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Prospects for Supply: China<br />

How much of a threat to China would a ban/duty on South African chrome ore exports be?<br />

• No alternative to South African supply in event of ban<br />

• Modest duty may not have much impact – and would not alter UG2 concentrate supply<br />

growth, unless targeted. Alternative sources of supply could provide supplement<br />

China's Apparent Met-grade Chrome Ore Consumption (tonnes)<br />

12 000 000<br />

10 000 000<br />

8 000 000<br />

6 000 000<br />

<strong>2012</strong> onwards are forecasts<br />

4 000 000<br />

2 000 000<br />

0<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 <strong>2012</strong> 2013 2014<br />

Source: ICDA

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