in the baseline indica<strong>to</strong>rs over the life of the project. Depending on the sec<strong>to</strong>rand the project, this moni<strong>to</strong>ring may need <strong>to</strong> be done by the managingcontrac<strong>to</strong>r, with reporting required through current mechanisms (eg, annualplans, six-monthly reports). Alternatively, it may be done more appropriatelythrough mechanisms such as mid-term reviews, technical advisory groups,sec<strong>to</strong>r moni<strong>to</strong>ring and review groups, or evaluations. Some sec<strong>to</strong>r programswithin <strong>AusAID</strong>’s <strong>PNG</strong> Branch are already developing systems that will go someway <strong>to</strong>ward improving the performance information available <strong>to</strong> <strong>AusAID</strong>, suchas a more rigorous approach <strong>to</strong> developing and using moni<strong>to</strong>ring andevaluation frameworks. Where these are being developed, it is important thatthey be in place as early as possible in the life of a project.<strong>AusAID</strong>'s move <strong>to</strong> in-country management will facilitate moni<strong>to</strong>ring andevaluation of program outcomes, and increase dialogue on programperformance with the Government of Papua New Guinea.A number of activities, such as in the renewable resources or infrastructuresec<strong>to</strong>rs, lend themselves <strong>to</strong> quantification of benefits through use of cost benefitanalysis (CBA). Ignoring for the moment the desirability of using CBA as aplanning <strong>to</strong>ol at the feasibility study stage, it may be worth considering moresystematic use of CBA for appropriate projects at the completion or evaluationstage. Activity guidelines in <strong>AusAID</strong> already specify that:“When possible and essential <strong>to</strong> determining the worth of a project, calculatethe financial rate of return (FIRR) and the economic internal rate of return(EIRR), and compare these with that estimated at the time of project design." 27In the interests of isolating and estimating the economic and financial impactsof activities, it would be highly desirable for project completion reports <strong>to</strong> berequired <strong>to</strong> calculate the FIRR and EIRR wherever practicable.Once effective systems are in place <strong>to</strong> gather performance information beyondthe output level, it is important that <strong>AusAID</strong> systematically moni<strong>to</strong>r thecollection and periodic review of such data through appropriate systems.<strong>AusAID</strong> has not required impact-level data until very recently, and has notmoni<strong>to</strong>red or supervised this aspect of project reports closely. Nevertheless, arange of systems is already in place in <strong>AusAID</strong> that could be used <strong>to</strong> facilitatethis process easily. 28 Systematic moni<strong>to</strong>ring and reporting of project and sec<strong>to</strong>rwideoutcomes and impacts of <strong>Australian</strong> aid activities would enable morerigorous analysis of performance against higher order development goals. Thiswould allow defensible conclusions <strong>to</strong> be drawn, <strong>to</strong> the benefit of future policyand programming decisions.27 AusGUIDElines 13 – Preparing Project Completion Reports.28 For example: annual plans, activity moni<strong>to</strong>ring briefs, mid-term reviews, technical advisory groups, sec<strong>to</strong>rmoni<strong>to</strong>ring and review groups, and project completion reports.54 The Contribution of <strong>Australian</strong> <strong>Aid</strong> <strong>to</strong> Papua New Guinea’s Development 1975–2000
Both within sec<strong>to</strong>rs and more broadly, as the quality of available performanceinformation improves, consideration should be given <strong>to</strong> strengthening theperformance miles<strong>to</strong>nes used at the highest level of scrutiny of the Papua NewGuinea – Australia aid program, ie. Treaty indica<strong>to</strong>rs. It has not been possiblein this paper <strong>to</strong> analyse whether the current Treaty indica<strong>to</strong>rs are provingvaluable but, in a general sense, Australia should encourage use of miles<strong>to</strong>nesand indica<strong>to</strong>rs at this level, <strong>to</strong> help build ownership and capacity within PapuaNew Guinea itself <strong>to</strong> assess the impact of donor support on development.The Contribution of <strong>Australian</strong> <strong>Aid</strong> <strong>to</strong> Papua New Guinea’s Development 1975–2000 55
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BOXESBox 3.1 The Dutch Disease in P
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FOREWORDAs part of a broader focus
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programs to improve living standard
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sector since independence, 65% has
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1 INTRODUCTIONThis report provides
- Page 17 and 18: Figure 2.1 Real GDP per capita in P
- Page 19 and 20: 1985 1990 1995 2000PNG HPC LIC LMC
- Page 21 and 22: significant strain on the budget an
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- Page 25 and 26: Connell (1998, pp. 311-2) highlight
- Page 27 and 28: y the successful mobilisation of cu
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- Page 31 and 32: The estimated increase in private c
- Page 33 and 34: 3.4 Reconciling the Growth and Deve
- Page 35 and 36: 3.5 Implications for AidTo summaris
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- Page 39 and 40: program saw a decline in the overal
- Page 41 and 42: criticism that the withdrawal of Au
- Page 43 and 44: Ministerial Forum found that real p
- Page 45 and 46: management for Papua New Guinea, ov
- Page 47 and 48: 5 THE IMPACT OF AUSTRALIAN AID INPA
- Page 49 and 50: • Improved retention rates at sch
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- Page 53 and 54: policing are being introduced, alon
- Page 55 and 56: deliver community and public servic
- Page 57 and 58: BOX 5.5 HEALTH IMPACTS OF AUSTRALIA
- Page 59 and 60: also improved 24 , and there is evi
- Page 61 and 62: 5.5 Renewable ResourcesIn total, Au
- Page 63 and 64: Land Use Management• Established
- Page 65 and 66: New Guinea needs donor financing fo
- Page 67: only assist within the context of t
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- Page 75 and 76: ANNEX A EVOLUTION OF AUSTRALIAN AID
- Page 77 and 78: ANNEX B SECTOR BREAKDOWN OF AUSTRAL
- Page 79 and 80: 8 REFERENCESAhai, N., 1988, The Dev
- Page 81 and 82: Garnaut, R., and Baxter, P., 1984,
- Page 83 and 84: Growth Strategy, Final Report, prep