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KPMG - IERE

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jurisdictions where market practice and/or tenant negotiation may prevent the full quantum of service<br />

charge costs (e.g. insurance) being passed on. This is often the case for example in German retail<br />

property where buildings insurance is non-recoverable and property management fees are either nonrecoverable<br />

or capped. Some logistics tenants also impose such restrictions in their leases, although<br />

this is less common than in retail warehousing.<br />

Historical Performance of Real Estate Markets<br />

The recent recovery in economic growth has not had a uniform impact across all the Eurozone<br />

countries or real estate sectors. The retail sector has tended to perform better than the office sector,<br />

although there has been a wide variation in performance between countries.<br />

For example, the performance of the German office and retail sectors has been weak in comparison<br />

to the other main markets as a result of both an over supply of office accommodation and weak<br />

consumer demand. Accordingly, investor demand for real estate has not been as strong as in other<br />

markets such as Spain where consumer demand has remained robust. Prospects for performance<br />

going forward are equally diverse with significantly more scope for yield compression in improving<br />

German office and retail markets as opposed to the principal Spanish markets.<br />

Diversification<br />

Given the underlying economic differences in the various Continental European countries, the real<br />

estate markets provide significant scope for diversification by geography and sector.<br />

Office sector performance has exhibited a strong correlation within countries and between the larger<br />

international financial centres. Frankfurt and Paris have demonstrated the greatest correlation by<br />

virtue of their exposure to the international financial services sector.<br />

Retail sector performance tends to be closely linked to the performance of the domestic economy<br />

and, in a number of countries, the performance of the housing market. This is also linked in some<br />

countries to the fixed or floating rate nature of residential mortgages. The notable exception here is<br />

Germany where there is a greater propensity for consumers to rent rather than own their homes.<br />

The industrial sector is a relatively new investment class in Continental Europe with the majority of<br />

investors focusing on the logistics sector. Interest in the logistics sector is driven in part by<br />

consolidation trends in the wider logistics/distribution marketplace and also the changing supply/<br />

distribution needs of the end-users. The internationalisation of distribution and increasing demand for<br />

larger lot sizes is leading to a new wave of logistics centres being constructed at key road-transport<br />

nodes and operating on a more pan-European basis, rather than on a country level at traditional<br />

logistics hubs.<br />

Liquidity<br />

Real estate markets across Continental Europe vary in their liquidity but are considered to be less<br />

liquid and transparent than the UK. The expansion of research providers such as Investment<br />

Property Databank property returns analysis service across a number of Continental European<br />

markets has, however, dramatically improved transparency in recent years. It is believed that liquidity<br />

will continue to improve as the real estate markets mature, largely due to increased market<br />

transparency and rising levels of institutional investment across Continental Europe.<br />

Investment from international investors has been particularly evident in the larger more established<br />

sectors/cities. Often this activity is more focussed in the areas of greatest economic activity. France<br />

has had the greatest concentration of both economic and property market activity in Paris as<br />

compared to Germany which has a more diverse market, with activity spread across a number of<br />

cities. The Investment Manager believes these local market characteristics provide enhanced<br />

opportunities to increase performance through strategic asset allocation and through active asset<br />

management strategies.<br />

There has been a trend throughout Continental Europe for corporate owner-occupiers to dispose of<br />

real estate assets in order to focus on their main business activities. DTZ suggests that this trend has<br />

accelerated over the last few years with an estimated A8 billion of Continental European real estate<br />

being disposed of by corporates in 2004. Commentators believe there is significant potential for<br />

further investment grade properties to be transferred from corporate owner-occupiers to investors.<br />

DTZ estimates that there is the potential for over A40 billion of corporate real estate to enter the<br />

investment market by 2010.<br />

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