The Power of the Pill: Oral Contraceptives and Women's ... - Mail
The Power of the Pill: Oral Contraceptives and Women's ... - Mail
The Power of the Pill: Oral Contraceptives and Women's ... - Mail
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power <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pill 751<br />
Fig. 5.—Fraction <strong>of</strong> college graduate women married before various ages. Source: Current<br />
Population Survey, Fertility <strong>and</strong> Marital History Supplement, 1990 <strong>and</strong> 1995. Threeyear<br />
centered moving averages are shown.<br />
2. Age at First Marriage, Sex, <strong>and</strong> Fertility Expectations<br />
According to our framework, <strong>the</strong> pill loosened constraints <strong>and</strong> lowered<br />
<strong>the</strong> impatience factor, l. Couples could engage in sex without commitments;<br />
marriage could be delayed. But did it happen? Marriages<br />
were delayed considerably beginning with <strong>the</strong> birth cohorts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> late<br />
1940s, precisely those affected by <strong>the</strong> pill, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> age at first sexual<br />
relations among <strong>the</strong> never-married also decreased, again in line with<br />
<strong>the</strong> cohorts affected by <strong>the</strong> availability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pill.<br />
In figure 5, we graph <strong>the</strong> fraction <strong>of</strong> college graduate women married<br />
before ages ranging from 20 to 30 years. About 50 percent <strong>of</strong> those<br />
born from 1941 to 1949 married before age 23 (<strong>the</strong> median age <strong>of</strong> a<br />
college graduate is 22 years). After 1949, however, <strong>the</strong> fraction married<br />
before age 23 or 24 plummeted. By <strong>the</strong> cohort born in 1957, <strong>the</strong> fraction<br />
married before age 23 was 30 percent, or fully 20 percentage points<br />
lower than in 1950. Thus <strong>the</strong> fraction <strong>of</strong> women who married about a<br />
year after college graduation declined precipitously after 1972 <strong>and</strong> fol-