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India's role in a multi-polar world - Alfred Herrhausen Gesellschaft

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As Andre Sapir expla<strong>in</strong>s, efforts to resolve these<br />

issues will rema<strong>in</strong> hampered until we are able<br />

to reform our global economic <strong>in</strong>stitutions. The<br />

revitalisation of the G20 is an important first step,<br />

but more structural reforms are needed to ensure<br />

the emerg<strong>in</strong>g economies have greater weight at the<br />

decision-mak<strong>in</strong>g tables. The rapid shifts <strong>in</strong> economic<br />

power to India, Ch<strong>in</strong>a and other countries make<br />

further delays <strong>in</strong> this regard unacceptable. Otherwise,<br />

we risk underm<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>multi</strong>lateralism, and with it, the<br />

prospects for manag<strong>in</strong>g globalisation.<br />

III. Terrorism <strong>in</strong> the South Asian region<br />

India has long been the target of terrorist attacks, but <strong>in</strong><br />

recent years their scale and frequency has <strong>in</strong>creased,<br />

reflect<strong>in</strong>g the greater volatility <strong>in</strong> India’s neighbourhood.<br />

Traditionally an area where states have zealously<br />

guarded their sovereignty, India, like other countries,<br />

has tended to manage the threat of terrorism on its<br />

own. However, the <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly transnational nature of<br />

terrorism <strong>in</strong> different parts of the <strong>world</strong> has acted as a<br />

catalyst for deepen<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>ternational cooperation <strong>in</strong> this<br />

area, particularly s<strong>in</strong>ce 9/11. The essays <strong>in</strong> this section<br />

focus on the implications of this trend for efforts to<br />

tackle transnational terrorism <strong>in</strong> South Asia, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the on-go<strong>in</strong>g conflict <strong>in</strong> Afghanistan.<br />

Some Indian commentators, wary of the tendency<br />

for <strong>in</strong>ternational cooperation to become mired <strong>in</strong> the<br />

<strong>in</strong>terests of great powers, have been monitor<strong>in</strong>g this<br />

process with some trepidation. There is little doubt<br />

that <strong>in</strong>ternational <strong>in</strong>terventions, if conducted without<br />

sufficient sensitivity to local needs and <strong>in</strong>terests,<br />

can have damag<strong>in</strong>g consequences for stability <strong>in</strong> the<br />

region. G. Parthasarathy illustrates this with a scath<strong>in</strong>g<br />

critique of “Endur<strong>in</strong>g Freedom”, the military operation<br />

launched under the Bush adm<strong>in</strong>istration aga<strong>in</strong>st the<br />

Taliban stronghold <strong>in</strong> Afghanistan. He characterises<br />

this operation as excessively timid and <strong>in</strong>competent,<br />

result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the dispersal of the Taliban threat rather<br />

than its destruction. The Obama adm<strong>in</strong>istration seems<br />

to be try<strong>in</strong>g to turn th<strong>in</strong>gs around by re-focus<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

military effort on lay<strong>in</strong>g the foundations for function<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Through a billion voices: India’s <strong>role</strong> <strong>in</strong> a <strong>multi</strong>-<strong>polar</strong> <strong>world</strong> 9<br />

political and security <strong>in</strong>stitutions <strong>in</strong> Afghanistan. But<br />

the challenges rema<strong>in</strong> large.<br />

In the long term, the stabilisation of Afghanistan<br />

will depend on the establishment of a <strong>multi</strong>lateral<br />

framework <strong>in</strong> South Asia capable of reconcil<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

<strong>in</strong>terests of the regional players. With <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

recognition of the limits of US power <strong>in</strong> the region,<br />

the prospects for regional actors to play a <strong>role</strong> may<br />

be grow<strong>in</strong>g. Charles Kupchan emphasises this po<strong>in</strong>t,<br />

call<strong>in</strong>g on Pakistan, India and Afghanistan to draw<br />

lessons from ASEAN and the Gulf Cooperation Council,<br />

regional organisations which have flourished <strong>in</strong> regions<br />

which have a lot <strong>in</strong> common with the troubled context<br />

of South Asia. However, given the history of the South<br />

Asian region, with its deeply-embedded rivalries, the<br />

process of establish<strong>in</strong>g stronger regional security<br />

mechanisms may be more difficult. Prem Shankar<br />

Jha alludes to this problem by call<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stead for the<br />

establishment of a new regional “contact group”<br />

consist<strong>in</strong>g of Afghanistan’s neighbours, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g India<br />

and Pakistan, but also Turkey and Iran. In the end,<br />

the prospects for this will depend on the evolution<br />

of US policy towards Iran and broader geopolitical<br />

developments.<br />

IV. Ensur<strong>in</strong>g resource security<br />

India is not only located <strong>in</strong> a politically troubled and<br />

unstable region. Geographically it is also situated <strong>in</strong><br />

the <strong>world</strong>’s most populous cont<strong>in</strong>ent, a region where<br />

demographic growth, ris<strong>in</strong>g affluence and chang<strong>in</strong>g<br />

consumption patterns are plac<strong>in</strong>g significant pressure<br />

on water, energy and other scarce resources. At<br />

the same time, the challenge of ensur<strong>in</strong>g access to<br />

resources is likely to be adversely affected by climate<br />

change - a scenario which India is acutely aware of,<br />

as reflected <strong>in</strong> its positions at the recent UN climate<br />

conference <strong>in</strong> Copenhagen. The f<strong>in</strong>al set of essays<br />

focus on the challenges posed by <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g resource<br />

scarcity.<br />

As Bas de Leeuw po<strong>in</strong>ts out, we have come a long<br />

way s<strong>in</strong>ce the 1970s when susta<strong>in</strong>able development<br />

was the exclusive concern of a small group of<br />

Introduction | Elena Jurado and Priya Shankar

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