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High Food Price Impact Assessment and Analysis - WFP Remote ...

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Outline<br />

Nutritional <strong>Impact</strong>: Methodology<br />

A Cross‐Country <strong>Analysis</strong> of the<br />

Effects of Soaring <strong>Food</strong> <strong>Price</strong>s on<br />

Undernourishment<br />

Gustavo Anríquez<br />

FAO –ESA<br />

(Agricultural <strong>and</strong> Development<br />

Economic Division)<br />

• Methodology to asses the effects of soaring<br />

food prices on undernourishment.<br />

• Cross country results.<br />

• Malawi country case study.<br />

Cross‐Country Sample<br />

<strong>Food</strong> <strong>Price</strong> <strong>Impact</strong> on Caloric Intake<br />

<strong>Impact</strong> on Undernourishment<br />

• Bangladesh 2000<br />

• Guatemala 2000<br />

• Kenya 2005<br />

• Malawi 2004<br />

• Nepal 2003<br />

• Peru 2003<br />

• Tajikistan 2003<br />

• Vietnam 2002<br />

• Sample designed to<br />

cover heterogeneity in<br />

diets (food staples, <strong>and</strong><br />

their relative<br />

importance), income,<br />

<strong>and</strong> agricultural<br />

production profiles.<br />

% Change in Average Caloric Intake<br />

-3 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -.5 0<br />

Bangladesh Guatemala Kenya Malawi Nepal Peru Tajikistan Vietnam<br />

Poorest<br />

2nd Quintile<br />

3rd Quintile<br />

4th Quintile<br />

Wealthiest<br />

Change in Undernourishment<br />

0 2 4 6<br />

Bangladesh Guatemala Kenya Malawi Nepal Peru Tajikistan Vietnam<br />

Poorest<br />

2nd Quintile<br />

3rd Quintile<br />

4th Quintile<br />

Wealthiest<br />

32

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