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that broader scale goals need to be pursued in<br />

the interest of development effectiveness. In<br />

any case, however, none of the CSPs has an<br />

overarching framework in which the scaling<br />

up pathways for individual lines of business are<br />

systematically drawn from past to current to<br />

future with a clear vision of scale beyond the<br />

time horizon of the CSP.<br />

Clarity of Lines of Business<br />

The Ethiopia CSP stands out with clearly defined<br />

lines of business (roads, energy, protection of<br />

basic services, private sector development),<br />

followed by Cameroon (roads, power, water/<br />

sanitation, public finance management, business<br />

environment, and land registry), Kenya (roads,<br />

energy, water and sanitation, skills development,<br />

and private sector development), and Sierra Leone<br />

(transport, power, water and sanitation, public<br />

finance management and business environment).<br />

In these cases there is also a clear link for each<br />

business line between past, present and future<br />

engagement.<br />

The CSPs for Nigeria, South Africa and Zambia<br />

are particularly weak in regard to definition<br />

of business lines, in that they describe the<br />

activities in poorly defined, confusing and even<br />

contradictory terms across different parts of the<br />

documents. They also generally do not give a<br />

clear indication whether and how the proposed<br />

activities link up with past AfDB engagement.<br />

Scaling up perspective in business lines<br />

This category involves a number of sub-questions:<br />

• Program selectivity: The Ethiopia CSP is<br />

a model of selectivity, focusing on four<br />

principal lines of business; this was also<br />

strongly endorsed by the CSP Readiness<br />

Review. The Ethiopia CSP also reflects the<br />

intention to deploy fewer, larger loans than in<br />

the past. Other CSPs claim more selectivity<br />

than is actually the case. For example, the<br />

Zambia CSP under the rubric “Support<br />

to Economic & Financial Governance”<br />

includes a wide range of activities, as<br />

reflected in this quote from para. 3.1.15 of<br />

the CSP: “The Bank’s support will consolidate<br />

and improve activities such as budget<br />

management; strengthening audit function of<br />

government; improving procurement systems;<br />

strengthening anticorruption; improving debt<br />

management; enhancing tax reforms; and<br />

support to oversight institutions such as the<br />

Public Accounts Committee of Parliament<br />

with a view to improving transparency<br />

and accountability.” The Tunisia CSP is<br />

particularly bewildering in its multiplicity<br />

of non-lending tasks on top of an already<br />

prolific list of activities supported by loans.<br />

Some CSPs have trust-funded activities that<br />

are not presented as part of their main pillars<br />

of engagement and add to the complexity of<br />

the programs (e.g., Cameroon and DR Congo).<br />

The Nigeria and South Africa CSPs also suffer<br />

from a lack of selectivity.<br />

• Linkage of past and present program to future<br />

engagement: Annex 9 of the Ethiopia CSP is<br />

particularly strong in this regard, as it looks for<br />

each of the business lines at the government’s<br />

recent efforts, remaining challenges, past AfDB<br />

support and its effectiveness, and additional<br />

support to be provided during 2014-18,<br />

specifically with reference to sustainability,<br />

sector governance, gender mainstreaming<br />

and project implementation. In contrast, the<br />

Nigeria, South Africa and Zambia CSPs provide<br />

very little indication of how past activities link<br />

to future ones, although some general lessons<br />

from past engagement are cited. Generally,<br />

however, the individual CSP country reviews<br />

indicate that there is considerable continuity<br />

in AfDB engagement in key programs areas<br />

over time.<br />

• Exit strategies: In a number of CSPs (e.g.,<br />

Kenya, Ethiopia 15 ) it appears that AfDB is<br />

exiting from the agricultural sector (except<br />

15 The lack of an exit strategy is particularly noteworthy in the case of<br />

Ethiopia, since Readiness Review specifically highlighted this as needed.<br />

55<br />

A quarterly knowledge publication from Independent Development Evaluation, African Development Bank Group

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