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22 <strong>June</strong> 2019<br />

WORLD<br />

www.<strong>the</strong>asianindependent.co.uk<br />

Indian economy grew 7.2% in 2018-19,<br />

likely <strong>to</strong> <strong>to</strong>p at 7.5%: World Bank<br />

New York : As Finance Minister<br />

Nirmala Sitharaman prepares her<br />

budget, <strong>the</strong> World Bank reports Indias<br />

economy grew by 7.2 per cent in<br />

2018-19 in contrast <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> recent<br />

Indian Central Statistical Office<br />

(CSO) estimate of only 6.8 per cent<br />

growth during <strong>the</strong> period.<br />

The Bank's Economic Prospects<br />

Report released on Tuesday forecast<br />

India's economy <strong>to</strong> grow by 7.5 per<br />

cent during this and <strong>the</strong> next two fiscal<br />

years, retaining its <strong>to</strong>p spot as <strong>the</strong><br />

fastest growing major economy. It<br />

would be helped by a "more accommodative<br />

monetary policy" and low<br />

inflation, it said.<br />

The report retained <strong>the</strong> forecasts it<br />

made in January for India. India's<br />

growth forecast is <strong>the</strong> brightest spot in<br />

a grim forecast for <strong>the</strong> world economy.<br />

The report said that <strong>the</strong> global growth<br />

rate was estimated at 3 per cent last<br />

year and is forecast <strong>to</strong> dip steeply <strong>to</strong><br />

2.6 per cent this year, before edging up<br />

<strong>to</strong> 2.7 per cent next year and 2.8 per<br />

cent in 2021.<br />

India "is estimated <strong>to</strong> have grown<br />

7.2 per cent in fiscal year 2018-19,<br />

which ended March 31", <strong>the</strong> report<br />

said. "A slowdown in government<br />

consumption was offset by solid<br />

investment, which benefited from<br />

public infrastructure spending".<br />

The Bank said that <strong>the</strong> cut-off dates<br />

for data used in <strong>the</strong> report was May<br />

23. On May 31, <strong>the</strong> CSO said that<br />

India's gross domestic product (GDP)<br />

growth during <strong>the</strong> 2018-19 fiscal<br />

s<strong>to</strong>od at 6.8 per cent, lower than <strong>the</strong><br />

previous year's 7.2 per cent.<br />

The CSO said <strong>the</strong> Indian economy<br />

grew by only 5.8 per cent in <strong>the</strong> fourth<br />

quarter. That dragged down <strong>the</strong> fiscal<br />

year's growth rate.<br />

Finance Secretary Subash Garg<br />

attributed <strong>the</strong> slowdown <strong>to</strong> "temporary<br />

fac<strong>to</strong>rs like stress in non-banking<br />

financial company (NBFC) sec<strong>to</strong>r<br />

affecting consumption finance".<br />

The World Bank report said,<br />

"Growth in India is projected <strong>to</strong> accelerate<br />

<strong>to</strong> 7.5 percent in FY 2019-20."<br />

"Private consumption and investment<br />

will benefit from streng<strong>the</strong>ning<br />

credit growth in an environment of<br />

more accommodative monetary policy,<br />

and with inflation below <strong>the</strong><br />

Reserve Bank of India's target", it<br />

added.<br />

Growth projections for India made<br />

by different organisations vary a lot.<br />

Last month, UN downgraded India's<br />

growth rate for <strong>the</strong> current fiscal year<br />

<strong>to</strong> 7 per cent, a cut of 0.6 per cent from<br />

<strong>the</strong> projection made in January and<br />

reduced <strong>the</strong> forecast for <strong>the</strong> next fiscal<br />

year by 0.4 per cent <strong>to</strong> 7.1 per cent. It<br />

estimated last fiscal year's growth rate<br />

<strong>to</strong> be 7.2 per cent.<br />

In April, <strong>the</strong> IMF cut India's growth<br />

projections for this year by 0.2 per<br />

cent from <strong>the</strong> 7.5 per cent made in<br />

January <strong>to</strong> 7.3 per cent. It projected<br />

next year's growth at 7.5 per cent,<br />

though lower than <strong>the</strong> earlier 7.7 projection.<br />

The Asian Development Bank said<br />

in April that India's growth rate would<br />

be 7.2 per cent this year and 7.3 per<br />

cent next year.<br />

