Rational Self-Doubt - Philosophy

Distorting in the long run?The (Principal Principle) direct inference embedded in Re-Cal goes likethis, for day j:P[q j / P(q j )=x j . Ch(q v ,P(q v )=x)=y(x) . K] = y(x)You will have the right degree of belief in q if you have the right chance(or objective probability) hypothesis (function), i.e., the correct y(x).So, the issue is whether in the long run we can converge on the correctchance hypothesis (function), e.g., the chance of rain on a given day(q v )on which the subject believes to degree x that it will rain.The outcomes that give us evidence for that are instances of degreesof belief in rain and whether it rained, on all the previous days.42