- Page 1: Mapping climate vulnerability and p
- Page 4 and 5: Citation Thornton PK, Jones PG, Owi
- Page 6 and 7: egion of eastern Africa, the coasta
- Page 8 and 9: Contents Executive summary 3 1 Back
- Page 10 and 11: Tables Table 1. AOGCMs in the TYN S
- Page 12 and 13: • Research to reduce uncertainty,
- Page 14 and 15: 2 Project objectives and activities
- Page 16 and 17: 3 Framework for the study The liter
- Page 18 and 19: Figure 1. Representation of vulnera
- Page 20 and 21: Conceptually, there is still a cons
- Page 22 and 23: 4. Climate impacts in sub-Saharan A
- Page 24 and 25: Table 1. AOGCMs in the TYN SC 2.0 d
- Page 26 and 27: We then prepared similar climate gr
- Page 28 and 29: Mapping changes to the probability
- Page 30 and 31: confidence in the ability of that G
- Page 32 and 33: Figure 5. Length of growing period
- Page 34 and 35: Figure 6. Coefficient of variation
- Page 38 and 39: Figure 7 (D). Percentage changes in
- Page 40 and 41: Figure 8 (B). Percentage changes in
- Page 42 and 43: • For human population, we now us
- Page 44 and 45: Figure 9. Farming/livelihood system
- Page 46 and 47: Table 4. Country-by-system breakdow
- Page 48 and 49: latter, the highland systems in sou
- Page 50 and 51: Table 6. Country-by-system breakdow
- Page 52 and 53: Table 8. Positive LGP changes to 20
- Page 54 and 55: Figure11. Number of growing seasons
- Page 56 and 57: 4.3 Uncertainties in the analysis T
- Page 58 and 59: 5. Poverty and vulnerability The se
- Page 60 and 61: Table 9. Vulnerability indicators u
- Page 62 and 63: datasets (more information on this
- Page 64 and 65: political process, civil liberties
- Page 66 and 67: the major development issue facing
- Page 68 and 69: scenarios. For this synthesis, the
- Page 70 and 71: Table 11. Rotated component (or “
- Page 72 and 73: Table 12. Synthesis of possible reg
- Page 74 and 75: climate change-vulnerability hotspo
- Page 76 and 77: contain components that draw far mo
- Page 78 and 79: 6.1 A survey of information needs o
- Page 80 and 81: unit; the International Red Cross;
- Page 82 and 83: predominantly in southern Africa. I
- Page 84 and 85: Table 13. Institutional preparednes
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particularly so for government and
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6.2 Prospects for a decision suppor
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Figure 14. Stages of impact assessm
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An ex ante impact assessment might
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A second issue relates to the setti
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A second key point that these resul
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References AchutaRao K, Covey C, Do
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Food and Agriculture Organisation o
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JRL (2005). GLC 2000 (Global Land C
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Roeckner E, Oberhuber J M, Bacher A
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Acronyms ACTS ASARECA CGIAR DFID EN
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Appendix 2. Candidate vulnerability
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Appendix 3. Country by system CV of
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Appendix 4 List of contacted instit
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112 Note 1. Indicators of Adaptive
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Box 1: Source: IPCC, 2001 1. Adapti
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irrigation and quality of infrastru
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Irrigation rate is measured by net
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moisture, especially in southern, N
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Bryman, A and D. Cramer . 1997. Qua
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Note 2. South-South Cooperation (pr
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• Effective policy frameworks in
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vulnerable countries in 12 selected
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130 Note 3. Climate Change and Heal
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impacts (developing nations). These
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most relevant for the case of HIV/A
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emerging infectious diseases; use o
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Within the Sub-Saharan region, the
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geographical shifts and yield reduc
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142 Note 4. The climate, developmen
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Figure 2 Percentage of undernourish
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The Africa Environment Outlook desc
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Figure 5 Total affected in hydro-me
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Figure 5 Present and future freshwa
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Turner B L, Kasperson R E, Matson P
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Note 5. The Sub-Saharan Africa Chal
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Several useful lessons were learned
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Note 6. The ASARECA priority settin
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Figure 1. Development domains and a
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Note 7. The SLP’s food-feed impac
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Figure 2. Domains in Kenya with hig
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Note 8. The SAKSS poverty targettin
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168 Note 9. Simulating regional pro
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Applications (ICASA). The results f