Flavours and Fragrances | Market report preview 04.2023

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THE MOST UPDATED FINANCIAL PUBLICATION ON THE WORLD OF CHEMISTRY MARKET REPORT FLAVOURS & FRAGRANCES APRIL 2023

THE MOST UPDATED FINANCIAL PUBLICATION ON THE WORLD OF CHEMISTRY<br />

MARKET REPORT<br />

FLAVOURS & FRAGRANCES<br />

APRIL 2023


HEDIONE / METHYL DIHYDROJASMONATE (MDJ)<br />

Methyl dihydrojasmonate (MDJ) is a liquid with a typical<br />

fruity, jasmine-like blossom odour. The molecule was<br />

discovered in the 60s by the company Firmenich <strong>and</strong><br />

then commercialized as Hedione. MDJ has become an<br />

important support element in modern formulas. It gives<br />

brightness <strong>and</strong> floral volume to fragrances, as well as<br />

being very persistent. Some fragrances contain very high<br />

percentage of hedione, up to 30%. MDJ can be obtained<br />

by condensation of 2-pentyl-2-cyclopenten-1-one with<br />

methylmalonate, followed by hydrolysis, decarboxylation<br />

<strong>and</strong> methylation. This results in a 9:1 mixture of trans- <strong>and</strong><br />

cis isomers. The yearly global market size is estimated to<br />

be 20’000 Metric Tons. Dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> supply are currently<br />

in balance <strong>and</strong> prices around 15-16 USD/kg, much lower<br />

compared to the high level up to 21-22 USD/kg reached in<br />

summer last year.<br />

ISO E SUPER<br />

As a derivative of turpentine, also the price of ISO E SUPER<br />

slightly dropped from the beginning of this year. Request is<br />

stable. Shouldn’t be further decrease in short future.<br />

LITSEA CUBEBA OIL<br />

The price is still on a<br />

relatively high level. There<br />

are rumors saying that the<br />

price will collapse. But we<br />

see that the current stock<br />

of crude oil is not too large.<br />

We believe that the price will<br />

adjust slowly but shouldn’t<br />

be big drops before the new<br />

harvest season.<br />

6


ECONOMIC INSIGHTS<br />

In partnership with USI, Università della Svizzera Italiana<br />

Persisting bottlenecks affecting global<br />

value chains together with rising energy<br />

prices contributed to an increase<br />

in average price levels. Moreover,<br />

economic uncertainties related to the<br />

Russian invasion of Ukraine have<br />

exacerbated the precariousness of a<br />

stable recovery triggering global ripple<br />

effects through commodity markets,<br />

trade, financial flows, <strong>and</strong> displaced<br />

people. In the last quarter of 2022, the<br />

average inflation rate among OECD<br />

countries was 1.52% relative to the<br />

previous quarter, <strong>and</strong> 10.13% relative<br />

to the previous year. Switzerl<strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> China st<strong>and</strong> out as (relatively)<br />

low inflation countries. The OECD<br />

economic outlook expects annual<br />

inflation to decrease sharply in the<br />

coming quarters, due to the tightening<br />

of monetary policy by the ECB<br />

<strong>and</strong> the Fed. The OECD economic<br />

outlook expects annual inflation of<br />

OECD countries to gradually decline<br />

throughout 2023, reaching 5.5%<br />

towards the end of the year, <strong>and</strong> to<br />

decrease to 5% by the end of 2024.<br />

10


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