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Pharma and Nutrition | Market report preview 04.2023

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THE MOST UPDATED FINANCIAL PUBLICATION ON THE WORLD OF CHEMISTRY<br />

MARKET REPORT<br />

PHARMA & NUTRITION<br />

APRIL 2023


What’s going on in the market?<br />

VANILLIN/ETHYL VANILLIN<br />

Vanillin <strong>and</strong> ethyl vanillin was over stocked <strong>and</strong> over<br />

produced last year therefore the price reached a historical<br />

low point for the first quarter of this year. But we see<br />

that the request on the market is stable, the old stock is<br />

consumed in the meanwhile. We expect no further down<br />

trend in next quarter.<br />

VITAMIN C/SODIUM ASCORBATE<br />

At present, the market of Vitamin C is still at the lowest<br />

level in recent years, this low price has lasted for several<br />

months.<br />

Manufacturers predict that the price this year is likely to<br />

maintain this level, <strong>and</strong> there is almost no possibility to<br />

reduce.<br />

VITAMIN B3 (NICOTINAMIDE/NIACIN)<br />

Niacin, also known as nicotinic acid, is an organic compound<br />

<strong>and</strong> a form of vitamin B3, an essential human nutrient. The<br />

amide derivative is nicotinamide (niacinamide). Production<br />

prices of Vitamin B3 have increased in the previous months<br />

by 20%. In the coming months slight increases <strong>and</strong> prices<br />

fluctuation are foreseen.<br />

VITAMIN B5 (CALCIUM PANTOTHENATE)<br />

In 2022 the price has simply skyrocketed <strong>and</strong> tripled to 100<br />

USD/kg. From the end of 2022 Chinese factories increased<br />

output <strong>and</strong> quotations decreased strongly after Chinese<br />

New Year. Additional price reductions are foreseen for 2nd<br />

semester.<br />

XANTHAN GUM<br />

Price is currently stable, but with a trend to increase<br />

further, mainly because the price of raw material (corn)<br />

is rising. The market is tight <strong>and</strong> at present availability is<br />

in 2-3 months.<br />

The dem<strong>and</strong> is very high because XANTHAN GUM<br />

is widely used in different application (food, cosmetic<br />

<strong>and</strong> industrial) <strong>and</strong> in China we only have 3-4 reliable<br />

suppliers.<br />

Following the NOTIFICATION 2021.4381 of ethylene<br />

oxide in xanthan gum E415 for food application, the<br />

customs clearance is subject to the obtaining of the<br />

“improved sanitary certificate” so that all the operations<br />

are really very strict <strong>and</strong> only few producers can meet<br />

these parameters.<br />

7


ECONOMIC INSIGHTS<br />

In partnership with USI, Università della Svizzera Italiana<br />

Persisting bottlenecks affecting global<br />

value chains together with rising energy<br />

prices contributed to an increase<br />

in average price levels. Moreover,<br />

economic uncertainties related to the<br />

Russian invasion of Ukraine have<br />

exacerbated the precariousness of a<br />

stable recovery triggering global ripple<br />

effects through commodity markets,<br />

trade, financial flows, <strong>and</strong> displaced<br />

people. In the last quarter of 2022, the<br />

average inflation rate among OECD<br />

countries was 1.52% relative to the<br />

previous quarter, <strong>and</strong> 10.13% relative<br />

to the previous year. Switzerl<strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> China st<strong>and</strong> out as (relatively)<br />

low inflation countries. The OECD<br />

economic outlook expects annual<br />

inflation to decrease sharply in the<br />

coming quarters, due to the tightening<br />

of monetary policy by the ECB<br />

<strong>and</strong> the Fed. The OECD economic<br />

outlook expects annual inflation of<br />

OECD countries to gradually decline<br />

throughout 2023, reaching 5.5%<br />

towards the end of the year, <strong>and</strong> to<br />

decrease to 5% by the end of 2024.<br />

8


This is just<br />

a sneak peek...<br />

Wanna read more?<br />

> Products trends commented by ECSA experts<br />

> Up to date analysis about the World economic situation<br />

> A quick overview of price trends<br />

> News about ECSA Chemicals<br />

GET ME A COPY!<br />

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> www.ecsa-chemicals.ch

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