China's economy grew by 6.6 per<br />

cent last year and is forecast <strong>to</strong> grow<br />

by 6.2 per cent this year and fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

decelerate <strong>to</strong> 6.1 per cent next year<br />

and 6 per cent in 2021, <strong>the</strong> World<br />

Bank said.<br />

Pakistan was estimated <strong>to</strong> have<br />

grown by 5.2 per cent last year, but is<br />

forecast <strong>to</strong> steeply decline <strong>to</strong> 3.4 per<br />

cent this year and 2.7 per cent next<br />

year, before recovering <strong>to</strong> 4 per cent in<br />

2021, according <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> report.<br />

This despite "financial assistance<br />

from Gulf countries and China and an<br />

International Monetary Fund programme<br />

(that) have helped rebuild<br />

confidence", it said.<br />

Last year, <strong>the</strong> report said,<br />

Bangladesh recorded a growth rate of<br />

7.9 per cent -- <strong>the</strong> highest of all<br />

nations, regardless of size, although<br />

with a GDP of only about $250 billion,<br />

or less than a tenth of India's, it is not<br />

considered a major economy.<br />

Bangladesh's growth is forecast <strong>to</strong> fall<br />

<strong>to</strong> 7.3 per cent this year, <strong>the</strong> Bank<br />

reported. It is forecast <strong>to</strong> rise <strong>to</strong> 7.4 per<br />

cent next year and dip <strong>to</strong> 7.3 per cent<br />

in 2021.<br />

Commenting on <strong>the</strong> global economic<br />

outlook, World Bank Group<br />

President David Malpass said,<br />

"Current economic momentum<br />

remains weak, while heightened debt<br />

levels and subdued investment growth<br />

in developing economies are holding<br />

countries back from achieving <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

potential. It's urgent that countries<br />

make significant structural reforms<br />

that improve <strong>the</strong> business climate and<br />

attract investment".<br />

The Bank report added several<br />

notes of caution for India and <strong>the</strong><br />

South Asia region. "Fiscal deficits<br />

continue <strong>to</strong> exceed official targets in<br />

India and Pakistan, and supply bottlenecks<br />

and business climate obstacles<br />

could hold back investment potential<br />

in <strong>the</strong> region," it said.<br />

"In addition, non-performing assets<br />

in <strong>the</strong> region remain high. A sharperthan<br />

expected deceleration of growth<br />

in major economies or an intensification<br />

of trade frictions could have<br />

spillover effects for <strong>the</strong> region," <strong>the</strong><br />

report added.<br />

It is also an oil importer at risk from<br />

vagaries of <strong>the</strong> oil market.<br />

Brexit also poses ano<strong>the</strong>r risk <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

region, it said: "A number of<br />

economies have preferential trade<br />

arrangements with <strong>the</strong> UK, and would<br />

be vulnerable <strong>to</strong> a turbulent UK exit<br />

from <strong>the</strong> European Union."<br />

Trump joins Queen, world<br />

leaders <strong>to</strong> mark 75th D-Day<br />

Portsmouth : World leaders, including US<br />

President Donald Trump, joined Queen Elizabeth<br />

II, here on Wednesday, for <strong>the</strong> official commemorations<br />

marking <strong>the</strong> 75th anniversary of <strong>the</strong> D-<br />

Day landings.<br />

The 93-year-old UK monarch was <strong>the</strong> last <strong>to</strong><br />

arrive at <strong>the</strong> event, attended by some 300 veterans<br />

and o<strong>the</strong>r world leaders, including French<br />

President Emmanuel Macron and<br />

German Chancellor Angela Merkel.<br />

A huge stage, decorated with <strong>the</strong><br />

national flags of <strong>the</strong> World War II<br />

allies, had been set up for <strong>the</strong> occasion.<br />

Members of <strong>the</strong> armed forces<br />

welcomed <strong>the</strong> Queen with a military<br />

display. The Queen was accompanied<br />

by son and heir <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> throne,<br />

