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While the threats originating from the Jihadists fighting in the Middle East,<br />

and Islamic State itself, are minor, both of these factors will play a certain political<br />

role in the post-Soviet area. Similarly as in the case of the IMU, the above<br />

issues will be held up as a bogeyman by the region’s authoritarian regimes in<br />

order to strengthen their authority, increase control over society, neutralise<br />

political opponents and combat the Islam which is independent from the government.<br />

They may also serve as a handy tool in Russian geopolitical powerplays<br />

for control of the post-Soviet area (as an explanation for the need for<br />

tighter security ties between particular states and Moscow in the face of the<br />

militant Islam threat). It is even more probable, since already certain Russian<br />

actions, statements from politicians and media propaganda fit into the above<br />

logic (for example raising the issue of alleged threats for Russia stemming from<br />

the Jihadists from the Pankisi Gorge in Georgia fighting in the Middle East) 214 .<br />

PRACE OSW REPORT OSW 09/2012 09/2015<br />

214<br />

One example of the use of the above issue in Russian propaganda is an article published in<br />

October of 2014 in Nezavisimaya Gazeta, which suggested an array of threats to Russia from<br />

the Islamic State, which in turn was portrayed as being a de facto American project aimed at<br />

Russia: http://www.ng.ru/cis/2014-10-21/1_asia.html<br />

72

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