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The Intelligence Review | volume 3 | issue 5 |

This volume is the product of a collaboration between the European Intelligence Academy (EIA) and the Chanticleer Intelligence Brief (CIB), a pre-professional body supported by the Department of Politics at Coastal Carolina University in Conway, South Carolina, United States. Six CIB analysts tackle some of the most pressing and timely questions confronting intelligence observers today. Topics in this issue include the current and projected strength of the al-Shabaab militant group in East Africa, the future of the Iran nuclear agreement, and the current state of Mexico’s drug cartels. The issue also contains an analysis of the rising tension between the European Union and the government of Poland, as well as of the complex relationship between the United States and Cuba. The compendium concludes with an eye-opening report on the state of Middle Eastern linguistics in the United States Intelligence Community in the post-9/11 era.

This volume is the product of a collaboration between the European Intelligence Academy (EIA) and the Chanticleer Intelligence Brief (CIB), a pre-professional body supported by the Department of Politics at Coastal Carolina University in Conway, South Carolina, United States. Six CIB analysts tackle some of the most pressing and timely questions confronting intelligence observers today. Topics in this issue include the current and projected strength of the al-Shabaab militant group in East Africa, the future of the Iran nuclear agreement, and the current state of Mexico’s drug cartels. The issue also contains an analysis of the rising tension between the European Union and the government of Poland, as well as of the complex relationship between the United States and Cuba. The compendium concludes with an eye-opening report on the state of Middle Eastern linguistics in the United States Intelligence Community in the post-9/11 era.

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Will Rising Tension Persist in Relations<br />

Between Poland and the European<br />

Union?<br />

Ian Russick<br />

<strong>The</strong> current trajectory of relations between Poland and the European<br />

Union (EU) is reaching a critical junction, following the election in<br />

2015 of the rightwing populist Law and Justice (PiS) party. This burst<br />

of populist nationalism may have critically amplified tensions in<br />

Polish-EU relations. Given the latest developments, it can be stated<br />

with moderate confidence that tensions will continue to rise and that<br />

a return to pre-2015 Polish-EU relations is not looming.<br />

Background<br />

Poland’s populist Law and Justice party surged into power in October<br />

2015, swiftly defeating the centrist opposition Civic Platform (PO) with<br />

37.58 percent of the vote (RT 2018). Shortly after coming into power<br />

with the support of the Law and Justice party, President of Poland Andrzej<br />

Duda introduced judicial reforms that gave the parliament and the<br />

justice minister power to appoint and relieve Supreme Court judges.<br />

In addition, a retirement regime was imposed under which female<br />

29

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