DCN October Edition 2019

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INDUSTRY ANALYTICS Varied conditions and modest prospects for winter crops The latest report from the Australia Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics reveals mixed prospects for Australia’s winter crop WINTER CROP PRODUCTION IS forecast to rise by 11% in 2019–20 to 33.9 million tonnes but falls short of the 10-year average to 2018-19 by 16%. Wheat and canola production is forecast to increase 10% and 6% respectively, but both are expected to fall significantly below the 10-year average to 2018-19. Barley production is forecast to increase by 14% to around 9.5 million tonnes which brings it 6% above the 10-year average. “Crop production deteriorated in regions across New South Wales and Queensland, due to unfavourable growing conditions over winter. Crop production in these states is forecast to be very much below average,” according to ABARES acting executive director Peter Gooday. “On the other hand, crops in Victoria were in good to very good condition at the beginning of spring thanks to generally favourable growing conditions over winter. “Crops in Western Australia received timely winter rainfall to help boost yield prospects to around average for most crops after a late break to the season. WINTER CROP PRODUCTION, AUSTRALIA, 2014-15 TO 2019-20 (KT) 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 33,866 2019-20 f 30,433 2018-19 s 38, 396 2017-18 f ABARES forecast. s ABAR ES estimate. Notes: Includes barley, canola, chickpeas, faba beans, field peas, lentils, linseed, lupins, oats, safflower, triticale and wheat. Due to a change in scope by the ABS of its agricultural data collections, crop production is shown for establishments with an estimated value of agricultural operations (EVAO) of $5,000 or more until 2014-15, and an EVAO of $40,000 or more from 2015-16. 56,678 2016-17 37,687 2015-16 39,197 2014-15 “South Australia received sufficient winter rainfall in most major growing regions, but the same can’t be said for northern cropping regions with their prospects generally below average. “Early spring rainfall will be important to final crop outcomes.” According to the latest seasonal outlook issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, early spring rainfall is likely to be above average in Western Australia and below average in most other cropping regions. October rainfall is likely to be below average in most cropping regions. “If realised, above average September rainfall in Western Australia would give cereal crops in the state a strong chance of achieving average to above average yields,” Mr Gooday said. Mr Gooday said the seasonal conditions outlook for early spring in eastern Australia is likely to constrain crop prospects in southern New South Wales, and northern cropping regions in Victoria and South Australia. However, there’s a good chance that most cropping regions in southern Victoria, and central and southern South Australia will still achieve average yields. Mr Gooday said outlook for summer crops is unfavourable due to poor seasonal conditions in northern New South Wales and Queensland. “Area planted to summer crops is forecast to fall by 28% in 2019–20 to around 758,000 hectares — production of grain sorghum, cotton and rice are all forecast to fall,” Mr Gooday said. Smileus 58 October 2019 thedcn.com.au
WINTER CROP PRODUCTION AND AREA, AUSTRALIA, 2017–18 TO 2019–20 CROP AREA PRODUCTION 2017-18 ‘000 ha 2018-19 s ‘000 ha 2019-20 f ‘000 h 2017-18 kt 2018-19 s - kt 2019-20 f - kt Wheat 10919 10919 10770 20941 17298 19102 Barley 4124 3719 4125 9254 8310 9479 Canola 3171 1893 1983 3893 2180 2304 Chickpeas 1075 303 276 998 282 284 Faba beans 313 178 194 416 217 301 Field peas 291 179 220 317 152 255 Lentils 418 303 269 543 323 343 Lupins 612 500 499 714 693 558 Oats 874 680 728 1227 888 1132 Triticale 55 66 72 87 89 105 f ABARES forecast. s ABARES estimate. Sources: ABARES; Australian Bureau of Statistics; Pulse Australia SUMMER CROP PRODUCTION AND AREA, AUSTRALIA, 2017–18 TO 2019–20 CROP AREA PRODUCTION 2017-18 ‘000 ha 2018-19 s ‘000 ha 2019-20 f ‘000 ha 2017-18 kt 2018-19 s kt 2019-20 f kt Grain sorghum 462 496 391 1255 1278 992 Cottonseed a 526 343 145 1497 686 416 Cotton lint a 526 343 145 1058 485 294 Rice 61 5 5 635 61 59 Corn (maize) 53 55 61 387 392 430 Soybeans 32 26 25 51 42 41 Sunflower 14 19 19 26 23 24 a Cotton area is estimated harvested area. f ABARES forecast. s ABARES estimate. Sources: ABARES; Australian Bureau of Statistics; Cotton Australia. WINTER CROP PRODUCTION, BY STATE, 2014–15 TO 2019–20 (KT) 5,103 6,925 2019–20 f 732 6,604 14,404 2,880 3,733 2018–19 s 714 5,286 17,729 7,744 7,612 2017–18 1,438 7,022 14,510 15,510 9,513 2016–17 3,159 10,661 17,737 11,624 2015–16 2,104 6,105 NSW 3,568 11,624 Vic 10,445 Qld 2014–15 1,464 5,117 SA 7,439 14,662 WA Kt 0 5000 10,000 15,000 20,000 f ABARES forecast. s ABARES estimate. Notes: Includes barley, canola, chickpeas, faba beans, field peas, lentils, linseed, lupins, oats, safflower, triticale and wheat. Due to a change in scope by the ABS of its agricultural data collections, crop production is shown for establishments with an estimated value of agricultural operations (EVAO) of $5,000 or more until 2014–15, and an EVAO of $40,000 or more from 2015–16. thedcn.com.au October 2019 59
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First published in 1891 October 201
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XXXXXX Contents 32 24 FEATURES 24 3
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First published in 1891 October 201
Page 8: WORD FROM THE MINISTER Victoria del
Page 11 and 12: Report released into Brisbane dedic
Page 13 and 14: Hirohito Takada Safety processes da
Page 15 and 16: You wouldn’t accept overbooking i
Page 17 and 18: Helping economies grow and customer
Page 19 and 20: INDUSTRY OPINION Removing road bloc
Page 21 and 22: WOMEN IN MARITIME Svitzer Australia
Page 24 and 25: LINER TRADES TO THE AMERICAS The li
Page 26 and 27: LINER TRADES TO THE AMERICAS Contai
Page 28 and 29: LINER TRADES TO THE AMERICAS 27 % A
Page 30 and 31: LINER TRADES TO THE AMERICAS 6.1 %
Page 32 and 33: PORT DESIGN, CONSTRUCTION & DREDGIN
Page 34 and 35: PORT DESIGN, CONSTRUCTION & DREDGIN
Page 36: PORT DESIGN, CONSTRUCTION & DREDGIN
Page 39 and 40: Weathering seasons Major ports in S
Page 41 and 42: BRINGING THE PORT TO THE PRODUCT T-
Page 43 and 44: equipment has been installed, inclu
Page 45 and 46: ARDENT OCEANIA A leading marine ser
Page 47 and 48: local barge sourced by the Southern
Page 49 and 50: speed and channel bathymetry. This
Page 51 and 52: TMC Marine Stages of autonomous shi
Page 53 and 54: TMC’s Captain Roger King When dis
Page 55 and 56: Ian Ackerman been unsuccessful as t
Page 57: Image supplied Alexis Cahalan, prin
Page 61 and 62: THE 24TH ANNUAL AUSTRALIAN Shipping
Page 63 and 64: Roger King and Neil Lawson at PIANC
Page 65 and 66: INDUSTRY OPINION Traxens’ role in
Page 67 and 68: SUBSCRIBE TODAY! Stay up to date wi
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