Goal 1 Eradicate extreme povertyPoverty ratescontinue to fallPeople living on less than 2005 PPP $1.25 a day (%)755025Latin America& Caribbean01990Share of countries making progress toward reducing poverty (%)10050Fewer people are livingin extreme povertyPeople living on less than 2005 PPP $1.25 a day (billions)2.01.51.00.5050100Middle East & North AfricaEast AsiaSouth Asia1995Sub-Saharan Africa0.01990 1995Europe& CentralAsiaEurope & Central AsiaMiddle East & North Africa2000Source: <strong>World</strong> Bank PovcalNet.Source: <strong>World</strong> Bank PovcalNet.Europe &Central AsiaProgress in reaching thepoverty target, 1990–2010Reached target On track Off track Seriously off trackLatinAmerica &CaribbeanSource: <strong>World</strong> Bank staff calculations.20002005Middle East& NorthAfricaLatin America& Caribbean2005Sub-Saharan AfricaSouth Asia2010estimateSouthAsia2010estimateForecast2010–15Sub-SaharanAfricaForecast2010–151a2015forecast1b1c2015forecastThe world will not have eradicated extreme povertyin 2015, but the Millennium <strong>Development</strong>Goal target of halving world poverty will havebeen met. The proportion of people living on lessthan $1.25 a day fell from 43.1 percent in 1990to 22.7 percent in 2008, reaching new lows inall six developing country regions. While thefood, fuel, and financial crises over the past fiveyears worsened the situation of vulnerable populationsand slowed poverty reduction in somecountries, global poverty rates continued to fallin most regions. Preliminary estimates for 2010confirm that the extreme poverty rate fell further,to 20.6 percent, reaching the global targetfive years early. Except in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa the target has also been met atthe regional level (figure 1a).Further progress is possible and likelybefore the 2015 target date of the Millennium<strong>Development</strong> Goals. Developing economiesare expected to maintain GDP growth of6.6–6.8 percent over the next three years, withgrowth of GDP per capita around 5.5 percent.Growth will be fastest in East Asia and Pacificand South Asia, which still contain more thanhalf the world’s poorest people. Growth willbe slower in Sub- Saharan Africa, the poorestregion in the world, but faster than in the precedingyears, quickening the pace of povertyreduction. According to these forecasts, theproportion of people living in extreme povertywill fall to 16 percent by 2015. Based on currenttrends, 59 of 112 economies with adequatedata are likely to achieve the first Millennium<strong>Development</strong> Goal (figure 1b). The numberof people living in extreme poverty will continueto fall to less than a billion in 2015 (figure 1c).Of these, 40 percent will live in South Asia and40 percent in Sub- Saharan Africa.How fast poverty reduction will proceeddepends not just on the growth of GDP butalso on its distribution. Income distribution hasimproved in some countries, such as Brazil, while2 <strong>World</strong> <strong>Development</strong> <strong>Indicators</strong> <strong>2013</strong> Front ? User guide <strong>World</strong> view People Environment
worsening in others, such as China. To speedprogress toward eliminating extreme poverty,development strategies should attempt toincrease not just the mean rate of growth butalso the share of income going to the poorestpart of the population. Sub- Saharan Africa,where average income is low and average incomeof those below the poverty line is even lower, willface great difficulties in bringing the poorest peopleto an adequate standard of living (figure 1d).Latin America and the Caribbean, where averageincome is higher, must overcome extremely inequitableincome distributions.Two Millennium <strong>Development</strong> Goal indicatorsaddress hunger and malnutrition. Child malnutrition,measured by comparing a child’s weightwith that of other children of similar age, reflectsa shortfall in food energy, poor feeding practicesby mothers, and lack of essential nutrientsin the diet. Malnutrition in children oftenbegins at birth, when poorly nourished mothersgive birth to underweight babies. Malnourishedchildren develop more slowly, enter school later,and perform less well. Malnutrition rates havedropped substantially since 1990, from 28 percentof children under age 5 in developing countriesto 17 percent in 2011. Every developingregion except Sub- Saharan Africa is on trackto cut child malnutrition rates in half by 2015(figure 1e). However, collecting data on malnutritionthrough surveys with direct measurement ofchildren’s weight and height is costly, and manycountries lack the information to calculate timetrends.Undernourishment, a shortage of food energyto sustain normal daily activities, is affected bychanges in the average amount of food availableand its distribution. After steady declines in mostregions from 1991 to 2005, further improvementsin undernourishment have stalled, leaving13 percent of the world’s population, almost900 million people, without adequate daily foodintake (figure 1f).Poorerthan poorAverage daily income of people living on less than 2005 PPP$1.25 a day, 2008 (2005 PPP $)1.251.000.750.500.250.00604020Latin America & Caribbean01990 1995And fewer people lackingsufficient food energyUndernourishment prevalence (% of population)40302010Latin America& Caribbean01991East Asia& PacificMalnutrition prevalence, weight for age (% of children under age 5)South AsiaSub-Saharan AfricaEast Asia & PacificEurope& CentralAsiaSource: <strong>World</strong> Bank PovcalNet.Fewer malnourishedchildrenMiddle East & North AfricaMiddle East & North Africa1996LatinAmerica &Caribbean20002001Middle East& NorthAfricaSource: <strong>World</strong> <strong>Development</strong> <strong>Indicators</strong> database.2005SouthAsiaEurope & Central AsiaSouth AsiaEast Asia & Pacific2006Sub-Saharan Africa1fEurope & Central AsiaSource: Food and Agriculture Organization and <strong>World</strong> <strong>Development</strong><strong>Indicators</strong> database.1dSub-SaharanAfrica1e20112011Economy States and markets Global links Back<strong>World</strong> <strong>Development</strong> <strong>Indicators</strong> <strong>2013</strong> 3
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