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3/1/2012<br />

20 000<br />

18 000<br />

16 000<br />

14 000<br />

12 000<br />

10 000<br />

8 000<br />

PROJECTED NATIONAL SUPPLY AND DEMAND<br />

– 2011 to 2030<br />

In 2020 <strong>Kenya</strong> must have at<br />

least 40% population access to<br />

electricity to reach the Vision<br />

2030 target<br />

Total Capacity (MW)<br />

Peak Demand (MW)<br />

8 226<br />

Vision 2030<br />

demand<br />

Forecast of 8-10 %<br />

17 764<br />

12 141<br />

10 097<br />

15 066<br />

Significant generation<br />

potential<br />

Geothermal(~ 7,000MW);<br />

Hydro (~1,500MW);<br />

Wind (~4,400 MW); and<br />

TRANSFORMING DISTRIBUTION<br />

INFRASTRUCTURE AND CUSTOMER SERVICE<br />

DELIVERY<br />

6 000<br />

4 000<br />

2 000<br />

0<br />

1,229<br />

1,107<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

2012<br />

2009/10<br />

3 141<br />

2 038<br />

2014/15<br />

4 659<br />

3 474<br />

6 768<br />

2018/19 2023/24 2026/27 2029/30<br />

2013<br />

2014<br />

2015<br />

2016<br />

2017<br />

2018<br />

2019<br />

2020<br />

2021<br />

2022<br />

2023<br />

2024<br />

2025<br />

2026<br />

2027<br />

2028<br />

2029<br />

2030<br />

Potentially Coal and Gas.<br />

• 15% Reserve Margin<br />

Vision 2030 ~<br />

Projected Demand<br />

15,000MW<br />

Source: Update of <strong>Kenya</strong>’s Least Cost <strong>Power</strong> Develop<strong>me</strong>nt Plan 2010-2030 9<br />

10<br />

Distribution Expansion Plan Under<br />

Imple<strong>me</strong>ntation 2010/11 to 2014/15<br />

To connect over 1 million new custo<strong>me</strong>rs spread<br />

countrywide every 5 years.<br />

Construction of an additional approximately :<br />

16,000 kms of Medium Voltage distribution lines,<br />

1,000 MVA of distribution substations,<br />

50,000 kms of LV distribution lines,<br />

30,000 (3,000 MVA) of distribution transfor<strong>me</strong>rs and<br />

1 million service lines connections<br />

11<br />

Distribution Infrastructure Invest<strong>me</strong>nt Funding<br />

Since 2005 to date, a total of US$ 480 Million (Kshs 38.4 billion) has been mobilised to<br />

improve distribution infrastructure as follows:<br />

PROJECT FINANCIER AMOUNT PROJECT COMPONENTS OBJECTIVES<br />

Energy Sector Recovery Project<br />

(2005 to 2012)<br />

•IDA–US$111.5m<br />

•EIB–Euro51m<br />

•AFD–Euro25m<br />

•NDF–Euro10m<br />

•KPLC–US$34m<br />

<strong>Kenya</strong> Electricity Expansion<br />

Project (2010 to 2015) (IDA US<br />

$102.2 mill , KPLC US$ 29.8mill)<br />

Rights Issue Funding (2011 to<br />

2013) (KPLC)<br />

US$ 233<br />

million<br />

US$ 132<br />

million<br />

KShs. 9.2<br />

billion<br />

•Completed 25 substations,<br />

1,250 kms of fibre optic, 540<br />

kms of 66,33 & 11 kV<br />

distribution lines, procured<br />

406,000 static energy <strong>me</strong>ters,<br />

and installed Mt. <strong>Kenya</strong> Radio<br />

System.<br />

•Works ongoing at 26<br />

substations, 465 kms of lines<br />

and SCADA/EMS system.<br />

To date, US $ 102 million has<br />

been disbursed.<br />

Procuring 26 substations, 1400<br />

kms MV lines and prepaid<br />

<strong>me</strong>ters<br />

Procuring 17 Distribution<br />

substations, 4 transmission<br />

substations, 300,000 prepaid<br />

<strong>me</strong>ters<br />

•Enhanced access to<br />

electricity<br />

•Capacity<br />

enhance<strong>me</strong>nt<br />

•Supply reliability &<br />

power quality<br />

improve<strong>me</strong>nt<br />

•Revenue<br />

enhance<strong>me</strong>nt &<br />

protection<br />

•Enhanced custo<strong>me</strong>r<br />

satisfaction<br />

12<br />

3

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