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Prepare yourself for the future Global Investor, 02/2009 Credit Suisse

Prepare yourself for the future
Global Investor, 02/2009
Credit Suisse

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GLOBAL INVESTOR 2.09 Focus — 17<br />

Demographic<br />

challenge<br />

People are now living longer, as they benefit from better health care and greater prosperity than<br />

their parents and grandparents. An aging population presents opportunities to cater for a whole<br />

new group of older consumers eager to make more imaginative use of their time. But are we doing<br />

enough to prepare for the challenges this demographic shift brings?<br />

Ilona Kickbusch, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva<br />

Prisca Boxler, World Demographic & Ageing Forum, St. Gallen<br />

“Old age is like everything else.<br />

To make a success of it, you’ve got to start young.”<br />

Fred Astaire<br />

Public health improvements and greater wealth mean many of us are<br />

living longer. The resulting demographic change, which will be accentuated<br />

over coming decades, presents both challenges and opportunities<br />

for the world’s economic and social development. Population<br />

aging will impact all aspects of 21st-century society, but it<br />

seems that we have not yet envisaged how societies can be reorganized<br />

to meet that challenge. According to the United Nations, a key<br />

priority for our future is to ensure that people everywhere are able<br />

to age with security and dignity, and to continue participating in society<br />

as citizens with full rights.<br />

The number of people aged 60 and over is expected to rise from<br />

around 600 million in 2000 to 1.2 billion in 2025 and 2 billion in<br />

2050. Today, about two-thirds of all older people live in the devel-<br />

oping world; by 2025, this figure will be three-quarters. At the<br />

same time, the fastest-growing population group in the developed<br />

world is over 80 years old, and because women outlive men in virtually<br />

all societies, women constitute the majority in this age group<br />

at a ratio of 2:1. One of the most intriguing issues about the data<br />

and trends on aging is that, while the evidence is there, most key<br />

actors in society have not yet responded to it. This applies to politicians<br />

as much as companies and of course individuals themselves.<br />

In Switzerland, the World Demographic & Ageing Forum believes<br />

that addressing this challenge requires serious effort and cooperation<br />

not just from the public sector, but from all stakeholders.<br />

This is not just a national issue. Policy strategies and papers at<br />

the regional (e.g. EU) and global levels do not really face the >

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