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Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) - Swiss Life - Online ...

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54 <strong>Market</strong> <strong>Consistent</strong> <strong>Embedded</strong> <strong>Value</strong>4.4 ECONOMIC SCENARIO GENERATORThe <strong>MCEV</strong> is calculated using a risk-neutral valuation,based on market consistent and arbitrage-free stochasticeconomic scenarios. Under this approach, the key economicassumptions are:– the reference swap rates– interest rate and equity-type volatilities– correlations between the economic risk factors– inflation ratesThe stochastic economic scenarios are generated by theeconomic scenario generator developed and provided byBarrie & Hibbert, a UK based financial consulting company.For variable annuity products another economicscenario generator is used.The crediting rules for policyholders are consistent withcurrent company practices and local regulatory environments,in particular regarding the existence of a “legalquote”. They ensure that the statutory solvency rules (SolvencyI, including stress tests if legally required in thecountry) and other legal requirements are fulfilled foreach projection year.The rules for future asset allocations are consistent withgoing-concern assumptions. Asset realignment avoidsdeviating from the strategic asset allocation by more thana predefined margin and takes place after each projectedyear.Lapse rates from policyholders have been dynamicallymodelled. For traditional business, lapse rates depend onthe difference between the credited rate to the policyholdersand the anticipated policyholders’ expectations. Lapseparameters depend on the country and product line considered.Since the assets and liabilities within the <strong>Swiss</strong> <strong>Life</strong> Groupare mostly denominated in <strong>Swiss</strong> francs, euros or US dollars,the economic scenarios model these three economiesin a market consistent way. The exchange rates and dividendyields are modelled as additional risk factors, as wellas the inflation rates in each economy.For the calculation of the <strong>MCEV</strong> and the value of thenew business as at valuation date, 1000–2000 economicscenarios (also referred to as simulations) are used, ensuringa satisfactory convergence of the results for all marketunits. For the calculation of the sensitivities and somesteps in the movement analysis, some market units usefewer scenarios in connection with variance reductiontechniques.4.5 DYNAMIC MANAGEMENT ACTIONS ANDPOLICYHOLDER BEHAVIOURAnticipated dynamic management actions and policyholderbehaviour mainly concern the following areas:profit sharing for participating life businesses, asset allocationand realisation of gains and losses, and assumedpolicyholder behaviour with regards to their contractualoptions. They are dependent on the time period, economicscenario considered, local regulations and type ofbusiness.4.6 LOOK-THROUGH PRINCIPLE<strong>MCEV</strong> guidance requires that profits or losses incurred inservice companies from managing covered business aremeasured on a “look-through” basis. This principleensures that all profits and losses incurred with regard tothe covered business are passed to the correspondingentity, and consequently passed to the present value offuture profits.Look-through adjustments are applied on the asset managementservices and corporate centre costs. The futureprofits or losses taken into account for this adjustmentare those linked to the insurance business, after “legalquote” and taxes.4.7 CONSOLIDATIONThe Group <strong>MCEV</strong> for <strong>Swiss</strong> <strong>Life</strong> comprises <strong>MCEV</strong> resultsfor covered business and IFRS net asset values for noncoveredbusiness.Covered business comprises all of <strong>Swiss</strong> <strong>Life</strong>’s major life,health and pension business as well as assumed externalreinsurance. In the case of France, the remaining operationsare sub-consolidated with their IFRS net asset valueand also included in the French covered business.

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