13.07.2015 Views

Controlling for Heterogeneity in Gravity Models of Trade

Controlling for Heterogeneity in Gravity Models of Trade

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<strong>in</strong>dependent variables are assumed to be correlated withwhich can be estimated us<strong>in</strong>g OLS.α ij , and is a classical regression modelBayoumi and Eichengreen (1997) and Mátyás (1997) have also proposed models tohandle country-pair heterogeneity, each <strong>of</strong> which can be modeled as a restricted version <strong>of</strong> the FEmodel. In the Bayoumi and Eichengreen (BE) model the differences <strong>in</strong> the dependent and<strong>in</strong>dependent variables are used to elim<strong>in</strong>ate the fixed variables, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the country-pairdummies and distance. Specifically,∆lnijt 0 tijt ijtX = γ + γ + ∆Z + µ , t = 1, ..., T; (BE)ZKHUH LVWKHGLIIHUHQFHRSHUDWRUDQG γ0+ γt= αt− αt−1. In this model the <strong>in</strong>tercept has twoparts: γ0is the change <strong>in</strong> the period-specific effect that is common across years, and γtis thechange that is specific to year t. As is well known, when there are no time dummies, such adifferenc<strong>in</strong>g model should yield results identical to a model with dummy variables to control <strong>for</strong>fixed effects. However, with time dummies it is necessary to impose restrictions on the timeeffects so as to avoid coll<strong>in</strong>earity, which <strong>in</strong> turn makes the BE model a restricted <strong>for</strong>m <strong>of</strong> the FEmodel. If the coll<strong>in</strong>earity restriction is that the first time dummy <strong>in</strong> the BE model is equal tozero, this is equivalent to restrict<strong>in</strong>g the common component <strong>of</strong> the change <strong>in</strong> the period-specificeffects as equal to the difference <strong>in</strong> the first two period-specific effects, i.e. γ = α − . If0 2α1<strong>in</strong>stead the coll<strong>in</strong>earity restriction is that the sum <strong>of</strong> the time dummies <strong>in</strong> the BE model is zero,this is equivalent to restrict<strong>in</strong>g the common component as equal to the difference between thefirst and last time dummies, i.e. γ = α − .0 Tα 16

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