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Canada's Hard Outdoor Adventure Enthusiasts - Canadian Tourism ...

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4. Projections to 20264.1 IntroductionIn 2000, there were approximately 23.3 million <strong>Canadian</strong>s 18 years of age or older. Statistics Canadaprojects that this number will increase to 29.6 million by the year 2026, for an increase of 27 per cent.When this population increase is applied to the TAMS data, estimates of market size andcharacteristics in 2026 can be estimated, assuming that people in various age, gender and regionalgroups behave in 2026 as they did in 2000.Because the population will not grow at the same rate among all age groups or in all regions ofCanada, tourism businesses and marketers should anticipate and prepare for changes in travelactivities and interests in the domestic market over the next two decades. In this chapter, someimportant structural shifts are described for Canada as a whole. Subsequently, expected change in thedomestic <strong>Hard</strong> <strong>Outdoor</strong> <strong>Adventure</strong> Enthusiast market is discussed.4.2 An Aid to the ReaderThe accompanying table and text are provided to aid the reader in interpreting the columns shown inthe summary tables included in this section.Sample TableCanada’s Adult Population – Gender & Age% OF ADULTPOPULATION IN . . .2000 2026Adults 18+ 23.3 million 29.6 millionGROWTH RATEFROM2000 TO 2026IMPACT OF 2026POPULATION STRUCTUREON GROWTH RATEMen 49% 49% 27% 1%Women 51% 51% 27% -1%18 - 34 years 31% 25% 0.47% -98%35 - 44 years 23% 17% -7% -124%45 - 54 years 18% 16% 11% -61%55 - 64 years 12% 16% 77% 184%65+ years 16% 26% 111% 309%Source: Special TAMS Canada Tabulations, Table 1.Percentage of Adult Population In . . . 2000 Proportion of <strong>Canadian</strong> adults in 2000 who fit thedemographic characteristic (e.g., age, gender, place of birth) or participate in a particular activity(e.g., travel to a particular destination; golf, ski , camp or go to a museum while on trips) now.Example: 18 – 34 year olds represent 31 per cent of all <strong>Canadian</strong> adults, or 7.3 million of the23.3 million <strong>Canadian</strong> adults (2000).<strong>Canadian</strong> <strong>Tourism</strong> Commission 25

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