- Cowlitz PUD

Capital Costs ...............................................................................................37Fixed O&M Costs.........................................................................................38Variable O&M Costs ....................................................................................39Resource Constraints......................................................................................41Addition Timeline .........................................................................................41Resource Potential ......................................................................................42Existing Resources..........................................................................................43Swift hydro...................................................................................................43Grant hydro..................................................................................................449 Canyon wind .............................................................................................44White Creek wind.........................................................................................44Industrial customers generation...................................................................45Chapter 5: Conservation .....................................................................................46Conservation Resources .................................................................................46Residential Weatherization Plus Program ...................................................47Residential Low Income Weatherization Plus Program ...............................47Residential Energy Matchmaker Program ...................................................47Residential Resource-Efficient Appliance Rebates......................................47Residential Compact Fluorescent Lighting (CFL) Program..........................47Residential Energy Efficient Heat Pump Rebate Program...........................48CEEP Plus Lighting Incentive Offer .............................................................48Commercial Energy Smart Program ............................................................48Industrial/Commercial EnergySPICE Plus Program ....................................49Industrial/Commercial Compressed Air System Efficiency (CASE) Program.....................................................................................................................49Conservation Programs under Development...............................................49Chapter 6: Theories of Model Operation.............................................................51Models Used in the IRP...................................................................................52Aurora XMP .................................................................................................52Crystal Ball...................................................................................................53OptQuest .....................................................................................................53Variability of Hydro Generation........................................................................54Market Heat-Rate ............................................................................................56Natural Gas Price Formation...........................................................................58Power Price Formation....................................................................................58CO2 Legislation...............................................................................................60Resource Adequacy ........................................................................................63Chapter 7: Analysis of Resource Portfolios.........................................................64IRP Approach ..............................................................................................64Chapter 8: Detailed Results ................................................................................72Effect of Legislation .........................................................................................78Chapter 9: Hourly Analysis .................................................................................80Chapter 10: BPA Contracts.................................................................................83Part 1: Overview..............................................................................................83BPA’s “Regional Dialogue” ..........................................................................83Major Components of BPA Proposal ...........................................................833