <strong>the</strong><br />

resulting funding issues as well as challenges and opportunities for <strong>the</strong> insurance industry.<br />

We first set out <strong>the</strong> analytical foundations <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> current ageing debate before pointing<br />

out specific insurance-based solutions and <strong>the</strong> prerequisites that need to be in place for<br />

<strong>the</strong>se solutions to realise <strong>the</strong>ir full potential. The final part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> report looks at specific<br />

effects <strong>of</strong> greying populations on key stakeholders such as governments, employers and<br />

individuals.<br />

The chapter from Richard Jackson, Senior Fellow, Center for Strategic and International<br />

Studies, sets <strong>the</strong> scene. He describes <strong>the</strong> dramatic dimensions <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ongoing demographic<br />

transformation, with <strong>the</strong> elderly (aged 60 and over) projected to account for about 40

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