Pharma and Nutrition | Market report preview 04.2023
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THE MOST UPDATED FINANCIAL PUBLICATION ON THE WORLD OF CHEMISTRY<br />
MARKET REPORT<br />
PHARMA & NUTRITION<br />
APRIL 2023
What’s going on in the market?<br />
VANILLIN/ETHYL VANILLIN<br />
Vanillin <strong>and</strong> ethyl vanillin was over stocked <strong>and</strong> over<br />
produced last year therefore the price reached a historical<br />
low point for the first quarter of this year. But we see<br />
that the request on the market is stable, the old stock is<br />
consumed in the meanwhile. We expect no further down<br />
trend in next quarter.<br />
VITAMIN C/SODIUM ASCORBATE<br />
At present, the market of Vitamin C is still at the lowest<br />
level in recent years, this low price has lasted for several<br />
months.<br />
Manufacturers predict that the price this year is likely to<br />
maintain this level, <strong>and</strong> there is almost no possibility to<br />
reduce.<br />
VITAMIN B3 (NICOTINAMIDE/NIACIN)<br />
Niacin, also known as nicotinic acid, is an organic compound<br />
<strong>and</strong> a form of vitamin B3, an essential human nutrient. The<br />
amide derivative is nicotinamide (niacinamide). Production<br />
prices of Vitamin B3 have increased in the previous months<br />
by 20%. In the coming months slight increases <strong>and</strong> prices<br />
fluctuation are foreseen.<br />
VITAMIN B5 (CALCIUM PANTOTHENATE)<br />
In 2022 the price has simply skyrocketed <strong>and</strong> tripled to 100<br />
USD/kg. From the end of 2022 Chinese factories increased<br />
output <strong>and</strong> quotations decreased strongly after Chinese<br />
New Year. Additional price reductions are foreseen for 2nd<br />
semester.<br />
XANTHAN GUM<br />
Price is currently stable, but with a trend to increase<br />
further, mainly because the price of raw material (corn)<br />
is rising. The market is tight <strong>and</strong> at present availability is<br />
in 2-3 months.<br />
The dem<strong>and</strong> is very high because XANTHAN GUM<br />
is widely used in different application (food, cosmetic<br />
<strong>and</strong> industrial) <strong>and</strong> in China we only have 3-4 reliable<br />
suppliers.<br />
Following the NOTIFICATION 2021.4381 of ethylene<br />
oxide in xanthan gum E415 for food application, the<br />
customs clearance is subject to the obtaining of the<br />
“improved sanitary certificate” so that all the operations<br />
are really very strict <strong>and</strong> only few producers can meet<br />
these parameters.<br />
7
ECONOMIC INSIGHTS<br />
In partnership with USI, Università della Svizzera Italiana<br />
Persisting bottlenecks affecting global<br />
value chains together with rising energy<br />
prices contributed to an increase<br />
in average price levels. Moreover,<br />
economic uncertainties related to the<br />
Russian invasion of Ukraine have<br />
exacerbated the precariousness of a<br />
stable recovery triggering global ripple<br />
effects through commodity markets,<br />
trade, financial flows, <strong>and</strong> displaced<br />
people. In the last quarter of 2022, the<br />
average inflation rate among OECD<br />
countries was 1.52% relative to the<br />
previous quarter, <strong>and</strong> 10.13% relative<br />
to the previous year. Switzerl<strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> China st<strong>and</strong> out as (relatively)<br />
low inflation countries. The OECD<br />
economic outlook expects annual<br />
inflation to decrease sharply in the<br />
coming quarters, due to the tightening<br />
of monetary policy by the ECB<br />
<strong>and</strong> the Fed. The OECD economic<br />
outlook expects annual inflation of<br />
OECD countries to gradually decline<br />
throughout 2023, reaching 5.5%<br />
towards the end of the year, <strong>and</strong> to<br />
decrease to 5% by the end of 2024.<br />
8
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