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Vanguard Newspaper 14 July 2016

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Vanguard, THURSDAY, JULY 14, 2016<br />

16—23<br />

Mr. Segun Oshinowo, NECA DG<br />

Why employment crisis<br />

persists — NECA DG<br />

By Vic<strong>to</strong>r Ahiuma-Young &<br />

Elizabeth Uwandu<br />

D IRECTOR-GENERAL<br />

of Nigeria Employers'<br />

Consultative Association, NECA,<br />

Mr. Segun Oshinowo, in a chat<br />

with Vanguard, speaks on <strong>the</strong><br />

employment crisis in Nigeria and<br />

ways <strong>to</strong> address same.<br />

Employment crisis: Nigeria is<br />

looking for a microwave solution<br />

<strong>to</strong> unemployment. That is why we<br />

are all disappointed, that in spite<br />

of what may seem <strong>to</strong> be<br />

government seriousness and<br />

sensitivity in handling <strong>the</strong> issue<br />

of unemployment, we are not<br />

getting result.<br />

Fundamental<br />

approach<br />

The question we should be<br />

asking ourselves is, why are we<br />

not getting it right? We are not<br />

getting results because we are not<br />

doing <strong>the</strong> right things.<br />

Let me repeat myself again, we<br />

are looking for a microwave<br />

solution <strong>to</strong> a problem that requires<br />

a far more robust and<br />

fundamental approach. The first<br />

thing we must realise as a country<br />

is that employment comes from<br />

meaningful inclusive and<br />

consistent growth. Now when<br />

you look at <strong>the</strong> state of our<br />

economy particularly, in <strong>the</strong> last<br />

three <strong>to</strong> four years, we have not<br />

really posted meaningful growth.<br />

Even in time past, when Nigeria<br />

was posting an average of 6<br />

percent and 7.5 percent Gross<br />

Domestic Product, GDP growth<br />

rate, it did not result in<strong>to</strong><br />

meaningful employment. That<br />

was why I said earlier that what<br />

we require is sustainable and<br />

inclusive growth.<br />

Now, when we talk about<br />

sustainable inclusive growth, we<br />

bear in mind critically four<br />

components. In <strong>the</strong> four key<br />

components that drive growth,<br />

take consumer expenditure.<br />

What is <strong>the</strong> level of our<br />

disposable income in this<br />

economy? When you look at <strong>the</strong><br />

US economy as an example, you<br />

discover that <strong>the</strong> GDP growth, it<br />

is principally propelled by <strong>the</strong><br />

consumer expenditure. So, <strong>the</strong><br />

level of <strong>the</strong> income of your people<br />

is a key fac<strong>to</strong>r in determining<br />

whe<strong>the</strong>r you going <strong>to</strong> have a<br />

meaningful growth.<br />

The second fac<strong>to</strong>r is investment.<br />

How well have we done in<br />

attracting foreign investment in<strong>to</strong><br />

Nigerian economy? The third<br />

component is government<br />

expenditure. When we are talk<br />

of expenditure in this regard, I<br />

will qualify <strong>the</strong> expenditure on<br />

critical infrastructure that your<br />

economy requires for growth.<br />

How consistence has our<br />

government been investing in<br />

infrastructure? If you check <strong>the</strong><br />

profile of government budgets in<br />

<strong>the</strong> past six <strong>to</strong> seven years, you<br />

will discover that <strong>the</strong> chunk of<br />

your budgets, has been going in<strong>to</strong><br />

recurrent expenditure ra<strong>the</strong>r than<br />

capital expenditure. When you<br />

now look at <strong>the</strong> balance of trade<br />

in terms of our export access. You<br />

discover that we are far more<br />

income dependent and less<br />

export economy.<br />

So, all on those variables that<br />

drive growth, consumer<br />

expenditure, flow of foreign<br />

investment, government<br />

expenditure, particularly on<br />

