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FEDERATION OF EURO-ASIAN STOCK EXCHANGES SEMI ANNUAL REPORT MAY 2005<br />

BAKU INTERBANK CURRENCY EXCHANGE<br />

ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS<br />

Politic and Economic Environment:<br />

Baku, Azerbaijan's capital and largest city<br />

emerged more than 100 years ago as one of<br />

the earliest centers of the international<br />

petroleum industry. At the beginning of the<br />

21st century, oil and gas activity remains the<br />

engine of the Azerbaijani economy. Indeed,<br />

oil exports accounted for 90% of all exports<br />

in 2002. It appears that oil development in<br />

the Azeri sector of the Caspian will fuel<br />

economic development and income growth<br />

for many years to come, especially after<br />

official sanctioning of the Baku-Tbilisi-<br />

Ceyhan (BTC) pipeline, which will pump<br />

Azeri oil through Georgia and Turkey to the<br />

Mediterranean terminal at Ceyhan, Turkey,<br />

and related projects, which will inject an<br />

estimated US$ 8 billion in investment over<br />

the next few years.<br />

In August 2003, the parliament of Azerbaijan<br />

elected President Aliyev's son, Ilhan Aliyev,<br />

as the prime minister. The measure was<br />

viewed as an attempt to secure a peaceful<br />

political transition, in the event that the ailing<br />

president were to become incapacitated.<br />

President Aliyev was scheduled to run for a<br />

third term in the presidential polls in October<br />

2003, but withdrew from the election contest<br />

due to health concerns. His supporters<br />

transferred their efforts to his son, the new<br />

Key Information Contacts<br />

National Bank www.nba.az<br />

State Committee for Securities www.scs.gov.az<br />

Ministry of Finance www.maliyye.gov.az<br />

National Depository Center www.mdm.az<br />

International Bank of Azerbaijan www.bse.az/images/p_ibar.gif<br />

National Bank of Azerbaijan www.nba.az/<br />

State Committee for Securities www.scs.gov.az<br />

Ministry of Finance www.minfin-az.com<br />

Ministry of Economic Development www.economy.gov.az<br />

ECONOMIC RATIOS<br />

Domestic<br />

savings<br />

PAGE 46<br />

Azerbaijan<br />

Lower-middle-income group<br />

Trade<br />

Indebtedness<br />

Investment<br />

Prime Minister Ilham Aliyev. The younger<br />

Aliyev went on to win the election in a<br />

landslide victory.<br />

In December 2003, Heydar Aliyev died in a<br />

United States hospital at the age of 80.<br />

He was undergoing treatment for heart and<br />

kidney problems.<br />

In 2004, bilateral relations with Armenia<br />

constituted one of the main issues facing<br />

Azerbaijan's political landscape. The new<br />

Azerbaijani president expressed his hope<br />

that the Organization for Security and<br />

Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) would<br />

continue in its effort in forging a resolution to<br />

the conflict in Nagornyy Karabakh.<br />

On the domestic front, President Aliyev has<br />

expressed confidence in the economic<br />

growth of Azerbaijan in the next few years, as<br />

well as the strengthening of democracy and<br />

the improvement of human development<br />

concerns. In these regards, he said, "Our<br />

assuredness stems from the considerable<br />

investments in Azerbaijan, the development<br />

of democratic reforms, and the<br />

implementation of social programs to<br />

improve people's quality of life."<br />

GROWTH OF INVESTMENT AND GDP<br />

(%)<br />

90<br />

60<br />

30<br />

0<br />

97<br />

GDI GDP<br />

Economic Performance:<br />

Foreign direct investment in the petroleum<br />

sector boosted GDP growth to 11.2% in<br />

2003 compared to 10.6% in 2002. Consumer<br />

price inflation has been restrained in recent<br />

years, declining slightly to 2.2% in 2003 from<br />

2.8% in 2002. Fiscally speaking, Azerbaijan's<br />

deficit increased in 2003, to nearly 2%,<br />

compared to 0.5% in 2002, but this was<br />

primarily due to infrastructure-related<br />

expenditures and an increase in pension<br />

wages. Agricultural work still occupies some<br />

40% of the Azeri workforce, and the<br />

unemployment rate has remained low (at<br />

1.4% in 2003). Although oil revenues<br />

represent a large portion of Azerbaijan’s<br />

economy, they have made inroads into this<br />

problem, with non-oil economy growing<br />

significantly in 2003. 1<br />

1 Economic and Political Overview, County Watch<br />

Incorporated, 2005<br />

98 99 00 01 02 03<br />

* World Bank reports

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