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FEDERATION OF EURO-ASIAN STOCK EXCHANGES SEMI ANNUAL REPORT MAY 2005<br />
“TOSHKENT” REPUBLICAN STOCK EXCHANGE<br />
ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS<br />
Politic and Economic Environment:<br />
Uzbekistan is one of the more prosperous of<br />
the Central Asian transitional economies. A<br />
wealth of mineral, energy, and agricultural<br />
resources, coupled with one of Central Asia's<br />
largest populations, provide the ingredients<br />
for a burgeoning economy. The agrarian<br />
sector is the backbone of the Uzbek<br />
economy, making up 30% of Uzbekistan's<br />
GDP in 2001 and 30.6% in 2002. Uzbekistan<br />
is one of the world's largest cotton producers<br />
and exporters and produces a significant<br />
amount of gold and natural gas. The country<br />
has more than tripled its liquid hydrocarbon<br />
production since independence.<br />
President Karimov has moved, slowly, to<br />
liberalize the depressed economy. Despite<br />
the possibility of social unrest if reforms lead<br />
to temporary lower living standards and<br />
unemployment, he promised to extend<br />
privatization, assist small businesses, and<br />
free the Uzbek currency in order to win IMF<br />
approval.<br />
PAGE 130<br />
Economic Performance:<br />
GDP grew 4.2% in 2002, sparked by<br />
industrial production growth of 8.5% and<br />
agricultural production growth of 6.1% due to<br />
a good harvest. The monthly inflation rate<br />
went down to 1.6% in 2002 from 1.9% in<br />
2001. The national budget was executed with<br />
a deficit of 0.8% of GDP, beating the 2%<br />
benchmark approved by parliament. The<br />
deficit was financed mainly by receipts from<br />
privatization and from Central Bank loans.<br />
The impending privatization of Uzbek’s gas<br />
utilities will speed up the creation of a market<br />
environment in the gas sector. This should<br />
inject some much-needed FDI into the<br />
economy. 1<br />
1 Economic and Political Overview, County Watch<br />
Incorporated, 2005<br />
Key Information Contacts<br />
Ministry of Finance www.mf.uz/eng<br />
National Bank of Uzbekistan http://eng.nbu.com/about/history/index.php<br />
State Central Securities Depository www.deponet.uz/english.shtml/<br />
Portal of the State Authority www.gov.uz/en/<br />
ECONOMIC RATIOS<br />
Domestic<br />
savings<br />
Uzbekistan<br />
Lower-middle-income group<br />
Trade<br />
Indebtedness<br />
Investment<br />
GROWTH OF INVESTMENT AND GDP<br />
(%)<br />
18<br />
16<br />
14<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
97<br />
GDI GDP<br />
98 99 00 01 02 03<br />
* World Bank reports