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Sourcing in China

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Insights on China’s Economic Situation<br />

and its Repercussion on Global Sourcing<br />

China initiated its industrialization process in the early 1950s, after the<br />

establishment of the People’s Republic in October 1949; but its economic<br />

proliferation really started after 1978. Before 1978, China had a standard GDP<br />

growth rate of 3 percent a year; similar to the growth rate in the United States,<br />

however starting from more challenging conditions. From 1978 on, the Chinese<br />

GDP speeded up exceeding a 9 percent average real growth rate per year<br />

(Chow G., 2004). Figure 1 shows the Chinese GDP average yearly growth rate<br />

from 1979 to 2<strong>01</strong>3. The average level thereby proves to be continuously high.<br />

In 1979, China promoted foreign trade and investment and implemented free<br />

market reforms turning it into one of the world’s fastest-growing economies.<br />

China has recently emerged as a leading global economic and trade power. It<br />

is today the world’s second-largest economy, largest trading economy, largest<br />

holder of foreign exchange reserves, largest manufacturer and second largest<br />

destination of foreign direct investment (FDI) (Morrison, 2<strong>01</strong>4). Figure 2<br />

shows the largest recipients of global foreign direct investment in billions of<br />

US dollars.<br />

In the year 2008, the global economic crisis had a high impact on China’s economy.<br />

Imports, exports, and FDI inflows decreased, consequently the Chinese<br />

GDP growth stalled, and unemployment increased. As a measure to counteract<br />

this negative impact, the Chinese government geared up a USD 586 billion<br />

economic incentive program to promote domestic consumption by loosening<br />

monetary policies to increase bank lending. This program helped to prevent a<br />

demand recession for Chinese products and the potentially resulting negative<br />

or idle economic growth. During this period of time until year 2<strong>01</strong>1, the Chinese<br />

GDP grew at an average of 9.6 percent; but in the past two years economic<br />

growth has slowed down to 7.7 percent as shown in Figure 1 (Morrison, 2<strong>01</strong>4).<br />

16<br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

9<br />

15,2<br />

13,5<br />

10,9<br />

8,9<br />

9,2<br />

14,2 13,9 13,1<br />

10,9<br />

11,3<br />

10 9,3<br />

7,8 7,6 8,4 8,3 9,1 10 10,1<br />

12,7<br />

14,2<br />

9,6 9,2<br />

10,4<br />

9,2<br />

7,7 7,7<br />

7,6 7,9 5,3<br />

11,6 11,3<br />

4,1<br />

6<br />

4<br />

3,8<br />

2<br />

0<br />

1979<br />

1981<br />

1983<br />

1985<br />

1987<br />

1989<br />

1991<br />

1993<br />

1995<br />

1997<br />

1999<br />

20<strong>01</strong><br />

2003<br />

2005<br />

2007<br />

2009<br />

2<strong>01</strong>1<br />

2<strong>01</strong>3<br />

1 | Chinese Real GDP Growth (Percent): 1979-2<strong>01</strong>3 (Source: Morrison, 2<strong>01</strong>4)<br />

11

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