India's role in a multi-polar world - Alfred Herrhausen Gesellschaft

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Contents Foreword The land of unlimited contradictions 5 Wolfgang Nowak Introduction 7 Elena Jurado and Priya Shankar Section one India at the crossroads: understanding the multiple transformations Bridging identities: India as a positive power? 13 Sunil Khilnani Continuity in change: India in a turbulent world 17 Arundhati Ghose Data on India 21 Section two Sustaining economic globalisation: building a fair regime Institutional imbalances: can globalisation be sustained? 27 André Sapir The perils of protectionism 31 Karan Singh Growing pains: global adjustment architecture 35 Yang Yao Data on economic globalisation 40 Section three Transnational terrorism: regional dimensions of a global challenge The elements of success in Afghanistan 45 Charles A. Kupchan Afghanistan: reversing the vicious circle 51 Prem Shankar Jha Terror, instability and interventions in south Asia 55 G Parthasarathy Data on terrorism 59 Section four Ensuring resource security: from a local problem to a global challenge? The great resource race 63 Brahma Chellaney Dangerous myths: making the case for water diplomacy 69 Zha Daojiong Running out: a systems approach to scarcity 73 Bas de Leeuw Through a billion voices: India’s role in a multi-polar world 3 Data on essential resources 76 The views expressed in the articles of this reader are solely those of the authors and do not represent the views of the conveners of the Foresight project. Contents
The land of unlimited contradictions Foreword In today’s rapidly changing world, most countries are neither friends nor enemies, and anxieties are rising. The Foresight initiative aims to compare future visions of the key global players in order to prevent a clash of futures in a multi-polar world. While the critical challenges we face may be similar, each country approaches these from its own unique perspective. Given the interdependent nature of the current global age, it is vital for the key powers to recognise the interests they have in common. It is only when we learn to see the world through the eyes of others that it will be possible to even attempt to try to find solutions to the key challenges we face. India is a fascinating country. It is a dream destination for those who have never been there. And for every visitor, it is an unbelievable experience. The extremes of wealth and poverty, hunger and plenty, past and future are all visible in close proximity to each other. Seemingly irreconcilable contradictions manage to coexist peacefully. In recent years, India’s economic policies have led to unprecedented growth but a large part of the population has not yet benefited from this. In one of the world’s most dynamic cities, Mumbai, nearly ten million people live in slums. Yet, the slum is not a dangerous place for outsiders, unlike some of the favelas in Latin America. European visitors who come to India for travel or business can only experience speechless amazement and should refrain from giving unsolicited advice. Other nations may have collapsed Through a billion voices: India’s role in a multi-polar world 5 under the strain of such contradictions and diversity. India, even with all of its alarming opposites, is an unimaginable utopia. Even where today is deficient, the positive in tomorrow is recognisable. If India can overcome the new inequalities created by economic growth and provide a better quality of life for even its poorest citizens, then India can become a role model for a world in which disharmony threatens to break out into open conflict. As a German citizen, I live in a consensus-driven democracy. As soon as German political parties start to argue, voters become agitated. It is important to decipher India’s secret for flourishing in the midst of disagreements and argument. India is set to be one of the key powers of the 21st century. It insists on its independent policies and calls for a seat in the UN Security Council. At the same time, it has been involved in global networks such as the G20 in order to help address international crises. Yet, at times, it still seems far away and isolated from the rest of the world. The world’s largest democracy has much to offer. It should take on a more active role in the world, because ultimately it too will not remain unaffected by problems in other regions. We welcome this opportunity to be in India and to learn from a country of unlimited contradictions: not only to learn to accept contradictions but also to transcend them in peace. WOLFGANG NOWAK Managing Director, Alfred Herrhausen Society Foreword: The land of unlimited contradictions | Wolfgang Nowak
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Page 15 and 16: Continuity in change: India in a tu
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Page 23 and 24: Institutional imbalances: can globa
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Page 27 and 28: The perils of protectionism Karan S
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Page 31 and 32: Growing pains: global adjustment ar
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Page 39 and 40: Section three Transnational terrori
Page 45 and 46: Afghanistan: reversing the vicious
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Section four Ensuring resource secu
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Dangerous myths: making the case fo
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especially to how the two countries
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Alfred Herrhausen Society in partne
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