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Climate change action plan 2021-23

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THE ROUTE TO NET-ZERO<br />

As described in this <strong>plan</strong>, the Council has progressed a great many<br />

relevant projects since declaring a climate emergency in 2019 and<br />

setting its target of a net-zero Northumberland by 2030. The<br />

publication of our first <strong>Climate</strong> Commitment Action Plan 2020-21<br />

set the foundations for this work. An in-depth understanding of<br />

the issues facing Northumberland in terms of its contribution to<br />

climate <strong>change</strong> has now been developed within the organisation<br />

and a robust governance structure with dedicated resource is now<br />

in place.<br />

It is acknowledged however, that whilst all the projects<br />

set out in this <strong>plan</strong> are moving the county in the right<br />

direction, there is a great deal more to do in order to<br />

meet the net-zero target. It is therefore important to<br />

set out a <strong>plan</strong> beyond the years covered by this<br />

Action Plan, which shows how the 2030 goal could be<br />

achieved. It should be noted that at this stage, these<br />

scenarios do not amount to concrete commitments<br />

from the Council but are rather indicative pathways<br />

modelled to show possible ways forward, which will<br />

be reviewed and assessed on a regular basis. This is<br />

particularly important in light of <strong>change</strong>s in funding<br />

created by Brexit, the implications of which are yet to<br />

be fully understood.<br />

There are many tools available to support net-zero<br />

scenario modelling including SCATTER and the Vision<br />

of a Net-Zero Future run by BEIS which will develop a<br />

series of country/regional-specific visions that bring<br />

to life the scientific evidence on different global<br />

pathways to a net-zero future, exploring science and<br />

innovation solutions and the co-benefits and tradeoffs.<br />

Alongside continued in-house analysis, the Council<br />

will closely monitor progress to ensure any pathway<br />

improvements can be adopted. Additionally, developing<br />

work in the Borderlands Energy Master<strong>plan</strong> which has<br />

set a clean growth ambition for net-zero will also be<br />

used as a support tool. The Council is also supporting<br />

a project funded by the National Centre for Energy<br />

Systems Integration to value uncertain future benefits<br />

and liabilities e.g. cost-benefit analysis of major projects.<br />

This will assist in major decisions when considering<br />

our projects and toolkits.<br />

The Council will continue to lead this agenda through<br />

the priority <strong>action</strong> areas set out in this <strong>plan</strong>, but it will<br />

require the support of all residents, businesses and<br />

visitors in Northumberland as well as significant<br />

funding and policy support from central government<br />

and other sources in order to make a carbon neutral<br />

Northumberland by 2030 a reality.<br />

Economic Impacts<br />

Realising the scenarios modelled in this route to<br />

net-zero would require significant levels of inclusive<br />

investment across the various strands of work.<br />

Investment would need to cover substantial capital<br />

costs for projects such as heat networks, EV charging<br />

infrastructure, active travel infrastructure and<br />

reforestation/afforestation. Our initial modelling puts<br />

the figure needed to realise the scenarios set out<br />

here at approximately £1.6bn. The council will continue<br />

to access all relevant funding opportunities and to<br />

seek innovative methods of attracting green investment<br />

into the county to support its ambition of net-zero by<br />

2030.<br />

62<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> Change Action Plan <strong>2021</strong>-<strong>23</strong>

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