capital expenditure, and <strong>the</strong>n on<br />

our balance of trade, we have<br />

not fared well.<br />

Those are <strong>the</strong> key fundamentals<br />

we really need <strong>to</strong> look at if we are<br />

<strong>to</strong> solve this huge unemployment.<br />

We will not solve this by<br />

government rhe<strong>to</strong>rics, we will not<br />

It is possible for<br />

somebody <strong>to</strong> have<br />

acquired functional<br />

skill, but if <strong>the</strong> state<br />

of <strong>the</strong> economy is<br />

unhealthy, <strong>the</strong><br />

person will not<br />

have a place <strong>to</strong><br />

utilise <strong>the</strong><br />

functional skill<br />

acquired<br />

solve unemployment by creating<br />

agencies, we will not solve this<br />

unemployment by imparting skill<br />

on our youth, though it is part of<br />

it. We will not solve by<br />

addressing <strong>the</strong> quality of our<br />

education.<br />

Now, don’t get me wrong,<br />

quality of education is important,<br />

technical and vocational skills are<br />

important. But, at <strong>the</strong> end of <strong>the</strong><br />

day, we are going <strong>to</strong> focus on <strong>the</strong><br />

market. It is possible for you <strong>to</strong><br />

give youths <strong>the</strong> best quality<br />

education and impart on <strong>the</strong>m<br />

with <strong>the</strong> most contemporary<br />

technical and vocational skills,<br />

yet <strong>the</strong>y remain unemployed if<br />

your economy is not doing well.<br />

So, those are key inputs. But you<br />

need <strong>to</strong> address <strong>the</strong> demand<br />

needs for it, has <strong>to</strong> do with posting<br />

a sustainable inclusive growth.<br />

That is really <strong>the</strong> way forward.<br />

Education, economy: There are<br />

two issues here now. First one<br />

has <strong>to</strong> do with functionality. As<br />

<strong>to</strong> whe<strong>the</strong>r, <strong>the</strong> graduates we are<br />

churning out are in <strong>the</strong> areas of<br />

<strong>the</strong> needs of your economy .The<br />

second issue whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong><br />

number we are churning out are<br />

far more than <strong>the</strong> numbers <strong>the</strong><br />

industries required. Because, It<br />

is possible <strong>to</strong> address <strong>the</strong> issue of<br />

functionality, but <strong>to</strong> produce<br />

functional graduates far beyond<br />

what <strong>the</strong> economy requires is<br />

ano<strong>the</strong>r issue.<br />

So, we should not mix <strong>the</strong>se two<br />

issues <strong>to</strong>ge<strong>the</strong>r. Never<strong>the</strong>less,<br />

<strong>the</strong>se two issues are key <strong>to</strong> us.<br />

Why are <strong>the</strong>y key <strong>to</strong> us? Let us<br />

even assume that we are<br />

addressing <strong>the</strong> issue of<br />

functionality.<br />

Sustainable<br />

enterprises<br />

We are not producing <strong>the</strong>se<br />

graduates for <strong>the</strong>ir own use, we<br />

are producing <strong>the</strong>m for <strong>the</strong> use of<br />

<strong>the</strong> economy. In which case, it is<br />

possible for somebody <strong>to</strong> have<br />

acquired functional skill, but if <strong>the</strong><br />

state of <strong>the</strong> economy is unhealthy,<br />

<strong>the</strong> person will not have a place<br />

<strong>to</strong> utilise <strong>the</strong> functional skill<br />

acquired.<br />

That is where <strong>the</strong> basis issue of<br />

promoting sustainable enterprises<br />

and creating enabling<br />

enviroment is extremely important<br />

in an attempt <strong>to</strong> solve<br />

unemployment. We are<br />

beginning <strong>to</strong> see large numbers<br />

of Nigerian youths that attended<br />

<strong>the</strong> best universities abroad<br />

coming back <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> country, only<br />

