High Food Price Impact Assessment and Analysis - WFP Remote ...
High Food Price Impact Assessment and Analysis - WFP Remote ...
High Food Price Impact Assessment and Analysis - WFP Remote ...
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Coping, Consumption <strong>and</strong> Markets<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
23.5<br />
47.7<br />
All items<br />
FCS significantly<br />
higher than the<br />
other groups<br />
28.1<br />
41.7<br />
CSI<br />
25.2<br />
FCS<br />
44.3 43.5 43.8<br />
30.5<br />
Oil, sugar, salt, soap; Rice, oil, sugar, salt, Mix of different items<br />
some whole maize, soap <strong>and</strong> some maize but not all<br />
beans <strong>and</strong> gnuts<br />
meal<br />
25.7<br />
No market<br />
Source of Consumption <strong>and</strong> Markets<br />
production gifts purchase food assistance hunt/gather other<br />
100%<br />
90%<br />
80%<br />
35%<br />
31%<br />
70%<br />
47%<br />
49%<br />
39%<br />
60%<br />
6%<br />
7%<br />
5%<br />
50%<br />
6%<br />
5%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
56%<br />
57%<br />
51%<br />
20% 43%<br />
43%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
All items Oil, sugar, salt, soap; Rice, oil, sugar, salt, Mix of different items No market<br />
some whole maize,<br />
beans <strong>and</strong> gnuts<br />
soap <strong>and</strong> some maize<br />
meal<br />
but not all<br />
Mozambique Stock Taking<br />
Systems<br />
SIMA -<br />
Agricultural<br />
Market<br />
Information<br />
System<br />
INFOCOM -<br />
Ministry of<br />
Commerce <strong>and</strong><br />
Industry<br />
VAC -<br />
Vulnerability<br />
<strong>Analysis</strong><br />
Committee<br />
CHS –<br />
Community &<br />
Household<br />
Surveillance<br />
Frequency<br />
weekly<br />
weekly<br />
twice a year<br />
(April/October)<br />
twice a year<br />
(April/October)<br />
Tool<br />
Quantitative<br />
Quantitative<br />
Quantitative <strong>and</strong><br />
Qualitative<br />
Quantitative <strong>and</strong><br />
Qualitative<br />
Process<br />
Questionnaire to<br />
traders (retail<br />
<strong>and</strong> wholesales)<br />
Questionnaire to<br />
Supermarkets<br />
Questionnaire to<br />
households <strong>and</strong><br />
focus group<br />
(using PDA)<br />
Questionnaire to<br />
households <strong>and</strong><br />
focus group<br />
(using PDA)<br />
25 markets, including provincial<br />
capitals <strong>and</strong> at least 1 district with<br />
high potential in production <strong>and</strong> trade<br />
66 Supermarkets in all provincial<br />
capitals<br />
rural areas<br />
Place<br />
Areas with <strong>WFP</strong> activities<br />
Combined with VAC in April 2008<br />
Mozambique<br />
System<br />
SIMA - Agricultural<br />
Market Information<br />
System<br />
INFOCOM - Ministry<br />
of Commerce <strong>and</strong><br />
Industry<br />
VAC - Vulnerability<br />
<strong>Analysis</strong> Committee<br />
CHS – Community<br />
& Household<br />
Surveillance<br />
Questions related<br />
to markets<br />
prices, availability,<br />
flows <strong>and</strong> transport<br />
cost of commodities<br />
prices of maize meal,<br />
rice, sugar, eggs <strong>and</strong><br />
fish<br />
<strong>Food</strong> availability in<br />
communities, selling<br />
prices of agricultural<br />
products <strong>and</strong><br />
livestock, <strong>High</strong> price<br />
shock <strong>and</strong> coping<br />
Same as VAC<br />
Analyses<br />
price <strong>and</strong> food<br />
availability dynamic,<br />
products flows <strong>and</strong><br />
transport cost<br />
price dynamic<br />
Analyses of food<br />
availability <strong>and</strong> prices<br />
in communities, <strong>and</strong><br />
access to markets by<br />
producers<br />
<strong>Analysis</strong> of food<br />
availability <strong>and</strong> prices<br />
<strong>and</strong> comparisons of<br />
food <strong>and</strong> livestock<br />
prices across places<br />
Missing Tools<br />
Quest. to millers<br />
Questionnaire to<br />
traders <strong>and</strong> millers<br />
Trader questionnaire<br />
Missing Analyses<br />
a) food price impact<br />
on households<br />
income, b) price<br />
transmission, c) food<br />
price policy<br />
a) food price impact<br />
on households<br />
income, b) price<br />
transmission, c)<br />
customs regulation<br />
impact on food price<br />
a) Deeper income<br />
<strong>and</strong> expenditure<br />
analysis; b)<br />
elasticity/substitution<br />
of foods<br />
Discussion points<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Successes<br />
• Widely accepted in most countries<br />
• Full coverage in 3 countries<br />
• Some seasonal aspects covered<br />
• Southern Africa has fluid borders<br />
Challenges<br />
• No urban coverage; Rural coverage can be limited<br />
• Costs <strong>and</strong> Time<br />
• Linking with other systems/identifying complementarities<br />
Urban opportunities<br />
• Churches <strong>and</strong> outreach programmes<br />
• Government safety nets<br />
• Health/nutrition centres (surveillance)<br />
Thank you!<br />
37
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