The Intelligence Review | volume 2 | issue 3 |
This volume is the product of a collaboration between the European Intelligence Academy (EIA) and the Chanticleer Intelligence Brief (CIB), a student-run initiative supported by the Department of Politics at Coastal Carolina University in Conway, South Carolina, United States. Eight CIB analysts tackle some of the most pressing and timely questions confronting intelligence observers today. Topics in this volume include the current and projected strength of the Islamic State in Libya, the status of unification efforts on the island of Cyprus, the future of the government in Venezuela, and the United States’ place in the Paris climate agreement. There are also papers examining the construction of energy pipelines in Central Asia, as well as aspects of Iranian geopolitics in relation to the United States. Last, though certainly not least, we have included an estimative intelligence analysis of the first round of this year’s presidential elections in France. It refers to an event of global significance that has already taken place. However, it is included in this volume as an illustration of the power of intellectual accuracy and the ability of an intelligence analyst to achieve 100 percent accuracy —as this analyst does— by methodically considering and evaluating the analytical parameters of her question with the right balance of precision and intuition.
This volume is the product of a collaboration between the European Intelligence Academy (EIA) and the Chanticleer Intelligence Brief (CIB), a student-run initiative supported by the Department of Politics at Coastal Carolina University in Conway, South Carolina, United States. Eight CIB analysts tackle some of the most pressing and timely questions confronting intelligence observers today.
Topics in this volume include the current and projected strength of the Islamic State in Libya, the status of unification efforts on the island of Cyprus, the future of the government in Venezuela, and the United States’ place in the Paris climate agreement. There are also papers examining the construction of energy pipelines in Central Asia, as well as aspects of Iranian geopolitics in relation to the United States. Last, though certainly not least, we have included an estimative intelligence analysis of the first round of this year’s presidential elections in France. It refers to an event of global significance that has already taken place. However, it is included in this volume as an illustration of the power of intellectual accuracy and the ability of an intelligence analyst to achieve 100 percent accuracy —as this analyst does— by methodically considering and evaluating the analytical parameters of her question with the right balance of precision and intuition.
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Table of Contents<br />
Foreword page 07<br />
Dr. John Nomikos<br />
Introduction page 09<br />
Dr. Joseph Fitsanakis<br />
Will the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria be Annihilated in Libya in 2017? page 13<br />
Casey Mallon<br />
Who Will Win the First Round of the 2017 Presidential Election in France? page 19<br />
Kayla “Ace” Chambers<br />
Will the Divided Island of Cyprus Come Closer to Reunification in 2017? page 23<br />
Troy Ramsbacher<br />
Will the Venezuelan Government Remain in Power in 2017? page 27<br />
Kiersten Chambers<br />
Will the US Leave the Paris Climate Agreement Under Donald Trump’s Presidency? page 31<br />
Tahleia Bishop<br />
Will the Construction of the TAPI Natural Gas Pipeline Proceed in 2017? page 37<br />
Connor Kilgore<br />
What is the Current State of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps? page 41<br />
Benjamin Dunham<br />
Will Relations Between Iran and the United States Improve in 2017? page 45<br />
Jack Lincoln<br />
Biographical notes on contributors page 51<br />
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