<strong>to</strong> join <strong>the</strong> queue of <strong>the</strong><br />

unemployed.<br />

In which case, if <strong>the</strong> argument<br />

had been that universities were<br />

churning out now qualitative<br />

graduates, how would you now<br />

explain that those who have had<br />

<strong>the</strong> best education are unable <strong>to</strong><br />

get job? That is why I am quite<br />

convinced that <strong>the</strong> issue of<br />

unemployment goes beyond<br />

having quality graduates.<br />

Market dynamics: If you don’t<br />

get <strong>the</strong> market dynamics right, if<br />

you don’t create avenue where<br />

wealth creation will be<br />

encouraged and businesses will<br />

thrive, you may have <strong>the</strong> best of<br />

graduates in <strong>the</strong> world, you may<br />

have <strong>the</strong> best functional workforce,<br />

you will still end up being<br />

unemployed. Because <strong>the</strong> market<br />

which will provide for functional<br />

or skilled graduates is in<br />

coma<strong>to</strong>se. That is <strong>the</strong> key issue<br />

in Nigeria, and if you analyse it<br />

fur<strong>the</strong>r, it comes down <strong>to</strong> quality<br />

choices over <strong>the</strong> years.<br />

I would give you an example.<br />

Why should a graduate of<br />

Chemical Engineering be<br />

unemployed in Nigeria, <strong>the</strong><br />

largest crude oil exporter in<br />

Africa? Which industries should<br />

provide jobs for graduates of<br />

Chemical Engineering , <strong>the</strong> oil<br />

and gas. But, what have we been<br />

doing over <strong>the</strong> years? We built<br />

four refineries that are nonfunctional,<br />

we ended up<br />

importing petroleum products<br />

and o<strong>the</strong>r derivertives.<br />

We instituted a policy that<br />

discourages investment and<br />

establishment of industries. So, if<br />

you got it wrong in <strong>the</strong> area of<br />

your policy choices, it will reflect<br />

on <strong>the</strong> labour market in terms of<br />

unemployment. That is one<br />

example, we could go on and<br />

on. You are a consumption<br />

country, importing rice from Asia,<br />

meanwhile, we have ariable<br />

land.<br />

Graduate of<br />

agriculture<br />

So, why should a graduate of<br />

Agriculture be unemployed? It is<br />

because of our policy choices. If<br />

we have embraced policies that<br />

would support diversification,<br />

backwards integration, local<br />

content, graduates of Agriculture<br />

will have no business being<br />

unemployed, graduates of<br />

Industrial Chemical will also have<br />

no business being unemployed.<br />

So, <strong>the</strong> quality and<br />

appropriateness of our policy is<br />

a major cause of our<br />

unemployment problems.<br />

Apart from <strong>the</strong> keys that drive<br />

growth, we need <strong>to</strong> look at our<br />

quality choices. At any point in<br />

time, we need <strong>to</strong> ask our<br />

questions, <strong>the</strong>se choices we are<br />

about <strong>to</strong> articulate, and<br />

implement, is it job rich or will it<br />

promote employment? These<br />

questions need <strong>to</strong> be answered,<br />

else we continue creating jobs for<br />

non Nigerians.<br />

What do you make up of <strong>the</strong><br />

500 millions naira budget for<br />

social security?<br />

Those are unsustainable choices<br />

of policy. While it is<br />

commendable, at least, it will get<br />

some youths off <strong>the</strong> streets. it is<br />

certainly not sustainable. If you<br />

spend such budget now, next<br />

year, are you doing <strong>to</strong> get such<br />

amount for <strong>the</strong> budget? At what<br />

point in time are you going <strong>to</strong> step<br />

up and see that education is just<br />

one sec<strong>to</strong>r of <strong>the</strong> entire economy<br />

. Let’s assume that all <strong>the</strong><br />

unemployed youths want <strong>to</strong> be<br />

teachers. Yes, some of <strong>the</strong>m<br />

would embrace for survival. We<br />

might not be getting <strong>the</strong> best from<br />

<strong>the</strong>m, because that might not be<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir aspiration in life. They will<br />

receive it and embrace it, but if<br />

that is not <strong>the</strong>ir aspiration, it is a<br />

question of time , we start having<br />

problems with <strong>the</strong>m I terms of<br />

motivation. But, it is<br />

commendable, but we need <strong>to</strong><br />

look beyond that.

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