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Lake Pocotopaug Lake and Watershed Restoration Evaluation ...

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Table 18. Total Phosphorus Loading EstimatesSource Volume/Year 2001 TP (ug/L)TP LoadCalculated(kg/yr)Best Estimate(kg/yr)% of TotalDirect Precipitation 1 2.5 x 10 6 m 3 10 - 20 25 - 50 35 13 – 7Ground Water 2 0.5 - 0.9 x 10 6 m 3 10 - 20 5 - 18 12 4 – 2Surface Water 3 5.5 - 5.9 x 10 6 m 3Wet Weather 4 3.5 x 10 6 m 3 124 - 317 434 - 1110 126 – 322Dry Weather 5 2.0 - 2.4 x 10 6 m 3 19 - 50 38 - 120 15 – 48Total 141 - 370 50 – 73[Load Coeff] 6 [232 - 480][Mass Balance] 7 [280 - 720]Waterfowl (100 - 200 bird years) 0.2 kg/bird/yr 20 - 40 30 11 – 6Internal Loading 2/3 lake area x 0.5 mg/m 2 /d x 90 d 62 62 22 – 12Total 280 - 509With 60% surface water phosphorus reduction 195 - 287% remaining 70 - 56Predicted in-lake TP concentration 7 – 11 ug/L1Average Precipitation 1994-2001(1.2m) * <strong>Lake</strong> Surface Area (511.7 ac); Assumed precipitation concentration 10 - 20 ug/L2Assuming an area of 200 ac of direct groundwater drainage. Low range from 200 ac * 20 L/m 2 /day. High range (Q=CIA); where C = 0.05, I =221 m/yr, A = 80645 m 2 ; Assumed TP in GW at 10 - 20 ug/L3Assuming 1.5 cfs/mi 2 * watershed area (3.7 mi 2 ); through subtracting precipitation <strong>and</strong> groundwater from input volume (8.9 x 10 6 m 3 )4Assuming runoff coefficient of 0.3; used wet weather median <strong>and</strong> average TP concentrations; used percent Dissolved Phosphorus to TotalPhosphorus to calculate "Best Estimate" (40% of TP was DP)5Difference between surface water <strong>and</strong> wet weather; used dry weather median <strong>and</strong> average TP concentrations; used percent DissolvedPhosphorus to Total Phosphorus to calculate "Best Estimate" (29% of TP was DP)6Calculated from l<strong>and</strong> export coefficient (0.3 - 0.5) used in DF <strong>and</strong> Ad Hoc Advisory studies <strong>and</strong> watershed l<strong>and</strong> use (AHLAC <strong>and</strong> CT DEP)7Mass balance using whole lake <strong>and</strong> epilimnion volumes<strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Pocotopaug</strong> <strong>Restoration</strong> <strong>Evaluation</strong> 84May 2002

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