Prince Charles, as well as <strong>the</strong> US<br />

President and First Lady Melania<br />

Trump, outgoing UK Prime Minister<br />

Theresa May and leaders of Canada, Australia,<br />

New Zealand, Belgium, <strong>the</strong> Czech Republic,<br />

Greece, Luxembourg, <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands, Norway,<br />

Poland and Denmark.<br />

As part of <strong>the</strong> commemorations, images of <strong>the</strong><br />

D-Day landings were shown on a large screen set<br />

up on <strong>the</strong> stage. Several nonagenarian veterans<br />

<strong>to</strong>ok <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> stage, mostly with walking sticks and<br />

wearing medals on <strong>the</strong>ir lapels, and were<br />

applauded by audience.<br />

On Thursday, memorial services are planned<br />

<strong>to</strong> mark <strong>the</strong> 75 years since <strong>the</strong> D-Day landings.<br />

Troops from <strong>the</strong> UK, <strong>the</strong> US, Canada and France<br />

attacked German forces on <strong>the</strong> coast of nor<strong>the</strong>rn<br />

France on <strong>June</strong> 6, 1944. It was <strong>the</strong> largest military<br />

naval, air and land operation and marked <strong>the</strong><br />

start of <strong>the</strong> campaign <strong>to</strong> liberate Nazi-occupied<br />

north-west Europe. At <strong>the</strong> Wednesday event,<br />

Trump read a prayer, written by <strong>the</strong>n US<br />

President Franklin D Roosevelt and delivered on<br />

<strong>the</strong> evening of D-day -- <strong>June</strong> 6, 1944, <strong>the</strong><br />

Guardian reported.<br />

May read <strong>the</strong> letter of Captain Norman<br />

Skinner of <strong>the</strong> Royal Army Service<br />

Corps written <strong>to</strong> his wife Gladys on<br />

<strong>June</strong> 3, 1944. The letter was still in<br />

his pocket when he landed on<br />

Sword Beach on <strong>June</strong> 6. Skinner<br />

was killed <strong>the</strong> day after, leaving<br />

behind wife and two young daughters.<br />

French President Macron read<br />

<strong>the</strong> final letter of Henri Fertet, a<br />

resistance fighter, executed aged 16.<br />

"The soldiers are coming <strong>to</strong> get me.<br />

I must hurry. My handwriting may<br />

look wobbly, but it's just because I am using a<br />

small pencil. I am not afraid of death, my conscience<br />

is completely clear… A thousand kisses.<br />

Long live France," he wrote. Ahead of <strong>the</strong> event,<br />

<strong>the</strong> 16 nations involved in <strong>the</strong> commemorations<br />

agreed a proclamation <strong>to</strong> mark <strong>the</strong> anniversary.<br />

The statement, coordinated by <strong>the</strong> UK, recognises<br />

<strong>the</strong> sacrifice of those who <strong>to</strong>ok part in <strong>the</strong><br />

Second World War and salutes <strong>the</strong> surviving D-<br />

day veterans.<br />

The text was agreed upon by Australia,<br />

Belgium, Canada, <strong>the</strong> Czech Republic, Denmark,<br />

France, Germany, Greece, Luxembourg, <strong>the</strong><br />

Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands, Norway, New Zealand, Poland,<br />

Slovakia, <strong>the</strong> UK and <strong>the</strong> US.

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