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The Power of the Pill: Oral Contraceptives and Women's ... - Mail

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power <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pill 751<br />

Fig. 5.—Fraction <strong>of</strong> college graduate women married before various ages. Source: Current<br />

Population Survey, Fertility <strong>and</strong> Marital History Supplement, 1990 <strong>and</strong> 1995. Threeyear<br />

centered moving averages are shown.<br />

2. Age at First Marriage, Sex, <strong>and</strong> Fertility Expectations<br />

According to our framework, <strong>the</strong> pill loosened constraints <strong>and</strong> lowered<br />

<strong>the</strong> impatience factor, l. Couples could engage in sex without commitments;<br />

marriage could be delayed. But did it happen? Marriages<br />

were delayed considerably beginning with <strong>the</strong> birth cohorts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> late<br />

1940s, precisely those affected by <strong>the</strong> pill, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> age at first sexual<br />

relations among <strong>the</strong> never-married also decreased, again in line with<br />

<strong>the</strong> cohorts affected by <strong>the</strong> availability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pill.<br />

In figure 5, we graph <strong>the</strong> fraction <strong>of</strong> college graduate women married<br />

before ages ranging from 20 to 30 years. About 50 percent <strong>of</strong> those<br />

born from 1941 to 1949 married before age 23 (<strong>the</strong> median age <strong>of</strong> a<br />

college graduate is 22 years). After 1949, however, <strong>the</strong> fraction married<br />

before age 23 or 24 plummeted. By <strong>the</strong> cohort born in 1957, <strong>the</strong> fraction<br />

married before age 23 was 30 percent, or fully 20 percentage points<br />

lower than in 1950. Thus <strong>the</strong> fraction <strong>of</strong> women who married about a<br />

year after college graduation declined precipitously after 1972 <strong>and</strong> fol-

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