Los flujos de oro y el ajuste externo Argentina 1903-1913
Los flujos de oro y el ajuste externo. Argentina 1903-1913
Los flujos de oro y el ajuste externo. Argentina 1903-1913
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24NOTASiEsta Introducción basada en las fuentes primarias y secundarias indicadas solo intenta presentar <strong>de</strong>un modo compacto una reducida porción <strong>de</strong> una amplia literatura y no intenta ser original. Para unaexposición más amplia sobre algunos temas <strong>de</strong> esta Introducción ver <strong>el</strong> libro <strong>de</strong> Eichengreen yFlandreau y <strong>el</strong> libro <strong>de</strong> Flan<strong>de</strong>rs, sobre los que nos hemos basado en parte. Ver también <strong>el</strong> trabajo <strong>de</strong>Bordo.iiPor <strong>el</strong>lo, <strong>el</strong> mo<strong>de</strong>lo <strong>de</strong>scripto sería un recurso expositivo, según Eichengreen y Flandreau. Sinembargo, Samu<strong>el</strong>son no sigue esta interpretación; al respecto, dice:“David Hume correctly glimpsed how free tra<strong>de</strong> might involve a s<strong>el</strong>f-correcting gold-flow mechanism.But he ma<strong>de</strong> the mistake of supposing that the Quantity Theory of Money linked every price in aregion to the money in that region alone. This overlooked the forces that keep the competitive pricesof the same transportable good virtually the same in all regions.”(pág.154/155).Reproducimos <strong>el</strong> siguiente texto <strong>de</strong> Samu<strong>el</strong>son sobre cómo <strong>de</strong>bió haber <strong>de</strong>scripto Hume <strong>el</strong>mecanismo <strong>de</strong> <strong>ajuste</strong>:“Suppose we begin with twice our quota of world gold. Our initial excess of M(0) will cause us in goodQuantity Theory fashion to spend in consumption more than our incomes earned on production –aswe try to work our excess money holdings towards their <strong>de</strong>sired lev<strong>el</strong>. Abroad, their initial <strong>de</strong>ficiency ofM*(0) causes an opposite <strong>de</strong>ficiency of consumption over output as they try to replenish their M*balances over time. Short-run equilibrium involves an initial tra<strong>de</strong> <strong>de</strong>ficit, B(0)