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The Power of the Pill: Oral Contraceptives and Women's ... - Mail

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power <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pill 745<br />

timing was related to changes in state laws <strong>and</strong> a growing notion that<br />

young people could make <strong>the</strong>ir own decisions. But how could <strong>the</strong> diffusion<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pill have affected pr<strong>of</strong>essional career investments by young<br />

women?<br />

<strong>The</strong> diffusion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pill among young, single women may have altered<br />

career decisions through two routes: direct <strong>and</strong> indirect. By <strong>the</strong> direct<br />

effect <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pill, we mean <strong>the</strong> reduction in <strong>the</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> marriage delay.<br />

<strong>The</strong> pill makes marriage delay <strong>and</strong> thus career investment cheaper, <strong>and</strong><br />

women with greater “career ability” become more attractive marriage<br />

partners. By <strong>the</strong> indirect effect <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pill, we mean <strong>the</strong> lowering <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

cost <strong>of</strong> a career through <strong>the</strong> marriage market. This effect, in contrast,<br />

operates through a thickening <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> marriage market for those who<br />

delay marriage <strong>and</strong> leads to better matches for career women <strong>and</strong> some<br />

o<strong>the</strong>rs. To simplify <strong>the</strong> discussion, we formally model <strong>the</strong> direct effect<br />

<strong>and</strong> give <strong>the</strong> intuition behind <strong>the</strong> indirect effect. 31<br />

Consider a cohort <strong>of</strong> n women <strong>and</strong> n men, each initially unmarried,<br />

in a two-period context with no discounting. Members <strong>of</strong> each sex agree<br />

on <strong>the</strong> ranking <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r in terms <strong>of</strong> marriage partners. Each man<br />

brings Y i (e.g., income), known to all, to marriage. Each woman brings<br />

N j (e.g., nurturing), known to all, to marriage <strong>and</strong> can also contribute<br />

a j through a career; a j is treated as a household public good. We make<br />

<strong>the</strong> simplifying assumption that career investment is not possible if a<br />

woman marries in period 1. Marriage delay reduces utility by l for each<br />

partner. <strong>The</strong> reduction is assumed to be <strong>the</strong> same for all men <strong>and</strong> women<br />

<strong>and</strong> l p l 0 prior to <strong>the</strong> introduction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pill. We interpret l as <strong>the</strong><br />

utility lost from abstinence as well as from forgone home production<br />

<strong>and</strong> term l <strong>the</strong> “impatience factor” to encompass both. <strong>The</strong> attributes<br />

Y, N, <strong>and</strong> a are distributed among <strong>the</strong> n men <strong>and</strong> women such that<br />

Y ∼ [Y, Y ], N ∼ [N, N ], <strong>and</strong> a ∼ [a, a], where Y, N, a 1 0. <strong>The</strong> distributions<br />

<strong>of</strong> Y, N, <strong>and</strong> a are known by all participants, <strong>and</strong> each individual’s<br />

attributes are perfectly observable.<br />

Consider a match between male i <strong>and</strong> female j. If <strong>the</strong>y marry in period<br />

1, <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> male gets N j <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> female gets Y i . If <strong>the</strong>y delay marriage<br />

to period 2 <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> woman invests in a career, <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> male gets<br />

Nj aj l 0 <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> female gets Yi aj l 0. If aj 1 l 0,<br />

<strong>the</strong>n both benefit<br />

from delay <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> woman will invest in a career in period 1. If, instead,<br />

a j ! l 0,<br />

<strong>the</strong>y marry in period 1 <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> woman has no career. Since<br />

<strong>the</strong>re are no disagreements, we can unambiguously match men <strong>and</strong><br />

women on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir value in marriage to <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r sex.<br />

Men’s attractiveness to women is completely summarized by Y i .<br />

31<br />

See Bergstrom <strong>and</strong> Bagnoli (1993) for a related model <strong>of</strong> decisions to delay marriage<br />

by men <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> determinants <strong>of</strong> marriage age differences by sex. We consider models <strong>of</strong><br />

single age cohorts <strong>of</strong> males <strong>and</strong> females <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>reby abstract from <strong>the</strong> possible impact <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> pill on sex differences in <strong>the</strong> age at marriage.

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