productivity and the capacity to produce goods and services, thereby leading to a reduction in theirsocial and economic value for Africa.Increasing Demand: While in many parts of the world population growth is declining, Africa isexpected to grow at 2.1 percent per year to 2030, when globally every third person born will be aSub-Saharan African. By 2050, this will rise to every second person. Already population growth hasexceeded the growth of Africa‘s GDP (particularly agricultural GDP) so that the population as a wholehas become poorer over the last two decades. Thus, a rise in population and the subsequentchanges in consumptive patterns will place further and more severe demands on the continent‘secosystem resources. <strong>The</strong>se will need to be better managed if the human requirements, goods andservices of Africa‘s rural populations – 83 percent of whom live in extreme poverty – are to be met.Poverty, food insecurity, poor health, malnutrition and conflicts over scarce farmland, grazing, forestand water resources, as well as increased vulnerability to natural disasters, are the direct results ofinappropriate development policies and programmes that have failed to invest in the sustainablemanagement of Africa‘s ecosystem resources.Meeting the demand: Rebuilding Africa‘s natural capital assets is a prerequisite for sustainablesocial and economic development. Meeting demand requires increased quality and quantity of goodsand services. This means successfully tackling land degradation through promoting and up-scaling ofSLM and water strategies on the ground. Likewise, social resources will need to be enhancedthrough building the social capital assets of community-based groups, indigenous social networks,local government and private sector support services. It will also require mainstreaming throughintegrating knowledge, expertise, participatory processes and reformed institutions and policies(particularly related to land tenure and markets) for long-term change. Implementing such a holisticSLWM programme holds promise for prosperous landscapes and livelihoods in Africa.Investing to make a difference: Increased investment in agriculture 32 is increasingly recognised askey to reducing poverty and hunger, as it has been shown to have greater impact than equivalentinvestment in urban and industrial development (FAO, 2006). However, sustainable agriculturalgrowth in Africa also depends on restoring, sustaining and enhancing the productive capacity of thecontinent‘s land resources. This has been largely over-looked and under-funded in past agriculturaldevelopment strategies, which have taken land resources for granted rather than recognising themas valued productive assets that require improved care and management to fully realise theirpotential.Within the overall vision of the NEPAD 33, the vision for African agriculture 34 is to maximise thecontribution of what is still the continent‘s largest economic sector. By 2015, the vision is to improveproductivity of the agriculture sector to attain an average annual growth rate of 6 percent, therebyenabling the agricultural sector to provide the strategic basis for eradicating poverty, achieving foodsecurity and building the foundations of sustainable economic development (<strong>CAADP</strong>, 2002).However, turning such a vision into reality requires that rural households, private companies andstate enterprises engaged in crop, livestock and forestry-based enterprises pursue environmentallysound production measures. This in turn requires the development of a supportive enablingenvironment through mainstreaming the concepts and principles of sustainable land managementinto central and local government rural development policies and programmes.<strong>The</strong> Consequences of Land Degradation in Africa“It's much harder to farm now than when I was young. We grow maize here to eat, andtobacco to sell, and vegetables, but the rains are affecting everything. We never had toapply fertiliser then, but now we do, and still we do not get as much from our crops aswe used to. We are learning to grow different crops and to compost, but it's notenough.‖ 3532 As advocated during the 2006 FAO World Food Day.33 Formally adopted at the 37 th Summit of the Organization of African Unity in July 2001.34 As set out in the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Program (<strong>CAADP</strong> 2002).35 <strong>The</strong> words of Denis James, a smallholder farmer with a family of 10, living in the village of Kholongo in central Malawi. Froman article headed ‗By November, people will start eating wild roots‘ from the UK Guardian newspaper, October 25, 2006.56
This Malawian farmer‘s experience reflects the reality faced by a growing number of rural poor inAfrica. Some 59 percent of Africa‘s population live in rural areas and depend primarily on local landresources to meet their basic needs for food, fuel, water, shelter and cash. Increasingly, suchhouseholds are finding their livelihoods adversely affected by land degradation and climate change.A variety of scientific studies back up farmers‘ anecdotal reports, confirming that the quality – andhence productivity – of Africa‘s land resources is declining, while the number of poor people andland-derived goods and services are increasing dramatically.About 874 million hectares of Africa's land is considered suitable for agricultural production. Of this,about 83 percent have serious soil fertility or other limitations and will need costly improvements andamendments to achieve high and sustained productivity.Land degradation is continuing and increasing in severity and impact. If present trends continue, twothirdsof Africa's croplands could effectively be non-productive by 2025 (UN, 2004). At the same timethe total area and productivity of Africa‘s traditional rangelands is decreasing. <strong>The</strong> ecological,economic and social consequences of this will be severe for not only the welfare of individual ruralhouseholds, but also for future development and social stability, both urban and rural, at the countryand regional levels. If nothing is done to address the problem, the future for Africa will surely bebleak.Economic consequences Globally, an average of only 4.4 percent of GDP comes from agriculture.However in Africa that percentage is nearly 30. This means that continued land degradation is amajor factor to Africa‘s under-development. As land productivity has declined, the useful, oreconomic, yield from individual croplands, rangelands and forests/woodlands has also declined. Soilnutrient depletion in the fields of Africa‘s small-scale farmers is severe with inadequate replenishmentof the nutrients lost due to soil erosion, leaching and removal in harvested products. Given the higherpotential of irrigated areas, the economic losses due to land degradation per unit area will besignificantly higher than in the continent‘s rain-fed farming areas. Rangeland degradation involvesboth reduced forage productivity and quality, water cycling effectiveness and resilience for drought. Inyears with unfavourable rainfall, this has often led to major livestock losses.Table 3: Some Economic Consequences of Land Degradation in Sub-Saharan AfricaConsequenceLoss of GDPCrop Yield LossesLoss of LandProductivityEconomic ConsequencesNature and Severity of the Economic Losses Over 3 percent of Africa‘s agricultural GDP lost annually as a direct result ofsoil and nutrient loss – equivalent in cash terms to US$ 9 billion per year(Dregne, 1991, Dreschel et al., 2001). In originally fertile lands, under continuous cropping without nutrient inputs,cereal grain yields declined from 2-4 tonnes per hectare to under 1 tonne perhectare (Sanchez et. al., 1997). In 1989, it was estimated that crop yield losses due to past erosion rangedfrom 2 to 40 percent, with a mean of 6.2 percent for Africa. In the absence oferosion, 3.6 million tonnes more of cereals, 6.5 million tonnes more of rootsand tubers and 0.4 million tonnes more of pulses could have been produced(Lal, 1995). A study of the effects of soil erosion in Malawi (World Bank, 1992) foundannual yield losses for specific crops varied from 4 to 11 percent, while a largefield survey in Tanzania found yields were 30 percent higher in the areas withleast erosion compared to those with the most (Kilasara et al., 1995). <strong>The</strong> productivity loss in Africa from soil degradation since World War II hasbeen estimated at 25 percent for cropland and 8-14 percent for cropland andpasture together (Odelmann, 1998). Irreversible soil productivity losses of at least 20 percent due to erosion arereported to have occurred over the last century in large parts of Ethiopia,Ghana, Kenya, Lesotho, Nigeria, Southern Africa, Swaziland and Uganda(Dregne, 1990).57
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