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Addressing the Challenge of Global Ageing—Funding Issues

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40<br />

<strong>Addressing</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Challenge</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Ageing—Funding <strong>Issues</strong> and Insurance Solutions<br />

With <strong>the</strong> ageing <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population, LTC—for both employers and employees—is<br />

becoming an issue <strong>of</strong> concern. As baby boomers reach age 50, many <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m have to<br />

deal with older parents while working. Providing LTC is time-consuming and employees<br />

need to take time <strong>of</strong>f work to deal with <strong>the</strong>ir dependent parents. A high proportion <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>m are informal caregivers. The annual cost <strong>of</strong> LTC to employers can be substantial<br />

as it can lead to absenteeism, workday interruption, costs associated with supervising<br />

caregivers and replacement costs for employees who quit annually. In addition, providing<br />

LTC can be very stressful and impact labour productivity. As an illustration, The MetLife<br />

Caregiving Cost Study: Productivity Losses to U.S. Business (Metlife, 2006) found that<br />

costs to U.S. employers through lost productivity based on caregivers employed full time<br />

in <strong>the</strong> workplace are high. It amounts to US$17.1bn in lost productivity for employees<br />

with intense caregiving responsibilities and to US$33.6bn in <strong>the</strong> total estimated costs<br />

to employers for all full-time, employed caregivers. The average cost per employee for<br />

those with intense caregiving responsibilities is US$2,441.<br />

A second channel through which employers are impacted by global ageing is occupational<br />

schemes. Occupational schemes are broadly classified into defined benefit (DB) schemes<br />

and defined contributions (DC) schemes. A traditional DB plan is a plan in which <strong>the</strong><br />

benefit on retirement is determined by a set formula, ra<strong>the</strong>r than depending on investment<br />

returns. In a DC plan, <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> money that has to be contributed to <strong>the</strong> fund is<br />

specified, while <strong>the</strong> benefit payout will be known only at <strong>the</strong> time <strong>of</strong> retirement. DB<br />

schemes are facing serious financial problems as a result <strong>of</strong>, among o<strong>the</strong>r factors,<br />

unforeseen increases in life expectancy. In addition, any asset shortfall arising from<br />

poor investment returns on pension assets becomes a liability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> schemes’ sponsor.<br />

This means that <strong>the</strong> investment risk and investment rewards are typically assumed by<br />

<strong>the</strong> employer and not by <strong>the</strong> individual. Traditional defined benefit plan designs tend to<br />

exhibit a J-shaped accrual pattern <strong>of</strong> benefits, where <strong>the</strong> present value <strong>of</strong> benefits grows<br />

quite slowly early in an employee’s career and accelerates significantly in mid-career. In<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r words, it costs more to fund <strong>the</strong> pension for older employees than for younger ones.<br />

This explains why a lot <strong>of</strong> pension schemes confronted with <strong>the</strong> ageing <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir employees<br />

are moving from a DB scheme to a DC scheme. DC plans have become widespread all<br />

over <strong>the</strong> world in recent years and are now <strong>the</strong> dominant form <strong>of</strong> plan in <strong>the</strong> private sector<br />

in many countries.<br />

6. Insurers’ exposure to ageing<br />

Ageing will have various consequences for insurers since insurance companies as a<br />

whole are an important employer and as such are confronted with both a shortage <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

labour force and an occupational schemes liability, as addressed before. In <strong>the</strong> EU alone,<br />

<strong>the</strong>y employ close to one million people (see Chapter 13 <strong>of</strong> this report for fur<strong>the</strong>r details).<br />

Insurers can also be influenced by <strong>the</strong> ageing <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir clients through <strong>the</strong> risks <strong>the</strong>y cover<br />

and <strong>the</strong>ir underlying liability. An obvious case concerns <strong>the</strong> longevity risk which is <strong>the</strong><br />

risk that individuals live longer than anticipated. However, types <strong>of</strong> insurance contracts<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r than <strong>the</strong> ones linked to pensions can be impacted by ageing. This could be <strong>the</strong> case<br />

for auto insurance, as <strong>the</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> automobile accidents might be higher for people beyond<br />

a certain age. In <strong>the</strong> same vein, health care risks are higher for older people. However,<br />

if insurers are able to adjust <strong>the</strong>ir premiums with respect to age, premiums should cover<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir increased liability due to ageing.

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