cent “Global Investment Trends Monitor” issued by theUNCTAD (United Nations Conference on Trade AndDevelopment) on April 12, the global FDI in 2011 amountsto 1.66 trillion USD, up by 16% on a year-on-year basis, butstill 25% less than the peak of 2007. Also the FDI conditionhas improved this year; investors are still cautious facing thefragile world economy.It shall be noticed that the gloomy European economyhas delivered huge impacts on its investment in China. Datashows that during January to April the investment from 27European countries has greatly dropped, with paid-in investmentshrinking to 1.9 billion USD, down by 27.9% yearon-year,again leading to the negative growth of China’sFDI. “Because of the impacts from European debt crisis, theinvestment from the European Union to China has been fallingdown. Also, the bilateral exports and economic relationsbetween China and the European Union have also turnedgloomy under such a background.” said Shen.“The fragile recovery of the world economy has madethe pie of world FDI much smaller, while the EuropeanUnion and U.S. are encouraging the return of industries, andemerging countries including BRIC have promoted morefavorable investment policies, splitting the stream of internationalcapital.” said He Manqing, director of the TransnationalCorporation Research Center of the Ministry ofCommerce. She added that China is placing more focus onthe quality and efficiency of investment because of the risinglabor costs and restraints by environmental protections.Bian Weihong, senior analyst of the International FinanceResearch Institute of the Bank of China, commentedthat as the largest trading partner of China, the EU is sufferinga serious debt crisis with negative growth for 2 quarters.The recession of the European economy has lowered thelocal willingness to invest in China. Also, the U.S. growthrate for the first quarter is lower than expected, and therecent economic data also turns negative. These factors combinedhave contributed to the negative growth of China’sFDI.Zhou Yu, director of the international financial currencyresearch institute, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences,said that the economic meltdown of the U.S. and EUhave made their companies unable to expand financially,leading to the decrease of FDI scale. Most companies haveto adjust their investment according to demands, but facingthe unclear economic prospects, most companies will chooseslowing down the investment and decrease the scale.Cheng Dawei, chief expert of WTO affairs center inBeijing, told reporter that “the current domestic economiccondition will make the investment slowdown continue,”she mentioned that this is mainly about the pressure fromthe world economic environment: the EU debt crisis has noappropriate solution, and the investment ability of Europeancompanies is decreasing. The policies adopted by the U.S.government to encourage the reflux of capital show that theU.S. economic recovery is not as rosy as the report describes.Besides, emerging countries are promoting more favorablepolicies to attract foreign capital, causing split of the internationalcapital.Rising labor costA responsible person at an American-funded electroniccompany in Suzhou shared with the reporters thatthe current rising speed and magnitude of China’s laborcosts would have been unimaginable three years ago. Theescalating costs and the high turnover rate it triggers havebrought huge pressures on the operation of foreign-fundedcompanies in China. But he also mentioned that the companyhe worked for will not exit from China in the shortrun, because the Chinese market still outperforms thoseat the Southeastern countries in terms of infrastructuralfacility and quality of human resources, although the laborcosts of the latter may be lower. But if the rise of laborcosts continues, they would consider moving the factoriesto other regions. Another Japanese-funded car companyin Zhejiang also said that it will place more focus on theR&D and design at the Chinese market, and move thecomponent R&D center to China.“Currently China still have labor cost advantage, butsuch advantage is shrinking. The rising labor costs herehave forced those low-cost investments into other markets,”Said Zhou Yu, director of the international financialcurrency research institute, Shanghai Academy of SocialSciences. The labor costs, technological ability, infrastructuralfacility and distribution of high-stream and lowstreamindustry chain are important factors considered byinvestors. Therefore, those small companies more susceptibleto the labor costs but less susceptible to the industrychain will easily move to regions where the labor costs arelow.Such change has been felt by many foreign-funded10
Changeof Foreign CapitalDistributionBy Economy Reference Newscompanies. In 2012 U.S.-China Commerce Chamber for the first timeraised the question “whether the labor costs will impact company operation”in the annual “Business Environment Investigation Report”. Theresult shows that 82% people think the labor costs will impact the companyoperation.But Zhou also mentioned that those companies who have highrequirements about high-stream and low-stream industry chain willchoose to stay. It is said that companies of this type would finally returnto China.Hu Ke, director of the trade development department of the ManagementCommittee of the Suzhou Industry Park, told reporters that thecompanies introduced into the industry park are mainly global top 500,whose core competency lies in their brand and technology. Once establishedin the industry park, these companies are stable and less sensitiveto costs. Hu added that his years of experiences in inviting commercialcapital show that those “migrant” companies mainly belong to companieswith low added values, weak competitiveness and high sensitivity to thechange of costs. The more comprehensive the company is; the more stableit will be. Many foreign-funded companies in the industry park not onlyfunction as production base, but also as corporate headquarter, R&Dcenter or design center.“They need this market”Zhang Xiangchen, director of the Policy Research Institute of theMinistry of Commerce, also discovered that it will be a natural processfor the low-end manufacturing business to maintain their investment levelin China or move to China’s middle and west regions or even overseas.For the medium-level manufacturing industry, the U.S. and Europeancompanies will expand their investments because they need the Chinesemarket.Zhang remarked that the U.S. government has adjusted its policiesby encouraging the development of local manufacturing industryand also the return of overseas capital.Boosted by such policy change, Ford,Carlyle and NCR Corporation havedecided to move its overseas capacitiesback to the U.S. He confessed that thiswill bring certain pressures to China,but the survey shows that the numberof U.S. companies moving back is smalland it is only restricted to those industriesor products highly dependent onthe U.S. market. Many big Americancompanies, including GE and Apple,will further expand their investmentand capacities in China. Therefore, “ingeneral, China’s market potential andindustry condition have huge attractionsto the overseas manufacturers.”But the “Business EnvironmentSurvey Report” issued by AmChamChina in 2012 also shows that althoughthe costs have been rising in 2011, morethan 75% people still predict the salesrevenue of foreign companies in Chinawill rise in 2012, 39% U.S. companiessay that the profit margin in China isstill highest in the world, and 78% U.S.companies listed China as one of thethree investment targets of the world.“Obviously the foreign-funded companiesdo not want to leave China.” thereport indicates.Shen Danyang also mentionedthat although the U.S. and some Europeancountries will call back the capitaland reduce their investments to Chinadue to the impact of the manufacturingindustry strategy, the Ministry of Commercesays there has been no large-scaleexit of foreign investors from the Chinesemarket.Shen added that “we are still optimisticabout the prospect of China’sinviting and using foreign investments,because the investment environmenthere has been improving.” He said thataccording to the “2011 QuestionnaireSurvey Report of Japanese ManufacturingCompanies’ Overseas Business”issued by JBIC, the Japanese manufacturersare speeding up their overseasexpansion, and China and India willbe their investment priority. Also, the“Medium-sized Company BusinessClimate Survey” issued by SingaporeUOB Group also shows that China willbe the primer choice for the business investmentof Singaporean medium-sizedcompanies.11