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FEDERATION OF EURO-ASIAN STOCK EXCHANGES SEMI ANNUAL REPORT MAY 2005<br />
BANJA LUKA STOCK EXCHANGE<br />
ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS<br />
Politic and Economic Environment:<br />
Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) is comprised<br />
of two distinct entities – The Republic of<br />
Srpska (RS), which accounts for one-third of<br />
the population and contains mostly Serbs,<br />
and the Federation of Bosnia and<br />
Herzegovina (Federation), which accounts<br />
for the other two-thirds of the population and<br />
consists mostly of Muslims and Croats. Both<br />
entities enjoy significant autonomy, with their<br />
own police, army, and tax and customs<br />
systems. There is also a tiny Northern district<br />
controlled by both entities called Brcko,<br />
which has its own tax laws.<br />
BiH’s economy is well-diversified. Services<br />
account for nearly three-fifths of GDP,<br />
industry nearly a quarter and agriculture just<br />
under one-fifth. The relative share of<br />
agriculture is twice as high in the RS as in<br />
the more urbanized Bosnia and Herzegovina<br />
Federation.<br />
Key Information Contacts<br />
Republic of Srpska Securities Commission www.khov-rs.org<br />
Central Registry of Securities www.crhovrs.org<br />
Government of Republic of Srpska www.vladars.net<br />
Central Bank of BiH www.cbbh.ba<br />
Tax Administration of Republic of Srpska www.poreskaupravars.org<br />
ECONOMIC RATIOS<br />
Domestic<br />
savings<br />
PAGE 52<br />
Bosnia & Herzegovina<br />
Lower-middle-income group<br />
Trade<br />
Indebtedness<br />
Investment<br />
A lot of progress has been made at reducing<br />
ethnic tensions and rebuilding basic<br />
infrastructure and that provides a basis for<br />
future growth. Real GDP has been buoyant<br />
since the mid-1990s with the economy<br />
recovering from its low war-era base.<br />
In October 2002, Bosnia was scheduled to<br />
hold its fourth presidential election within the<br />
strictures of the tripartite system, which had<br />
been established under the Dayton Accords.<br />
The members of the presidency at the time<br />
included Beriz Belkic (Muslim/Bosniak), who<br />
became chairman on Feb. 14, 2002; Jozo<br />
Krizanovic (Croat); and Zivko Radisic (Serb).<br />
The October 2002 elections involved 52<br />
parties and over 7,000 candidates and<br />
marked a historic turning point because they<br />
were run by the Bosnian authorities and not<br />
the international apparatus resulting from the<br />
Dayton Accords.<br />
GROWTH OF INVESTMENT AND GDP<br />
(%)<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
-5<br />
97<br />
GDI GDP<br />
Economic Performance:<br />
The country's monetary policy has been<br />
prudent and effective. After adoption in 1997<br />
of a currency board arrangement linking the<br />
convertible mark (KM) to the Deutsche mark<br />
(now to the Euro), with controls on money<br />
supply growth and a tightly managed foreign<br />
exchange trading band, inflation rates have<br />
largely stabilized in the lower single-digits.<br />
Average inflation for the entire country was<br />
0.3% in 2002 and even lower in 2003.<br />
The consolidated fiscal deficit was reduced<br />
from 2.2% of GDP in 2002 to a small surplus<br />
of 0.4% in 2003 due to responsible spending<br />
by both entities. In 1998, the government<br />
subscribed to an IMF-financed economic<br />
reform program, aimed at reconfiguring the<br />
inefficient fiscal structure and sharply<br />
reducing direct state participation in<br />
productive sectors. 1<br />
1 Economic and Political Overview, County Watch<br />
Incorporated, 2005<br />
98 99 00 01 02 03<br />
* World Bank reports